AeroVironment

AVAV on Nasdaq. AeroVironment sells drones and defense technology to military customers. Market value $7.1bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to July 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to April 2026.

Should I look at this?

Look carefully before going further

Read the warning sign in its own filings

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to July 2026
-0.4%low

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $-0.35 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to July 2026
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Return on capital
five annual reports to April 2026
-1.1%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns -1 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 40 of 100. Price score: 0 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$139.30 a share, 3% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $135.20 to $417.86.

Pays no dividend

Prices from Monday’s close (5 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
-0.0
2022202320242025202612 monthsto Jul '26

Spare cash swings from quarter to quarter here: a shortfall of $25 million in the past 12 months, a shortfall of $141 million in the year to April 2026.

Revenue
$446m$541m$717m$821m$2.0bn
Operating margin
-2.2%-33.1%10.0%5.0%-15.7%
Debt to equity
0.310.250.030.030.17
Shares outstanding
0.03bn0.03bn0.03bn0.05bn0.05bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive0 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Warning signs
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)2 of 9
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.17× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 38.0% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 101% more shares since 2022

The quarter to July 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $480 million last quarter, up 6% on a year ago.
  • A loss of $5 million, compared with a loss of $67 million a year ago.
  • It loses 13 cents on each $1 of sales, compared with 5 cents a year earlier.
  • Over the past 12 months it spent $25 million more cash than it brought in, compared with $190 million a year earlier.
  • 6% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
  • Debt is $469 million more than cash, up from $62 million a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
October 2024$188m
January 2025$168m
April 2025$275m
July 2025$455m
October 2025$473m
January 2026$408m
April 2026$642m
July 2026$480m
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
October 2024$8m
January 2025-$2m
April 2025$17m
July 2025-$67m
October 2025-$17m
January 2026-$244m
April 2026$63m
July 2026-$5m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
29 June 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
10 December 2026

Who owns it

2 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 2 last quarter. 611 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

2 investors own more than 5%.

  • Altitude V Holdings, LLC
    Passive investor
    at least 13.5%−1.2 pts
    (filed with 5 related holders)
    Since 17 June 2026
    What they said

    Item 4 of the Schedule 13D is hereby amended to include the following: On June 16, 2026, each of David Wodlinger and Henry Albers provided separate notices informing the Company of their resignation from the Company's board of directors (the "Board") effective June 17, 2026.…

    Read the filing
  • BlackRock, Inc.
    Passive investor
    6.7%−1.5 pts
    Since 30 June 2026
  • BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 30 June 2025
  • STATE STREET CORPORATION
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 30 June 2025
  • The Vanguard Group
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 13 March 2026

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 4 sold $3m, $3m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Shackley Brian Charles
    SVP, Chief Accounting Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 September 2026
    Shares
    100
    Price
    $152.27
    Value
    $15,227
  • PAGE STEPHEN F
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 September 2026
    Shares
    250
    Price
    $152.27
    Value
    $38,068
  • PAGE STEPHEN F
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    17 August 2026
    Shares
    250
    Price
    $191.98
    Value
    $47,995
  • Shackley Brian Charles
    SVP, Chief Accounting Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    14 August 2026
    Shares
    205
    Price
    $201.86
    Value
    $41,381
  • Shackley Brian Charles
    SVP, Chief Accounting Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 July 2026
    Shares
    300
    Price
    $143.00
    Value
    $42,900
  • PAGE STEPHEN F
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 July 2026
    Shares
    248
    Price
    $143.00
    Value
    $35,464
  • PAGE STEPHEN F
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 June 2026
    Shares
    250
    Price
    $174.41
    Value
    $43,603
  • PAGE STEPHEN F
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 May 2026
    Shares
    250
    Price
    $162.31
    Value
    $40,578
  • PAGE STEPHEN F
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 April 2026
    Shares
    250
    Price
    $197.29
    Value
    $49,323
  • Shackley Brian Charles
    Chief Accounting Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    16 March 2026
    Shares
    200
    Price
    $212.52
    Value
    $42,504

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

2 serious warning signs in AeroVironment’s filings.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 29 Jun 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 10 Sep 2026 and 4 later 8-Ks.

  • Weak checks on its own accounts

    Serious

    The company said its checks on its own accounts did not work at the end of its latest quarter. Mistakes could slip into the numbers.

    “Based on this assessment, and in light of the material weaknesses identified in our internal control over financial reporting as disclosed in our Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended April 30, 2026, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures were not effective as of August 1, 2026, due to the material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting described below.”
    Show the full paragraph
    We maintain disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Exchange Act) that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in our Exchange Act reports is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow for timely decisions regarding required disclosure. In designing and evaluating the disclosure controls and procedures, management recognizes that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired control objectives, and management is required to apply its judgment in evaluating the cost-benefit relationship of possible controls and procedures. As required by Rule 13a-15(b) under the Exchange Act, we carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures. Based on this assessment, and in light of the material weaknesses identified in our internal control over financial reporting as disclosed in our Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended April 30, 2026, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures were not effective as of August 1, 2026, due to the material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting described below.

    From the 10-Q filed 10 September 2026, Part I, Item 4. Controls and Procedures. Read it in the filing

  • Its past accounts can't be relied on

    Serious

    It told the SEC its earlier accounts should no longer be relied on, usually because they contained errors.

    8-K Item 4.02 filed 22 Jun 2026: the company said its earlier financial statements should no longer be relied on.

    From an 8-K filed 22 June 2026: Previously issued accounts should no longer be relied on. Open the filing

  • One big customer

    Worth knowing

    One customer brings in a big share of sales: 63% last year. Losing that customer would hurt.

    “The DoD, our principal U.S. government customer, accounted for approximately 63% of our revenue for the fiscal year ended April 30, 2026.”

    From the 10-K filed 29 June 2026, Item 1A. Risk Factors. Read it in the filing

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

  • Its accounts show patterns that sometimes come before companies have to correct past results (Beneish score).

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.