AI Financial

AIFC on Nasdaq. Market value $66m.

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Why it could be worth it

Nothing stands out yet.

Read the warning sign in its own filings

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Who owns it

None of the long-term investors we follow own it. 75 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

5 investors own more than 5%.

  • CRCM LLC
    Passive investor
    at least 10.0%+0.1 pts
    (filed with 5 related holders)
    Since 30 June 2026
  • Clover Crest Bahamas Limited
    Passive investor
    8.9%
    Since 14 May 2025
  • at least 4.8%
    (filed with 3 related holders)
    Since 11 August 2025
  • at least 4.0%
    (filed with 2 related holders)
    Since 11 August 2025
  • JANE STREET GROUP, LLC
    Passive investor
    at least 2.8%−3.0 pts
    (filed with 3 related holders)
    Since 31 December 2025
  • Citadel Securities LLC
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 12 August 2025
  • The Vanguard Group
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 13 March 2026
  • Soul Ventures Holdings Ltd
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 15 October 2025

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought or sold on the open market in the last 12 months.

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

2 serious warning signs in AI Financial’s filings.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 13 Apr 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 17 Aug 2026 and 6 later 8-Ks.

  • Doubt it can keep going

    Serious

    The company or its auditor warned it may not have enough money to last the next year.

    “These conditions raise substantial doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern within one year after the date these financial statements are issued.”
    Show the full paragraph
    The Company has incurred recurring losses from operations, including a net loss from continuing operations of approximately $ 341.5 million for the fiscal year ended December 27, 2025, and a net loss from continuing operations of approximately $ 8.3 million for the fiscal year ended December 28, 2024. As of December 27, 2025, the Company had a working capital deficit of approximately $ 21.9 million, reflecting total current liabilities of $ 51.4 million compared to total current assets of $ 29.5 million. These conditions raise substantial doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern within one year after the date these financial statements are issued.

    From the 10-K filed 13 April 2026, Item 8. Financial Statements and Notes. Read it in the filing

  • Weak checks on its own accounts

    Serious

    The company said its checks on its own accounts did not work at the end of its latest quarter. Mistakes could slip into the numbers.

    “Based upon that evaluation, our principal executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that, as of June 27, 2026, the period covered in this report, our disclosure controls and procedures were not effective to ensure that information required to be disclosed in reports filed under the Exchange is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the required time periods and is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, as appropriate to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure due to material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting further described below.”
    Show the full paragraph
    Evaluation of Disclosure control and Procedures . We carried out an evaluation, under the supervision, and with the participation of our management, including our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, of the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)). Based upon that evaluation, our principal executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that, as of June 27, 2026, the period covered in this report, our disclosure controls and procedures were not effective to ensure that information required to be disclosed in reports filed under the Exchange is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the required time periods and is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, as appropriate to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure due to material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting further described below.

    From the 10-Q filed 17 August 2026, Part I, Item 4. Controls and Procedures. Read it in the filing

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.