Maplebear

CART on Nasdaq. Instacart sells grocery delivery software and shopping services to consumers and retailers. Market value $10.6bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
11.2%very high

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $11.17 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
16.6×full

You pay 16.6 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
20.9%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 21 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 87 of 100. Price score: 83 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$45.47 a share, 39% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $32.73 to $52.68.

Pays no dividend

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

0.5
0.6
0.9
1.2
20232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$3.0bn$3.4bn$3.7bn
Operating margin
-70.4%14.5%13.3%
Debt to equity
0.000.000.00
Shares outstanding
0.26bn0.26bn0.23bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive3 of 3 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)6 of 9
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)No
  • Debt0.00× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsUnknown
  • Buying back its own sharesYes, 10% fewer since 2023

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $1 billion last quarter, up 14% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $111 million, down 4% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 15 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, about the same as a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $1.2 billion, up from $779 million.
  • 12% fewer shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit more of the company.
  • It has $757 million more cash than debt, down from $1.5 billion a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$852m
December 2024$883m
March 2025$897m
June 2025$914m
September 2025$939m
December 2025$992m
March 2026$1.0bn
June 2026$1.0bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$118m
December 2024$148m
March 2025$106m
June 2025$116m
September 2025$144m
December 2025$81m
March 2026$144m
June 2026$111m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
26 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
6 November 2026

Who owns it

6 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 6 last quarter. 500 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26

Sold out this quarter

Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

4 investors own more than 5%.

  • Apoorva Mehta
    Passive investor
    8.4%
    Since 30 June 2025
  • at least 8.0%−1.5 pts
    (filed with 8 related holders)
    Since 13 August 2026
  • BlackRock, Inc.
    Passive investor
    6.6%+1.2 pts
    Since 31 March 2026
  • GCM Investments GP, LLC
    Passive investor
    at least 1.7%
    (filed with 9 related holders)
    Since 31 March 2026
  • DOUGLAS LEONE ("DL")
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 3 June 2025
  • The Vanguard Group
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 13 March 2026

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 8 sold $28m, $12m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Fong Morgan
    Chief Legal Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    22 September 2026
    Shares
    18,390
    Price
    $44.98
    Value
    $827,246
  • BLACKWOOD-KAPRAL LISA
    Chief Accounting Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 September 2026
    Shares
    3,017
    Price
    $47.08
    Value
    $142,040
  • Laughton Mary Beth
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    27 August 2026
    Shares
    10,236
    Price
    $50.33
    Value
    $515,150
  • Fong Morgan
    Chief Legal Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    24 August 2026
    Shares
    18,390
    Price
    $49.96
    Value
    $918,802
  • Rogers Chris
    President and CEO, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    19 August 2026
    Shares
    7,606
    Price
    $48.95
    Value
    $372,287
  • Gupta Ravi
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    19 August 2026
    Shares
    150,000
    Price
    $50.61
    Value
    $8m
  • Reuter Emily
    CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    13 August 2026
    Shares
    25,000
    Price
    $50.01
    Value
    $1m
  • Rogers Chris
    President and CEO, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    7 August 2026
    Shares
    4,933
    Price
    $50.00
    Value
    $246,650
  • Fong Morgan
    Chief Legal Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    22 July 2026
    Shares
    18,390
    Price
    $44.34
    Value
    $815,398
  • BLACKWOOD-KAPRAL LISA
    Chief Accounting Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 July 2026
    Shares
    3,016
    Price
    $47.64
    Value
    $143,682

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 26 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 7 Aug 2026 and 4 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • Our business is subject to various laws and regulations, which may change or increase over time and subject us to increased compliance costs and liabilities.

    Further, the state of the law regarding independent contractor status varies from jurisdiction to jurisdiction and among governmental agencies and is subject to change based on court decisions and regulation. For example, Proposition 22 provides more legal certainty over the status of independent workers offering delivery services in California. However, there may continue to be legal challenges, or legislative or other attempts to amend or otherwise invalidate the benefits, protections, or the independent worker status provided by Proposition 22. To date, no such challenges or attempts have been successful. Additionally, we may face allegations that certain of our business practices do not satisfy all the elements of Proposition 22. Moreover, laws that provide greater certainty over the status of or otherwise regulate independent workers may also impose additional requirements related to the use of contractors. For example, Proposition 22 entitles shoppers in California to certain new pay standards and benefits, and imposes certain requirements, which increases costs for us in California, where a large number of shoppers who use Instacart are located. While we believe we properly provide all requisite pay standards and benefits under Proposition 22, we may nonetheless face various claims involving disputes over such pay standards and benefits. Additionally, in September 2025, the New York City Council passed legislation mandating certain minimum earnings standards and other protections for grocery delivery workers, as well as certain disclosure requirements. If similar minimum earnings standards and other regulations are enacted in other jurisdictions in which we operate, it will increase the cost and complexity of operating our business in those jurisdictions and may adversely affect our business. We expect continuing challenges to the independent contractor classification of shoppers who use Instacart and the imposition of additional requirements on the use of contractors. If legislation, regulations, or judicial decisions regarding contractors change adversely, including by imposing additional requirements to engage contractors, such changes would increase the already existing risk that shoppers could be construed as employees or increase our costs to use shoppers. Therefore, our ability to contract with independent contractors for order fulfillment in those jurisdictions would be significantly negatively impacted, and we may experience one or more of the impacts listed above, which would adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
    Read more
  • We are subject to rapidly changing and increasingly stringent laws, regulations, industry standards, contractual obligations, policies and other obligations relating to privacy, data security, data protection artificial intelligence, machine learning, and automated decision-making. The obligations, restrictions, and costs imposed by these laws, or our actual or perceived failure to comply with them, could subject us to adverse business consequences and other liabilities that adversely affect our business, operations, and financial performance.

    Could happen
    As part of our normal business activities, we collect, use, store, share, transmit, and otherwise process sensitive, proprietary, and confidential information, including personal information of retailers, customers, brands, shoppers, employees, and others. We are subject to a variety of federal, state, local, and foreign privacy, data security, data protection,AI, machine learning, and automated decision-making laws, regulations, regulatory guidance, industry standards, contractual obligations, and codes of conduct, many of which have become increasingly stringent in recent years and are complex, constantly evolving, impose heavy compliance burdens, and may have conflicting requirements. New laws and regulations that apply to our business are being introduced at every level of government in the United States, as well as internationally which could further restrict certain uses of the personal information of retailers, customers, brands, shoppers, employees, and others.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.