4D Molecular Therapeutics

FDMT on Nasdaq. Biological products, (no diagnostic substances). Market value $166m.

Watch this stockFree. We tell you when something changes.

Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

We can't read total debt from the filing, so debt is left out.

Should I look at this?

Not a fit for our list right now

See Health care stocks that passed both tests

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
-21.6%low

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $-21.56 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Quality score: 40 of 100. Price score: 0 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$12.56 a share, 80% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $6.96 to $16.93.

Pays no dividend

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.2
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$18m$3m$21m$37,000$85m
Operating margin
-395.5%-3516.5%-544.6%-507678.4%-187.2%
Debt to equity
n/an/an/an/an/a
Shares outstanding
0.03bn0.04bn0.05bn0.05bn0.06bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive0 of 5 years
  • Accounting checksSkipped: company is not yet profitable
  • DebtUnknown
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 44.3% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 78% more shares since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $4 million last quarter, up 25107% on a year ago.
  • A loss of $73 million, compared with a loss of $55 million a year ago.
  • It loses 214 cents on each $1 of sales, compared with 667655 cents a year earlier.
  • Over the past 12 months it spent $156 million more cash than it brought in, compared with $170 million a year earlier.
  • 26% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$3,000
December 2024$1,000
March 2025$14,000
June 2025$15,000
September 2025$90,000
December 2025$85m
March 2026$3m
June 2026$4m
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024-$44m
December 2024-$50m
March 2025-$48m
June 2025-$55m
September 2025-$57m
December 2025$19m
March 2026-$69m
June 2026-$73m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
18 March 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
12 November 2026

Who owns it

None of the long-term investors we follow own it. 158 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

8 investors own more than 5%.

  • 10.3%+2.2 pts
    Since 31 March 2026
  • BVF PARTNERS L P/IL
    Passive investor
    at least 10.0%0.0 pts
    (filed with 9 related holders)
    Since 31 March 2026
  • at least 9.9%0.0 pts
    (filed with 3 related holders)
    Since 31 March 2026
  • at least 7.5%−2.1 pts
    (filed with 1 related holder)
    Since 31 December 2025
  • BlackRock, Inc.
    Passive investor
    6.6%−1.2 pts
    Since 30 September 2025
  • Novo Holdings A/S
    Passive investor
    6.4%−0.4 pts
    Since 31 December 2025
  • STATE STREET CORPORATION
    Passive investor
    5.3%
    Since 31 March 2026
  • Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners III, L.P.
    Passive investor
    at least 1.5%−4.9 pts
    (filed with 6 related holders)
    Since 31 March 2025
  • Deep Track Capital, LP
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 31 December 2024
  • The Vanguard Group
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 13 March 2026

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 3 sold $5m, $5m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Bizily Scott
    Chief Legal Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    16 September 2026
    Shares
    1,635
    Price
    $13.65
    Value
    $22,318
  • Kirn David
    See Remarks, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    14 September 2026
    Shares
    58,333
    Price
    $13.90
    Value
    $811,004
  • Bizily Scott
    Chief Legal Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    1 September 2026
    Shares
    584
    Price
    $14.00
    Value
    $8,176
  • Kirn David
    See Remarks, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    19 August 2026
    Shares
    69,076
    Price
    $15.75
    Value
    $1m
  • Bizily Scott
    Chief Legal Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    17 August 2026
    Shares
    1,635
    Price
    $12.20
    Value
    $19,947
  • Bizily Scott
    Chief Legal Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    13 August 2026
    Shares
    1,635
    Price
    $12.00
    Value
    $19,620
  • Kirn David
    See Remarks, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    4 August 2026
    Shares
    26,842
    Price
    $10.23
    Value
    $274,596
  • Kirn David
    See Remarks, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    3 August 2026
    Shares
    12,415
    Price
    $10.05
    Value
    $124,722
  • Kirn David
    See Remarks, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    10 July 2026
    Shares
    15,725
    Price
    $12.03
    Value
    $189,233
  • Kirn David
    See Remarks, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    9 July 2026
    Shares
    42,608
    Price
    $12.87
    Value
    $548,177

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the serious warning signs we check for were found. 1 thing worth knowing.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 18 Mar 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 13 Aug 2026 and 7 later 8-Ks.

  • One big customer

    Worth knowing

    One customer brings in a big share of sales: 100% last year. Losing that customer would hurt.

    “Customer B | 100% | -”

    From the 10-K filed 18 March 2026, Item 8. Financial Statements and Notes (table). Read it in the filing

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.