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Advance Auto Parts

AAP on NYSE. Auto & home supply stores. Market value $2.4bn.

Watch this stockFree. We tell you when something changes.

Price checks use the past 12 months to July 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Not a fit for our list right now

Why it could be worth it

What to watch out for

See Retail & consumer stocks that passed both tests

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

Compare with another stock

Cash yield
past 12 months to July 2026
0.9%low

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $0.92 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to July 2026
11.7×fair

You pay 11.7 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
0.8%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 1 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 28 of 100. Price score: 57 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$41.24 a share, 9% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $37.89 to $65.20.

Dividend: 2.4% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

0.8
0.3
0.1
-0.1
-0.3
0.0
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jul '26

Spare cash swings from quarter to quarter here: $23 million in the past 12 months, a shortfall of $298 million in the year to December 2025.

Revenue
$11.0bn$9.1bn$9.2bn$9.1bn$8.6bn
Operating margin
7.5%5.7%0.4%-7.8%-0.5%
Debt to equity
0.340.530.710.821.55
Shares outstanding
0.06bn0.06bn0.06bn0.06bn0.06bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive3 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)5 of 9
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt1.55× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsShrinking, 3.2% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesRoughly flat

The quarter to July 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $2 billion last quarter, about the same as a year ago.
  • Profit: $55 million, up 267% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 3 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, after losing 11 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $23 million. A year earlier it spent $298 million more than it brought in.
  • 1% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
  • Debt is $267 million more than cash, up from $135 million a year ago.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$2.1bn
December 2024Not reported
April 2025$2.6bn
July 2025$2.0bn
September 2025$2.0bn
December 2025$2.0bn
April 2026$2.6bn
July 2026$2.0bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024-$6m
December 2024Not reported
April 2025$24m
July 2025$15m
September 2025-$1m
December 2025$6m
April 2026$24m
July 2026$55m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
13 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
19 November 2026

Who owns it

7 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 7 last quarter. 370 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

9 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 1 sold $390,762.

  • Soler Kristen L
    EVP, Chief HR Officer
    Sold
    Date
    13 November 2025
    Shares
    7,662
    Price
    $51.00
    Value
    $390,762

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 13 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 20 Aug 2026 and 5 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

  • Sales have shrunk: 3.2% a year.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.