Cummins

CMI on NYSE. Cummins sells engines, power generation systems and parts to manufacturers, distributors and dealers. Market value $72.0bn.

Watch this stockFree. We tell you when something changes.

Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

Compare with another stock

Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
4.7%fair

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $4.67 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
19.5×full

You pay 19.5 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
19.0%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 19 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 94 of 100. Price score: 66 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$523.37 a share, 31% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $400.72 to $737.76.

Dividend: 1.5% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Monday’s close (5 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

1.5
1.0
2.8
0.3
2.4
3.4
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$24.0bn$28.1bn$34.1bn$34.1bn$33.7bn
Operating margin
11.3%10.4%5.2%11.0%12.0%
Debt to equity
0.490.850.720.650.59
Shares outstanding
0.14bn0.14bn0.14bn0.14bn0.14bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)6 of 8 checks we could run
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.59× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 11.2% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesYes, 2% fewer since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $9.5 billion last quarter, up 9% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $932 million, up 5% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 11 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 12 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $3.4 billion, up from $1.7 billion.
  • About the same number of shares as a year ago.
  • Debt is $4.1 billion more than cash, down from $5.1 billion a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$8.5bn
December 2024$8.4bn
March 2025$8.2bn
June 2025$8.6bn
September 2025$8.3bn
December 2025$8.5bn
March 2026$8.4bn
June 2026$9.5bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$809m
December 2024$418m
March 2025$824m
June 2025$890m
September 2025$536m
December 2025$593m
March 2026$654m
June 2026$932m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
5 November 2026
Last annual report (10-K)
10 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
3 November 2026

Who owns it

12 long-term investors we follow own it, up from 11 last quarter. 2,102 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26

Sold out this quarter

Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

3 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 12 sold $41m, $13m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Newsome Earl
    VP - Chief Information Officer
    Sold
    Date
    24 August 2026
    Shares
    698
    Price
    $572.22
    Value
    $399,410
  • JACKSON DONALD G
    VP - Treasury & Tax
    Sold
    Date
    14 May 2026
    Shares
    730
    Price
    $710.92
    Value
    $518,973
  • Bush Jennifer Mary
    VP & Pres. - Power Systems
    Sold
    Date
    12 May 2026
    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $696.21
    Value
    $3m
  • Fetch Bonnie J
    EVP & President - Operations
    Sold
    Date
    11 May 2026
    Shares
    643
    Price
    $702.66
    Value
    $451,684
  • Merritt Brett Michael
    V.P & Pres. - Engine Business
    Sold
    Date
    11 May 2026
    Shares
    702
    Price
    $688.75
    Value
    $483,158
  • Fetch Bonnie J
    EVP & President - Operations
    Sold
    Date
    11 May 2026
    Shares
    652
    Price
    $700.19
    Value
    $456,524
  • Stoner Nathan R
    VP - China ABO
    Sold
    Date
    11 May 2026
    Shares
    607
    Price
    $694.06
    Value
    $421,294
  • Boakye Marvin
    VP - CHRO
    Sold
    Date
    8 May 2026
    Shares
    3,481
    Price
    $679.90
    Value
    $2m
  • Lamb-Hale Nicole
    VP, CAO & Corporate Secretary
    Sold
    Date
    8 May 2026
    Shares
    2,408
    Price
    $685.34
    Value
    $2m
  • Davis Amy Rochelle
    VP & Pres. - Accelera and Com
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    3 March 2026
    Shares
    4,054
    Price
    $561.35
    Value
    $2m

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 10 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 4 Aug 2026 and 3 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • We are using AI in our business and in our products, services and features, and challenges with properly managing its use could result in reputational harm, competitive harm and legal liability, and adversely affect our results of operations.

