ExlService Holdings

EXLS on Nasdaq. ExlService Holdings sells data and AI services to businesses. Market value $5.4bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
5.1%fair

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $5.12 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
16.9×full

You pay 16.9 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
19.5%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 20 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 99 of 100. Price score: 78 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$35.41 a share, 42% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $24.85 to $43.88.

Pays no dividend

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$1.1bn$1.4bn$1.6bn$1.8bn$2.1bn
Operating margin
13.9%13.6%14.6%14.3%15.0%
Debt to equity
0.380.330.230.310.33
Shares outstanding
0.03bn0.16bn0.16bn0.16bn0.15bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)7 of 9
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.33× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 16.9% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 362% more shares since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $595 million last quarter, up 16% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $65 million, down 2% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 15 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, about the same as a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $275 million, down from $278 million.
  • 7% fewer shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit more of the company.
  • Debt is $257 million more than cash, up from $113 million a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$472m
December 2024$481m
March 2025$501m
June 2025$514m
September 2025$530m
December 2025$543m
March 2026$570m
June 2026$595m
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$53m
December 2024$51m
March 2025$67m
June 2025$66m
September 2025$58m
December 2025$60m
March 2026$67m
June 2026$65m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
24 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
27 October 2026

Who owns it

1 long-term investor we follow owns it, unchanged from 1 last quarter. 442 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

4 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 3 sold $3m, $2m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Bhalla Vikas
    President of EXL
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    1 October 2026
    Shares
    11,000
    Price
    $35.38
    Value
    $389,180
  • Bhalla Vikas
    President of EXL
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    1 September 2026
    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $38.17
    Value
    $381,700
  • Chhibbar Vishal
    Executive Vice President
    Sold
    Date
    11 August 2026
    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $35.10
    Value
    $175,500
  • Bhalla Vikas
    President of EXL
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    3 August 2026
    Shares
    11,000
    Price
    $34.99
    Value
    $384,890
  • Bhalla Vikas
    President of EXL
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    1 July 2026
    Shares
    12,000
    Price
    $26.47
    Value
    $317,640
  • Bhalla Vikas
    President of EXL
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    4 June 2026
    Shares
    12,000
    Price
    $30.22
    Value
    $362,640
  • AYYAPPAN AJAY
    EVP & Gen Counsel/Corp. Sec'y.
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    20 May 2026
    Shares
    5,093
    Price
    $29.11
    Value
    $148,257
  • AYYAPPAN AJAY
    EVP & Gen Counsel/Corp. Sec'y.
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    2 March 2026
    Shares
    1,679
    Price
    $30.39
    Value
    $51,025
  • AYYAPPAN AJAY
    EVP & Gen Counsel/Corp. Sec'y.
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    23 February 2026
    Shares
    1,197
    Price
    $29.79
    Value
    $35,659
  • AYYAPPAN AJAY
    EVP & Gen Counsel/Corp. Sec'y.
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    18 February 2026
    Shares
    2,275
    Price
    $30.32
    Value
    $68,978

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 24 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 28 Jul 2026 and 9 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • The growing use of AI in our offerings presents additional cybersecurity and privacy risks and could result in increased legal exposure.

    Could happen
    Our growing use of AI in our offerings presents additional risks such as cybersecurity vulnerabilities, bias, and reputational or legal exposure. Testing and managing AI systems is complex and costly, requiring processes that meet industry standards and customer expectations. AI technologies also depend on high-quality datasets, models, and other components, many of which we source from third parties. Inappropriate or controversial data practices by us or others or flawed AI algorithms could undermine the decisions, predictions or analysis AI applications produce, or lead to unintentional bias and discrimination, subjecting us to competitive, brand or reputational harm and legal liability. If our clients use AI that is provided by us in a manner that does not comply with the use restrictions in our agreements or if they modify such AI without our authorization, those actions could further subject us to competitive, brand or reputational harm and legal liability.
    Read more
  • We are upgrading our enterprise resource planning (“ERP”) system, and its implementation may impact our internal controls over financial reporting, business and operations.

    Could happen
    We are in the process of upgrading our ERP system, which requires significant capital investment, human resources and complex integration with existing systems and processes. Any design deficiencies, delays, or challenges during the upgrade could result in increased costs, operational inefficiencies, and impair our ability to maintain accurate financial records or produce timely and accurate financial statements. These issues may also impact the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting, which could adversely affect our business processes, results of operations, financial condition, and compliance with regulatory requirements.
    Read more
  • The growing use of AI in our offerings presents additional cybersecurity and privacy risks and could result in increased legal exposure.

    Could happen
    Further, the increased prevalence of misuse of AI identities, accesses and privileges and advanced use of social engineering tactics by bad actors, state-sponsored cyber activities, and the risk that these cyberattacks could spread globally, showcases the increasing sophistication of cyber threats and could dramatically expand the global threat landscape and increase the difficulty of threat attribution and mitigation. Further, we rely on certain vendors and partners for software, technology, and data communications, including high-quality datasets, related equipment and maintenance services, as well as third-party components—such as cloud services—that are integral to the delivery of our AI solutions and services. Any performance failure, interruption, or discontinuation by our vendors or partners could delay our ability to perform our obligations, require us to identify replacement providers or internalize such services, and adversely affect our reputation and revenue.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.