Carrier Global

CARR on NYSE. Carrier sells heating, cooling and cold chain equipment to homes, buildings and businesses. Market value $45.9bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Good business, but not cheap right now

See cheaper Industrials stocks on the list

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
4.2%fair

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $4.17 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
33.0×full

You pay 33.0 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
12.7%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 13 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 90 of 100. Price score: 37 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$56.10 a share, 12% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $50.24 to $76.76.

Dividend: 1.7% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

1.9
1.4
2.2
0.0
2.1
1.9
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$20.6bn$17.3bn$19.0bn$22.5bn$21.7bn
Operating margin
12.8%23.0%11.4%11.8%10.0%
Debt to equity
1.371.091.590.850.81
Shares outstanding
0.84bn0.84bn0.90bn0.84bn0.83bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)6 of 8 checks we could run
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.81× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 4.5% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesRoughly flat

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $6.4 billion last quarter, up 4% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $501 million, down 15% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 8 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 14 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $1.9 billion, up from $542 million.
  • 3% fewer shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit more of the company.
  • Debt is $10.6 billion more than cash, up from $9.6 billion a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in 2 of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$6.0bn
December 2024$5.1bn
March 2025$5.2bn
June 2025$6.1bn
September 2025$5.6bn
December 2025$4.8bn
March 2026$5.3bn
June 2026$6.4bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$447m
December 2024$2.6bn
March 2025$412m
June 2025$591m
September 2025$428m
December 2025$53m
March 2026$238m
June 2026$501m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
27 October 2026
Last annual report (10-K)
5 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
27 October 2026

Who owns it

11 long-term investors we follow own it, down from 12 last quarter. 1,644 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

4 investors own more than 5%.

  • 12.8%−1.0 pts
    Since 30 June 2026
  • BlackRock, Inc.
    Passive investor
    7.6%
    Since 30 June 2026
  • 7.1%
    Since 31 March 2026
  • Viessmann Generations Group GmbH & Co. KG
    Insider or founder
    at least 4.6%−1.3 pts
    (filed with 4 related holders)
    Since 20 May 2026
    What they said

    On May 20, 2026, Viessmann Traeger HoldCo GmbH (together with its affiliates, "VGG") entered into a block trade (the "Block Trade") with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. ("JPMorgan") with respect to a portion of VGG's ownership of Carrier Global Corporation ("Carrier" or the "Company")…

    Read the filing
  • Capital World Investors
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 31 March 2025
  • Sold down below 5%
    Since 31 December 2025
  • The Vanguard Group
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 13 March 2026

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

In the last 12 months, 1 insider bought $1m of shares on the open market. 1 sold $750m.

  • Viessmann Maximilian
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    20 May 2026
    Shares
    12,094,823
    Price
    $62.01
    Value
    $750m
  • Gitlin David L.
    Chairman and CEO, Director
    Bought
    Date
    25 November 2025
    Shares
    19,300
    Price
    $52.62
    Value
    $1m

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 5 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 28 Jul 2026 and 4 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

  • It isn't cheap on profits: 33.0× operating profit.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.