Booking Holdings

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 18 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 4 Aug 2026 and 8 later 8-Ks.

• It owes more than it owns on paper (negative equity). Often that's from borrowing to buy back shares.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

• We rely on the performance of highly skilled employees and, if we are unable to retain or motivate key employees or hire, retain, and motivate well-qualified employees, our business would be harmed.

  Already happened

  Competition for well-qualified employees, especially software engineers, professionals supporting our Gen AI initiatives, and other technology professionals, is intense and costly. Our customer service resources (including outsource arrangements) may be unable to provide adequate customer service support. Additionally, our Gen AI initiatives could alter our infrastructure and workforce. Our success has led to increased efforts by our competitors and others to hire our employees. These difficulties may be amplified by increased ability to work remotely, evolving restrictions on immigration or availability of visas or work permits for skilled technology workers, requirements of applicable collective bargaining agreements, and laws in certain jurisdictions that make recruiting senior talent more difficult, such as the reductions in the partial tax exemption that benefits certain non-Dutch citizens working in the Netherlands. These factors combined with inflationary pressure on compensation has caused our personnel expenses to attract and retain key talent to increase, which may adversely affect our results of operations. If we do not succeed in attracting, and retaining well-qualified employees, our business, ability to grow and innovate, competitive position, reputation, and results of operations would be adversely affected.

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• We are dependent on travel service providers, restaurants, search platforms, and other third parties.

  Could happen

  A significant portion of consumer traffic to our services is derived from third-party platforms, including Google and other search engines, mobile operating systems, app marketplaces, mapping services, and other digital distribution channels. These platforms increasingly incorporate Gen AI features, such as AI-generated answers, assistants, and recommendations, that may satisfy user intent without directing users to our services or may favor the platform's own or affiliated offerings.

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• Our business is subject to various competition, consumer protection, and online commerce laws and regulations around the world, and as the size of our business grows, scrutiny of our business in these areas may intensify.

  Competition and consumer-law-related investigations, legislation, judgments, or issues have in the past resulted in and could in the future result in private litigation. We are currently involved in such litigation and aware of such potential litigation. For example, a Dutch consumer group has filed a claim against Booking.com relating to the historical use of contractual parity provisions, as well as allegations that Booking.com and Agoda employed misleading practices, and we are aware of similar efforts to pursue potential claims in other jurisdictions. See Note 16 to our Consolidated Financial Statements for more information regarding this and other such claims or potential claims. Class action litigation can be time-consuming, costly, and unpredictable, regardless of merit, and there may be evolving jurisprudence and less experience with such matters in certain of the geographies where we are or may be involved in such litigation, making outcomes less certain and harder to forecast. If we were to be found liable, it could result in, among other things, payment of damages, commitments to change certain business practices, or reputational damage, any of which could harm our business, results of operations, brands, or competitive position.

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• Intense competition could reduce our market share and harm our financial performance.

  Could happen

  We operate in highly competitive and rapidly evolving global markets for travel and restaurant reservation services. Barriers to entry are low, and we compete with online travel companies ("OTCs"), travel service providers offering direct booking (such as airlines, hotels, and rental car companies), traditional travel agencies and operators, companies offering travel-related software, payments, or technology solutions, financial services and credit card companies, and global technology companies with significantly greater scale, data, and financial resources. For example, Google links travel search to its dominant search engine and has integrated travel products into Google Maps and its Gemini generative AI ("Gen AI") offering. Other large technology platforms and AI-native competitors are developing Gen AI-powered assistants and agents that can search, compare, recommend, and facilitate travel and dining reservations directly within their search engines, operating systems, messaging platforms, or "super-apps." These offerings may reduce consumers choosing to visit dedicated online travel platforms, reducing direct traffic, bookings, and customer relationships. Gen AI also lowers barriers to entry and enables competitors to potentially replicate or improve core functionality, personalize recommendations and pricing, and acquire customers more efficiently through non-travel consumer interactions. AI agents may further evolve into full-service booking platforms, increasing competitive pressure and disintermediating OTCs. If our Gen AI investments are not successful or we are unable to successfully adapt to such changes, our ability to compete, and our business and results of operations, could be adversely affected.

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• We are dependent on travel service providers, restaurants, search platforms, and other third parties.

  Could happen

  Changes in algorithms, ranking methodologies, user interfaces, access terms, pricing, or the placement of AI-generated content by these platforms could reduce the visibility of our services, increase customer acquisition costs, or decrease traffic and bookings. In addition, platform providers may restrict data access, limit interoperability, or impose commercial terms that disadvantage us relative to competing or native AI-enabled services.

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