    Could happen
    We are incorporating AI solutions into our business, products, services and features, and we are leveraging AI, including generative AI, machine learning and similar tools and technologies, in our product development, operations and software programming. There is inherent risk and uncertainty involved in using AI. The use of AI in the development of our products and services could cause loss or theft of intellectual property, as well as subject us to risks related to intellectual property infringement or misappropriation, data privacy and cybersecurity. The use of AI by us, our vendors or our suppliers can lead to unintended consequences, including generating content that appears correct but is factually inaccurate, misleading or otherwise flawed, or that results in unintended biases and discriminatory outcomes, which could harm our stakeholders, our reputation and our business and expose us to risks related to inaccuracies or errors in the output of such technologies. If the AI tools that we use are deficient, inaccurate or controversial, we could incur operational inefficiencies, competitive harm, legal liability, brand or reputational harm, or other adverse impacts on our business and financial results. If we do not have sufficient rights to use the data or other material or content on which the AI tools we use rely, we also may incur liability through the violation of applicable laws and regulations, third-party intellectual property, data privacy, or other rights or contracts to which we are a party. In addition, our personnel could, unbeknownst to us, improperly utilize AI and machine learning-technology while carrying out their responsibilities.
    Read more
  • Deregulation could impair our investments in future products and negatively impact our long-term growth and competitiveness.

    Could happen
    Deregulation or reduction in incentives may also lead to reduced industry-wide innovation, as both we and our competitors could deprioritize or delay the introduction of advanced technologies that are no longer mandated. This could limit our ability to differentiate our products, respond to evolving customer expectations or maintain leadership in markets where regulatory requirements remain in place or are later reinstated. Furthermore, if we have already made substantial investments in anticipation of future regulations that are subsequently rolled back, we may not be able to recover those costs, which could result in asset impairments or reduced returns on investment.
    Read more
  • The development of new technologies may materially reduce the demand for our current products and services, and we may not be successful in developing new technologies and products in order to effectively address the energy transition.

    Could happen
    If the energy transition landscape changes faster than anticipated or in a manner that we do not anticipate, demand for our products and services, as well as our relationships with various stakeholders, could be adversely affected. Alternatively, if the energy transition occurs more slowly than anticipated, demand for our new products and technologies may be lower than expected or we may need to reassess, scale back or discontinue investments in future products, and as a result, we may fail to realize the anticipated benefits of our investments in new products and technologies. Furthermore, if we fail or are perceived to not effectively implement an energy transition strategy, or if investors or financial institutions shift funding away from companies in fossil fuel-related industries, our access to capital or the market for our securities could be negatively impacted.
    Read more
  • Deregulation could impair our investments in future products and negatively impact our long-term growth and competitiveness.

    Could happen
    Our strategy includes significant investments in the development of new products and technologies, particularly those designed to meet or exceed current and anticipated regulatory requirements related to emissions, safety and environmental performance. Any significant reduction, delay, or elimination of, or failure to adopt or enforce, such regulatory requirements in key markets could reduce or delay demand for our products and services, increase our costs of producing or delay the introduction of new or modified products and services or restrict our existing activities, products, and services. In addition, any discontinuation or reduction of incentives or benefits for the development of technologies limiting the impact of climate change, or significant uncertainty regarding such efforts, may cause demand for certain of our future products to be less than we anticipate. Any such change in regulatory requirements or incentives may ultimately weaken or render obsolete the business case for certain research and development initiatives or capital investments. As a result, we may be required to reassess, scale back or discontinue investments in future products that were originally intended to address more stringent regulatory standards, and may fail to realize the intended benefits of, or recover the investments we have already made in, developing new products and technologies. In addition, the adoption of new regulations or industry standards which our products and services are not positioned to address, could adversely affect demand for our products and services.
    Read more
  • We operate our business on a global basis and changes in tariffs and other trade disruptions could adversely impact the demand for our products and our competitive position.

    Could happen
    We manufacture, sell and service products globally and rely upon a global supply chain to deliver the raw materials, components, systems and parts that we need to manufacture and service our products. There is currently significant uncertainty about the future relationship between the U.S. and various other countries with respect to tariffs and other trade disruptions (such as embargoes, sanctions and export controls). The uncertain tariff environment, marked by the U.S. imposition of tariffs on certain countries, followed by the imposition of retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods and services by certain countries has introduced significant market volatility and raised concerns about potential economic impacts. The extent to which tariffs and/or other trade disruptions will be enacted and the duration for which enacted tariffs and/or other trade disruptions will be in place remain uncertain and could adversely impact our production costs, customer demand and our relationships with customers and suppliers. Any of these consequences could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows. In addition, our compliance with any such newly enacted tariffs and/or other trade disruptions is likely to require significant resources and data management systems and could increase our cost of doing business, restrict our ability to operate our business or execute our strategies, and could result in fines and penalties or reputational harm if we are found to not be in full compliance.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.