Geron

GERN on Nasdaq. Geron sells RYTELO, a drug for lower-risk MDS, to adults with the disease. Market value $777m.

Watch this stockFree. We tell you when something changes.

Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Some use the latest annual report instead, as marked. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Cash flow or capital spending isn't reported, so free cash flow is unknown.

Should I look at this?

Not a fit for our list right now

See Health care stocks that passed both tests

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
annual report to December 2025
n/a

We could not compute this from the filings.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
-59.0%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns -59 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 20 of 100. Price score: 16 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$1.21 a share, 16% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $1.04 to $2.01.

Pays no dividend

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

-0.1
-0.1
-0.2
-0.2
n/a
20212022202320242025
Revenue
$1m$596,000$237,000n/an/a
Operating margin
-8183.7%-23246.6%-81832.9%n/an/a
Debt to equity
0.390.640.330.420.53
Shares outstanding
0.38bn0.54bn0.60bn0.64bn0.64bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive0 of 4 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)Not enough data
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.53× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsShrinking, 2.2% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 69% more shares since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $57 million last quarter, up 17% on a year ago.
  • A loss of $17 million, compared with a loss of $16 million a year ago.
  • 1% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
  • Debt is $57 million more than cash, up from $41 million a year ago.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$28m
December 2024Not reported
March 2025$40m
June 2025$49m
September 2025$47m
December 2025Not reported
March 2026$52m
June 2026$57m
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024-$26m
December 2024-$25m
March 2025-$20m
June 2025-$16m
September 2025-$18m
December 2025-$29m
March 2026-$4m
June 2026-$17m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
2 March 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
4 November 2026

Who owns it

None of the long-term investors we follow own it. 260 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

4 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 1 sold $19,119.

  • ROBERTSON MICHELLE
    EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
    Sold
    Date
    18 February 2026
    Shares
    9,855
    Price
    $1.94
    Value
    $19,119

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 2 Mar 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 5 Aug 2026 and 3 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

  • Sales have shrunk: 2.2% a year.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.