Crescent Energy
CRGY on NYSE. Crude petroleum & natural gas. Market value $4.5bn.
Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.
Recent profit includes a one-time gain, so we price the company excluding that gain.
Recent profit includes a big one-time charge, so we price the company excluding that charge.
Should I look at this?
Worth a closer look
Why it could be worth it
What to watch out for
Nothing stood out in the numbers we check.
This is not advice. Check the numbers below.
For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $18.53 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.
You pay 9.9 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.
Each dollar kept in the business earns 7 cents a year. Above 10 is good.
Quality score: 87 of 100. Price score: 79 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.
$13.62 a share, 77% above its 1-year low
Over the past year the price has ranged from $7.68 to $15.47.
Dividend: 2.6% a year
Paid every year for 4 years
Payouts have jumped around in recent years, so this may not repeat.
Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).
Five years of cash, in billions
| Revenue | |||||
| Revenue | $1.5bn | $3.1bn | $2.4bn | $2.9bn | $3.6bn |
| Operating margin | |||||
| Operating margin | 32.8% | 42.0% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% |
| Debt to equity | |||||
| Debt to equity | 1.49 | 1.46 | 0.98 | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Shares outstanding | |||||
| Shares outstanding | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.25bn | 0.33bn |
Health checks
- Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
- Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
- Financial strength (Piotroski)5 of 7 checks we could run
- Profit backed by cash (accruals)No
- Debt1.07× equity
- Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 24.8% a year
The quarter to June 2026
How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.
- Sales: $1.4 billion last quarter, up 55% on a year ago.
- Profit: $493 million, up 222% on a year ago.
- It keeps 21 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, up from 6 cents a year earlier.
- Spare cash over the past 12 months: $834 million, up from $715 million.
- Debt is $4.9 billion more than cash, up from $3.4 billion a year ago.
- Sales grew on a year ago in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $745m |
| December 2024 | $875m |
| March 2025 | $950m |
| June 2025 | $898m |
| September 2025 | $867m |
| December 2025 | $865m |
| March 2026 | $1.2bn |
| June 2026 | $1.4bn |
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | -$10m |
| December 2024 | -$118m |
| March 2025 | -$2m |
| June 2025 | $153m |
| September 2025 | -$10m |
| December 2025 | -$9m |
| March 2026 | -$420m |
| June 2026 | $493m |
From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.
Dates
- Next results (estimated)
- n/a
- Last annual report (10-K)
- 25 February 2026
- Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
- 2 November 2026
Who owns it
6 long-term investors we follow own it, down from 7 last quarter. 362 funds in all.
- ValueWorksCharles Lemonides
- Value
- $5m
- Share of fund
- 1.0%
- Century ManagementArnold Van Den Berg
- Value
- $2m
- Share of fund
- 0.5%
| Fund | Value | Share of that fund | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hotchkis & WileyHotchkis & Wiley team | $28m | <0.1% | Added |
| Miller Value PartnersBill Miller IV | $21m | 4.9% | Added |
| ValueWorksCharles Lemonides | $5m | 1.0% | |
| GMOJeremy Grantham | $3m | <0.1% | Cut |
| Royce & AssociatesChuck Royce | $2m | <0.1% | Added |
| Century ManagementArnold Van Den Berg | $2m | 0.5% |
Sold out this quarter
- Barrow HanleyBarrow Hanley teamSold out
Largest holders overall
- BlackRock$380mAdded
- Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. L.P.$281m
- American Century Companies$176mAdded
- Vanguard Portfolio Management$169mAdded
- Goldman Sachs Group$166mAdded
- State Street$163mAdded
- Dimensional Fund Advisors LP$160mAdded
- Vanguard Capital Management$118mAdded
- Invesco$86mAdded
- Jennison Associates$75mAdded
From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.
Big holders and activists
8 investors own more than 5%.
