Empire State Realty Trust

ESRT on NYSE. Empire State Realty Trust rents office, retail, and apartment space in New York City to tenants. Market value $1.4bn.

Watch this stockFree. We tell you when something changes.

Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

We can't read total debt from the filing, so debt is left out.

Recent profit includes a one-time gain, so we price the company excluding that gain.

Recent profit includes a big one-time charge, so we price the company excluding that charge.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
9.1%high

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $9.09 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026, without the one-off
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Quality score: 74 of 100. Price score: 83 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$4.23 a share, 8% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $3.93 to $8.04.

Dividend: 2.1% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Monday’s close (5 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

-0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26

Spare cash swings from quarter to quarter here: $104 million in the past 12 months, $51 million in the year to December 2025.

Revenue
$624m$727m$740m$768m$768m
Operating margin
12.7%17.5%19.8%20.7%17.7%
Debt to equity
n/an/an/an/an/a
Shares outstanding
0.28bn0.27bn0.27bn0.27bn0.27bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive4 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)Not enough data
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • DebtUnknown
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 4.7% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesYes, 3% fewer since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $197 million last quarter, up 3% on a year ago.
  • A loss of $26 million, after a profit of $7 million a year ago.
  • It loses 4 cents on each $1 of sales, after keeping 19 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $104 million, up from $62 million.
  • About the same number of shares as a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$200m
December 2024$198m
March 2025$180m
June 2025$191m
September 2025$198m
December 2025$199m
March 2026$190m
June 2026$197m
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$14m
December 2024$11m
March 2025$9m
June 2025$7m
September 2025$8m
December 2025$20m
March 2026$1m
June 2026-$26m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
2 March 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
5 November 2026

Who owns it

3 long-term investors we follow own it, down from 4 last quarter. 228 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26

Sold out this quarter

Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

6 investors own more than 5%; 1 of them is pushing for change.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought or sold on the open market in the last 12 months.

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 2 Mar 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 6 Aug 2026 and 7 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • Tax consequences to holders of our operating partnership units and tax protection agreements triggered upon a sale or refinancing of our properties could limit our ability either to sell certain properties or engage in a strategic transaction.

    Could happen
    In connection with the formation transactions, our operating partnership entered into a tax protection agreement with certain continuing investors, including members of the Malkin family, relating to specified contributed properties (the “Protected Properties”). The agreement continues to relate to 86-90 North 6th Street (which is a "substituted basis property" for Metro Center, which was sold in December 2025), 298 Mulberry Street (which is the "substituted basis property" for 10 Bank Street, which was sold in December 2022) and 1542 Third Avenue. The agreement generally restricts certain dispositions of those properties during applicable protection periods if such transactions would cause the protected parties to recognize pre-contribution built-in gain, unless required consents are obtained or the operating partnership makes payments intended to compensate the protected parties for the resulting tax liability. The agreement also includes provisions designed to mitigate taxable gain that could arise from reductions in certain protected parties’ shares of partnership liabilities, including restrictions on the prepayment or refinancing of certain indebtedness and the potential use of guarantees or deficit restoration obligations. In addition, in connection with our sale of a 9.9% fully diluted interest to Q REIT Holding LLC in 2016, we agreed, subject to specified thresholds and conditions, to indemnify QIA for certain taxes arising from dividends attributable to capital gains from the sale of U.S. real property interests. If triggered, these obligations could restrict our ability to dispose of certain assets, refinance indebtedness, or pursue strategic transactions, and could require payments that may be material.
    Read more
  • The threat or occurrence of a terrorist event, particularly in New York City, may materially and adversely affect the value of our properties and our ability to generate cash flow.

    Could happen
    We maintain property, business interruption and terrorism insurance for our properties, including aggregate terrorism coverage of up to $2.0 billion for the Empire State Building through a combination of commercial insurance, our captive insurance subsidiary and participation in the federal terrorism insurance program (currently extended through December 31, 2027). However, our policies are subject to deductibles, co-insurance and coverage limitations, and certain losses, including losses caused by war or certain public health events, may not be fully insured or insurable on commercially acceptable terms.
    Read more
  • The Observatory operations at the Empire State Building may be negatively impacted by geopolitical factors, competition, adverse weather, and changes in tourist trends.

    While visitor levels improved from pandemic lows, attendance and revenue remain sensitive to macroeconomic conditions, international tourism patterns, competitive attractions in New York City and weather variability. Our visitor volume has not yet fully returned to pre-pandemic 2019 levels, and our visitor volume decreased in 2025 as compared to 2024. Although we have focused on revenue per visitor and domestic demand initiatives, there can be no assurance that international visitation will recover or that overall Observatory performance will improve in future periods.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from

An activist is pushing this company to change. The deep dive shows what the business is worth if they get their way.

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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.