American Electric Power

AEP on Nasdaq. American Electric Power sells electricity to homes and businesses in eleven states. Market value $65.1bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
6.6%high

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $6.58 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
22.4×full

You pay 22.4 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
4.6%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 5 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 70 of 100. Price score: 74 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$119.73 a share, 6% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $112.54 to $140.58.

Dividend: 3.1% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Monday’s close (5 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
3.5
4.3
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$16.8bn$19.6bn$19.0bn$19.7bn$21.9bn
Operating margin
20.3%17.7%18.7%21.8%24.3%
Debt to equity
1.631.721.711.681.57
Shares outstanding
0.51bn0.53bn0.53bn0.54bn0.54bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive1 of 1 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)5 of 9
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt1.57× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 8.0% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 6% more shares since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $5.4 billion last quarter, up 7% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $713 million, down 42% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 23 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 25 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $4.3 billion, down from $4.8 billion.
  • 3% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
  • Debt is $52.5 billion more than cash, up from $45.8 billion a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$5.4bn
December 2024$4.7bn
March 2025$5.5bn
June 2025$5.1bn
September 2025$6.0bn
December 2025$5.3bn
March 2026$6.0bn
June 2026$5.4bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$962m
December 2024$664m
March 2025$800m
June 2025$1.2bn
September 2025$972m
December 2025$582m
March 2026$874m
June 2026$713m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
28 October 2026
Last annual report (10-K)
12 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
29 October 2026

Who owns it

9 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 9 last quarter. 1,977 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

2 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 4 sold $3m, $3m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Dixon Kate
    Controller, CAO
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    8 September 2026
    Shares
    2,000
    Price
    $125.00
    Value
    $250,000
  • Ulrich Phillip R.
    Executive Vice President
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    27 February 2026
    Shares
    4,106
    Price
    $132.08
    Value
    $542,320
  • Ferneau Kelly J
    Executive Vice President
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    24 February 2026
    Shares
    1,351
    Price
    $131.46
    Value
    $177,602
  • FOWKE BENJAMIN G S III
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    12 December 2025
    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $115.07
    Value
    $575,350
  • FOWKE BENJAMIN G S III
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    14 November 2025
    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $121.58
    Value
    $607,900
  • FOWKE BENJAMIN G S III
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    10 October 2025
    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $117.52
    Value
    $587,600

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 12 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 30 Jul 2026 and 7 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • Physical attacks or hostile cyber intrusions could severely impair operations, lead to the disclosure of confidential information and damage AEP’s reputation. (Applies to all Registrants)

    Risks from cybersecurity and physical threats to energy infrastructure are increasing. Threat actors, including sophisticated nation-state actors and criminal groups, exploit potential vulnerabilities in the electric utility industry, grid infrastructure and other energy infrastructures. Attacks and disruptions, which could involve physical, cyber and hybrid targeting of physical and cyber assets, are increasingly sophisticated and dynamic. The increased implementation of, and reliance on, information technologies and networks to manage business operations, including the operation of technical systems, as well as AEP’s use of numerous vendors and suppliers, create additional points of vulnerability that could be, and in certain instances have been, exploited by malicious threat actors. Several U.S. government agencies have warned that the energy sector and its supply chains are subject to increasing risks of physical attacks, ransomware attacks and cybersecurity threats, and that the risks may escalate during periods of heightened geopolitical tensions. In addition, the rapid evolution and increased adoption of AI technologies may intensify AEP’s cybersecurity risks.
    Read more
  • The business and capital investment plans of AEP depend, in part, on the continued growth and viability of data centers and large load customers interconnecting with the AEP System. (Applies to all Registrants)

    Could happen
    AEP is experiencing current and projected load demands that exceed historical experience, creating a business need for new power generating resources and transmission facilities. Much of this demand is driven by interconnecting with and providing power to data centers and other large load customers to serve an increasingly digital economy and to support AI. The business and capital investment plans of AEP are focused on meeting these current and projected needs. If these increased demands for electricity do not occur as projected or are not sustained as projected, for any reason, it could affect AEP’s financial condition.
    Read more
  • Failure to attract and retain an appropriately qualified workforce and management could harm results of operations. (Applies to all Registrants)

    Could happen
    Difficulties in sustaining leadership continuity could negatively impact AEP’s business and financial condition. The ability to maintain strong leadership relies on effective succession planning, and gaps in preparing or transitioning individuals into critical roles may impact performance.
    Read more
  • The business and capital investment plans of AEP are subject to execution risks. (Applies to all Registrants)

    Could happen
    Meeting the significant increase in electricity demand from new data centers and other large‑load customers will require substantial investment in new generation and transmission facilities. These projects may require levels of capital that exceed historical utility financing needs, and the ability of the capital markets to supply sufficient funding for large‑scale infrastructure expansion is uncertain. AEP’s ability to undertake these capital‑intensive projects depends in part on continued access to debt and equity markets. If capital markets experience reduced liquidity, constrained capacity for utility issuances, or diminished investor appetite for long‑duration infrastructure investments, AEP may be unable to obtain the financing required to support these projects. Even if capital is available, it may only be obtainable at significantly higher cost due to market conditions or competition for capital among utilities and other sectors. Any inability to secure adequate financing could delay or prevent the construction of required facilities, impair AEP’s ability to serve its customers, and adversely affect future net income, cash flows and financial condition.
    Read more
  • Changes in U.S. or foreign trade policies, including the imposition of tariffs and other protectionist trade measures, and other factors beyond AEP’s control may adversely impact future net income and cash flows and financial condition.

    Could happen
    Executive actions have been taken and additional measures proposed that are intended to alter the U.S. approach to international trade policy, the terms of certain existing bilateral or multi‐lateral trade agreements and trading arrangements with foreign countries. Such changes to U.S. international trade policy, and any retaliatory trade measures that foreign governments may take in response, including the imposition of tariffs, sanctions, export or import controls, or other measures that restrict international trade, or the threat of such actions, could result in additional increases in the cost of certain goods, services and cost of capital and exacerbate supply chain issues. In addition, related geopolitical and domestic political developments, such as existing and potential trade wars, uncertainty regarding changes in trade policy, and other events beyond AEP’s control, have increased and may continue to increase levels of political and economic unpredictability globally and the volatility of global financial markets. As a result, prevailing economic conditions may reduce future net income and cash flows and negatively impact financial condition.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.