- KKR Group Assets Holdings III L.P.Passive investorat least 12.2%+0.1 pts(filed with 8 related holders)Since 4 April 2025
- BlackRock, Inc.Passive investor11.2%+1.0 ptsSince 30 June 2026
- KKR Upstream Associates LLCStrategic holderat least 10.5%−1.7 pts(filed with 12 related holders)Since 24 August 2025
What they said
On August 24, 2025, the Issuer entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger Agreement") with Vital Energy, Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Vital" or "Company"), Venus Merger Sub I Inc., a Delaware corporation and a wholly owned subsidiary of the Issuer ("Merger Sub…
Read the filing - American Century Investment Management, Inc.Passive investorat least 5.3%(filed with 2 related holders)Since 31 March 2026
- STATE STREET CORPORATIONPassive investor5.0%+1.5 ptsSince 30 June 2026
- Vanguard Portfolio ManagementPassive investor5.0%Since 31 March 2026
- John C. GoffInsider or founderat least 3.8%(filed with 17 related holders)Since 4 April 2025
- Liberty Mutual Foundation Inc.Passive investorat least 1.3%−13.2 pts(filed with 5 related holders)Since 7 May 2026
- Bank of New York Mellon CorpPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 30 June 2025
- Pacer Advisors, Inc.Passive investorSold down below 5%Since 31 March 2025
- The Vanguard GroupPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 13 March 2026
- PT Independence Energy Holdings LLCSold down below 5%Since 18 December 2025
What they said
Item 4 of the Schedule 13D is hereby amended and supplemented by adding the following to the end of Item 4: This amendment is being filed in connection with the transfer on December 18, 2025 of 36,813,628 shares of the Issuer's Class A Common Stock by Liberty Mutual Insurance…
Read the filing
| Holder | Stake | Since | |
|---|---|---|---|
KKR Group Assets Holdings III L.P. Passive investor | at least 12.2%+0.1 pts (filed with 8 related holders) | 4 April 2025 | |
BlackRock, Inc. Passive investor | 11.2%+1.0 pts | 30 June 2026 | |
KKR Upstream Associates LLC Strategic holder | at least 10.5%−1.7 pts (filed with 12 related holders) | 24 August 2025 | What they saidOn August 24, 2025, the Issuer entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger Agreement") with Vital Energy, Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Vital" or "Company"), Venus Merger Sub I Inc., a Delaware corporation and a wholly owned subsidiary of the Issuer ("Merger Sub… Read the filing |
American Century Investment Management, Inc. Passive investor | at least 5.3% (filed with 2 related holders) | 31 March 2026 | |
STATE STREET CORPORATION Passive investor | 5.0%+1.5 pts | 30 June 2026 | |
Vanguard Portfolio Management Passive investor | 5.0% | 31 March 2026 | |
John C. Goff Insider or founder | at least 3.8% (filed with 17 related holders) | 4 April 2025 | |
Liberty Mutual Foundation Inc. Passive investor | at least 1.3%−13.2 pts (filed with 5 related holders) | 7 May 2026 | |
Bank of New York Mellon Corp Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 30 June 2025 | |
Pacer Advisors, Inc. Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 31 March 2025 | |
The Vanguard Group Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 13 March 2026 | |
PT Independence Energy Holdings LLC | Sold down below 5% | 18 December 2025 | What they saidItem 4 of the Schedule 13D is hereby amended and supplemented by adding the following to the end of Item 4: This amendment is being filed in connection with the transfer on December 18, 2025 of 36,813,628 shares of the Issuer's Class A Common Stock by Liberty Mutual Insurance… Read the filing |
From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.
What insiders did
No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 1 sold $530,000.
- ROWLAND MARCUS CDirectorSold
- Date
- 6 May 2026
- Shares
- 40,000
- Price
- $13.25
- Value
- $530,000
| Date | Who | Did | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2026 | ROWLAND MARCUS C Director | Sold | 40,000 | $13.25 | $530,000 |
From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.
Warning signs in its filings
Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.
None of the warning signs we check for were found.
We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.
We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 25 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 3 Aug 2026 and 7 later 8-Ks.
A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.
What could go wrong
Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.
Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.
What changed in the risks this year
Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.
Federal, state and local legislative and regulatory initiatives relating to hydraulic fracturing as well as governmental reviews of such activities could result in increased costs and additional operating restrictions or delays in the completion of oil and natural gas wells and adversely affect our production.
Could happenIn March 2024, the BLM finalized a rule that requires operators to limit flaring from well sites on federal lands, as well as allow the delay or denial of permits if BLM finds that an operator's methane waste minimization plan is insufficient. Litigation challenging the rule is currently being held in abeyance while the Trump Administration considers revisions to the rule and, in December 2025, the BLM announced it would delay enforcement of the impending regulatory compliance deadlines under that rule. In addition, the BLM finalized a rule in April 2024 updating the fiscal terms of oil and gas leases on federal lands and the criteria BLM considers when determining whether to lease nominated land. For more information, see our regulatory disclosure in "Items 1 and 2. Business and Properties—Legislative and regulatory environment—Hydraulic fracturing."
Read moreCertain of our undeveloped leasehold acreage is subject to leases that will expire over the next several years unless production is established on units containing the acreage, the primary term is extended through continuous drilling provisions or the leases are renewed.
Could happenIn the future, we may shut-in some or all of our production depending on market conditions, storage or transportation constraints and contractual obligations, and any prolonged shut-in of our wells could result in the expiration, in whole or in part, of the related leases, which could adversely affect our reserves, business, financial condition and results of operations.
Read moreCertain of our undeveloped leasehold acreage is subject to leases that will expire over the next several years unless production is established on units containing the acreage, the primary term is extended through continuous drilling provisions or the leases are renewed.
Could happenAs of December 31, 2025, approximately 96% of our total net acreage was held by production. The leases for our net acreage not held by production will expire at the end of their primary term unless production is established in paying quantities under the units containing these leases, the leases are held beyond their primary terms under continuous drilling provisions or the leases are renewed. Some of our leases also expire as to certain depths if continuous drilling obligations are not met. If our leases expire in whole or in part and we are unable to renew the leases, we will lose the right to develop the related properties. Our ability to drill and develop these locations depends on a number of uncertainties, including commodity prices, the availability and cost of capital, drilling and production costs, availability of drilling services and equipment, drilling results, lease expirations, gathering system and pipeline transportation constraints, access to and availability of water sourcing and distribution systems, regulatory approvals and other factors.
Read more
The deep dive
Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.
- What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
- Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
- The three things that would make this a mistake
- Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
Your first deep dive is free.
Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.