Century Aluminum

CENX on Nasdaq. Century Aluminum sells aluminum to manufacturers around the world. Market value $3.7bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Look carefully before going further

Read the warning sign in its own filings

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
4.1%fair

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $4.11 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
5.6×cheap

You pay 5.6 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
6.2%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 6 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 60 of 100. Price score: 89 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$37.18 a share, 46% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $25.40 to $70.43.

Pays no dividend

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
0.1
0.2
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26

Spare cash swings from quarter to quarter here: $151 million in the past 12 months, $85 million in the year to December 2025.

Revenue
$2.2bn$2.8bn$2.2bn$2.2bn$2.5bn
Operating margin
3.0%-5.4%1.3%4.9%6.3%
Debt to equity
1.071.321.350.760.68
Shares outstanding
0.09bn0.09bn0.09bn0.09bn0.10bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive2 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)7 of 9
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.68× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 9.5% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 8% more shares since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $752 million last quarter, up 20% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $249 million, after a loss of $5 million a year ago.
  • It keeps 26 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, up from 7 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $151 million. A year earlier it spent $22 million more than it brought in.
  • 12% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
  • Debt is $137 million more than cash, down from $448 million a year ago.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
June 2024$561m
December 2024Not reported
March 2025$634m
June 2025$628m
September 2025$632m
December 2025$634m
March 2026$649m
June 2026$752m
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
June 2024-$3m
December 2024Not reported
March 2025$30m
June 2025-$5m
September 2025$15m
December 2025$2m
March 2026$338m
June 2026$249m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
3 March 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
5 November 2026

Who owns it

3 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 3 last quarter. 413 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

3 investors own more than 5%.

  • Glencore plc
    Passive investor
    at least 30.0%−6.6 pts
    (filed with 2 related holders)
    Since 4 March 2026
    What they said

    The Reporting Persons remain confident in the management team and outlook of the Company, maintain a position in the Company and intend to continue to hold Common Stock for investment purposes. On March 4, 2026, the Reporting Persons monetized a portion of their investment via a…

    Read the filing
  • BlackRock, Inc.
    Passive investor
    10.5%+1.0 pts
    Since 30 September 2026
  • STATE STREET CORPORATION
    Passive investor
    5.6%
    Since 30 June 2026
  • The Vanguard Group
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 13 March 2026

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 8 sold $26m, $16m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Trpkovski Peter A
    EVP, CFO
    Sold
    Date
    25 March 2026
    Shares
    16,739
    Price
    $50.51
    Value
    $845,487
  • Gary Jesse E
    President and CEO, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    16 March 2026
    Shares
    150,000
    Price
    $55.47
    Value
    $8m
  • Calloway Kenneth L
    SVP, Human Resources
    Sold
    Date
    12 March 2026
    Shares
    18,000
    Price
    $58.00
    Value
    $1m
  • Hoffman Robert F
    SVP, IT and CAO
    Sold
    Date
    11 March 2026
    Shares
    10,529
    Price
    $56.51
    Value
    $594,994
  • Hoffman Robert F
    SVP, IT and CAO
    Sold
    Date
    4 March 2026
    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $56.33
    Value
    $563,300
  • Aboud Matt
    SVP, Strategy & Business Dev't
    Sold
    Date
    3 March 2026
    Shares
    2,971
    Price
    $52.67
    Value
    $156,483
  • Aboud Matt
    SVP, Strategy & Business Dev't
    Sold
    Date
    2 March 2026
    Shares
    12,126
    Price
    $52.50
    Value
    $636,615
  • Hafberg Agust F
    SVP & Chief Commercial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    27 February 2026
    Shares
    22,884
    Price
    $51.24
    Value
    $1m
  • Gudlaugsson Gunnar
    EVP - Global Operations
    Sold
    Date
    25 February 2026
    Shares
    43,000
    Price
    $54.10
    Value
    $2m
  • DeZee John
    EVP, GC and Secretary
    Sold
    Date
    23 February 2026
    Shares
    66,000
    Price
    $50.72
    Value
    $3m

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

2 serious warning signs in Century Aluminum’s filings.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 3 Mar 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 6 Aug 2026 and 3 later 8-Ks.

  • Weak checks on its own accounts

    Serious

    The company said its checks on its own accounts did not work at year end. Mistakes could slip into the numbers.

    “Based upon that evaluation, our management, including the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures were ineffective as of December 31, 2025, because of a material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting described in Management’s Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting below.”
    Show the full paragraph
    As of December 31, 2025, we carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures. Based upon that evaluation, our management, including the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures were ineffective as of December 31, 2025, because of a material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting described in Management’s Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting below.

    From the 10-K filed 3 March 2026, Item 9A. Controls and Procedures. Read it in the filing

  • Its past accounts can't be relied on

    Serious

    It told the SEC its earlier accounts should no longer be relied on, usually because they contained errors.

    8-K Item 4.02 filed 3 Mar 2026: the company said its earlier financial statements should no longer be relied on.

    From an 8-K filed 3 March 2026: Previously issued accounts should no longer be relied on. Open the filing

  • One big customer

    Worth knowing

    One customer brings in a big share of sales: 54% last year. Losing that customer would hurt.

    “For the year ended December 31, 2025, we derived approximately 54.0% of our consolidated net sales from Glencore and we currently have agreements in place to sell a substantial portion of our 2026 production to Glencore.”

    From the 10-K filed 3 March 2026, Item 1A. Risk Factors. Read it in the filing

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.