Antero Resources

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 11 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 29 Jul 2026 and 8 later 8-Ks.

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

• Notwithstanding the due diligence investigation that we performed in connection with our entry into the definitive agreement to purchase HG Production, HG Production may have liabilities, losses or other exposures for which we do not have adequate insurance coverage or other protection.

  Could happen

  With the consummation of the HG Acquisition, the liabilities of HG Production, including contingent liabilities, will be consolidated with our liabilities for purposes of financial reporting. HG Production may have unknown liabilities which we will be responsible for following the consummation of the HG Acquisition. If HG Production’s liabilities are greater than expected, or if there are obligations of HG Production of which we are not aware, our business could be materially and adversely affected. We do not have indemnification rights from the current owners of HG Production for defects and liabilities associated with the acquired assets and instead will rely on a limited representation and warranty insurance policy, which we have obtained. Such insurance is subject to exclusions, policy limits and certain other customary terms and conditions. If we are responsible for liabilities not covered by representation and warranty insurance, we could suffer consequences that could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.

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• Our operations are subject to a series of risks related to climate that could result in increased operating costs, limit the areas in which we may conduct oil and natural gas exploration and production activities, and reduce demand for our products.

  Could happen

  The federal regulation of methane from oil and gas facilities has been subject to substantial uncertainty in recent years. In December 2023, the EPA finalized more stringent methane rules for new, modified, and reconstructed facilities, known as OOOOb, as well as standards for existing sources for the first time ever, known as OOOOc. However, in March 2025, the EPA announced plans to reconsider OOOOb and OOOOc, in line with the Trump administration’s deregulatory agenda. Additionally, in November 2025, the EPA finalized an interim rule extending the compliance deadlines for certain provisions provided in OOOOb and OOOOc. Litigation challenging the EPA’s final interim rule extending such compliance deadlines for new and existing oil and gas sources remains pending. We cannot predict what additional actions the Trump administration may take or how they might affect our business or results of operations. However, failure to comply with these CAA requirements can result in the imposition of substantial fines and penalties as well as costly injunctive relief. Given the long-term trend toward increasing regulation, future federal GHG regulations of the oil and gas industry remain a possibility, and several states, including West Virginia and Ohio, have separately imposed or are considering imposing their own regulations on methane emissions from oil and gas production activities.

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• We are subject to complex federal, state, local and other laws and regulations that could adversely affect the cost, manner or feasibility of conducting our operations or expose us to significant liabilities.

  Could happen

  Our oil and gas exploration, production, processing and transportation operations are subject to complex and stringent laws and regulations. To conduct our operations in compliance with these laws and regulations, we must obtain and maintain numerous permits, approvals and certificates from various federal, state and local governmental authorities. We may incur substantial costs to maintain compliance with these existing laws and regulations. In addition, our costs of compliance may increase if existing laws and regulations are revised or reinterpreted, or if new laws and regulations become applicable to our operations. For instance, there have been several recent developments regarding the National Environmental Policy Act (“NEPA”) regulatory regime. Most recently, following a Trump administration Executive Order, in February 2025, the White House’s Council on Environmental Quality (“CEQ”) released an interim final rule rescinding its regulations implementing NEPA. Federal agencies have begun the process of preparing their own new or updated NEPA-implementing rules or guidelines, with the first batch of updates released in July 2025. In May 2025, the Supreme Court issued an opinion in Seven County Infrastructure Coalition v. Eagle County emphasizing the “substantial judicial deference” that courts must grant agencies when considering NEPA challenges. In September 2025, CEQ issued new guidance to federal agencies implementing NEPA encouraging them to limit their NEPA reviews, rely more heavily on sponsor-prepared documents, and streamline the NEPA process. The impact of these developments remains unclear at this time, but any disruption in our ability to obtain permits could result in costs that could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

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• Notwithstanding the due diligence investigation that we performed in connection with our entry into the definitive agreement to purchase HG Production, HG Production may have liabilities, losses or other exposures for which we do not have adequate insurance coverage or other protection.

  Could happen

  While we performed due diligence on HG Production prior to our entry into the definitive agreement to purchase HG Production, we are dependent on the accuracy and completeness of statements and disclosures made or actions taken by HG Production and its representatives when conducting due diligence and evaluating the results of such due diligence. We do not control and may be unaware of activities of HG Production prior to the completion of the HG Acquisition, including intellectual property and other litigation, claims or disputes, information security vulnerabilities, violations of laws, policies, rules and regulations, commercial disputes, tax liabilities and other known and unknown liabilities.

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• We may not complete the Utica Shale Divestiture within the anticipated timeframe or at all.

  Could happen

  The completion of the Utica Shale Divestiture is subject to a number of conditions. The failure to satisfy all of the required conditions could delay the completion of the Utica Shale Divestiture for a significant period of time or prevent it from occurring at all. A delay in completing the Utica Shale Divestiture could cause us to realize some or all of the benefits later than we otherwise expect to realize them if the Utica Shale Divestiture were successfully completed within the anticipated timeframe, which could result in additional transaction costs or in other negative effects associated with uncertainty around completion of the divestiture.

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