Harmony Biosciences Holdings

HRMY on Nasdaq. Harmony Biosciences sells narcolepsy medicine to patients with sleep disorders. Market value $2.3bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Some use the latest annual report instead, as marked. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
annual report to December 2025
15.2%very high

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $15.18 of spare cash last year. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
8.2×cheap

You pay 8.2 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
43.5%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 43 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 100 of 100. Price score: 100 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$39.36 a share, 54% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $25.52 to $43.49.

Pays no dividend

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.3
20212022202320242025
Revenue
$305m$438m$582m$715m$868m
Operating margin
28.7%27.4%33.0%26.7%24.0%
Debt to equity
1.030.480.410.270.19
Shares outstanding
0.06bn0.06bn0.06bn0.06bn0.06bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)6 of 9
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)No
  • Debt0.19× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 40.3% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesRoughly flat

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $261 million last quarter, up 30% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $75 million, up 90% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 24 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 29 cents a year earlier.
  • 1% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
  • It has $396 million more cash than debt, up from $374 million a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$186m
December 2024$201m
March 2025$185m
June 2025$200m
September 2025$239m
December 2025$244m
March 2026$215m
June 2026$261m
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$46m
December 2024$49m
March 2025$46m
June 2025$40m
September 2025$51m
December 2025$22m
March 2026$32m
June 2026$75m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
24 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
3 November 2026

Who owns it

6 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 6 last quarter. 327 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

5 investors own more than 5%.

  • BlackRock, Inc.
    Passive investor
    11.3%+1.2 pts
    Since 30 June 2026
  • Marshman Fund Trust II
    Passive investor
    10.6%
    Since 31 December 2024
  • FMR LLC
    Passive investor
    at least 5.4%−1.3 pts
    (filed with 1 related holder)
    Since 31 December 2025
  • 5.1%
    Since 30 June 2026
  • Antonio J. Gracias
    Passive investor
    at least 3.2%−8.5 pts
    (filed with 8 related holders)
    Since 30 September 2025
  • The Vanguard Group
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 13 March 2026

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 3 sold $6m, $3m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Budur Kumar
    CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER
    Sold
    Date
    18 September 2026
    Shares
    35,852
    Price
    $43.05
    Value
    $2m
  • Budur Kumar
    CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER
    Sold
    Date
    17 September 2026
    Shares
    800
    Price
    $43.00
    Value
    $34,400
  • Budur Kumar
    CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER
    Sold
    Date
    16 September 2026
    Shares
    1,800
    Price
    $43.01
    Value
    $77,426
  • Budur Kumar
    CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER
    Sold
    Date
    8 September 2026
    Shares
    28,454
    Price
    $42.96
    Value
    $1m
  • Budur Kumar
    CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER
    Sold
    Date
    4 September 2026
    Shares
    5,500
    Price
    $41.98
    Value
    $230,911
  • Kapadia Sandip
    CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    26 January 2026
    Shares
    3,746
    Price
    $37.15
    Value
    $139,164
  • Kapadia Sandip
    CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 January 2026
    Shares
    20,961
    Price
    $35.92
    Value
    $752,919
  • Dayno Jeffrey M.
    PRESIDENT, CEO, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    12 December 2025
    Shares
    25,933
    Price
    $40.11
    Value
    $1m
  • Kapadia Sandip
    CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    5 December 2025
    Shares
    20,000
    Price
    $39.54
    Value
    $790,800
  • Kapadia Sandip
    CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    21 November 2025
    Shares
    3,427
    Price
    $35.00
    Value
    $119,945

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the serious warning signs we check for were found. 1 thing worth knowing.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 24 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 4 Aug 2026 and 6 later 8-Ks.

  • One big customer

    Worth knowing

    One customer brings in a big share of sales: 38% last year. Losing that customer would hurt.

    “For the year ended December 31, 2025, three customers accounted for 100% of gross product revenue; Caremark LLC accounted for 38% of gross product revenue; Accredo Health Group, Inc. accounted for 36% of gross product revenue; and PANTHERx Specialty Pharmacy LLC accounted for 26% of gross product revenue.”

    From the 10-K filed 24 February 2026, Item 1. Business. Read it in the filing

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • Our use of new and evolving technologies, such as artificial intelligence, may present risks and challenges that can impact our business, including by posing cybersecurity and other risks to our confidential and/or proprietary information, including personal information, and as a result we may be exposed to reputational harm and liability.

    Could happen
    We may use and integrate artificial intelligence into our business processes both in our own development and implementation of models and through the adoption of commercially available tools. Use of this technology could pose cybersecurity, data privacy, IT, intellectual property, regulatory, legal, operational, competitive, reputational and other risks and challenges that could affect our business. Specifically, risks related to bias, AI hallucinations, discrimination, harmful content, misinformation, fraud, scams, targeted attacks such as model poisoning or data poisoning, surveillance, data leakage, loss of consensus reality, inequality, environmental harms, and other harms may flow from our development, use, or deployment of AI technologies.
    Read more
  • Our use of new and evolving technologies, such as artificial intelligence, may present risks and challenges that can impact our business, including by posing cybersecurity and other risks to our confidential and/or proprietary information, including personal information, and as a result we may be exposed to reputational harm and liability.

    Could happen
    Further, the U.S. regulatory environment in this area is complex and uncertain. President Trump’s Executive Order "Ensuring a National Policy Framework for Artificial Intelligence," effective December 11, 2025, directed federal agency reviews of state AI laws and coordination between White House advisors and Congress to reach a legislative proposal for a uniform federal AI policy framework. At the same time, several states, including Colorado and California, passed laws that regulate various facets of AI, some of which have taken effect and will continue to take effect through 2026 and beyond. These laws address a wide range of AI-related topics, including consequential decisions, transparency, training data, among others, and it remains unclear which requirements, if any, will be superseded by the Executive Order. So far, these efforts have not been successful in curtailing state action on AI regulation, contributing to a complicated legislative patchwork, which may be litigated in state and federal courts. Various federal and state regulators have also issued guidance and focused enforcement efforts on the use of AI in regulated sectors. The FDA, for example, issued guidance on the use of artificial intelligence in medical devices, requiring detailed risk management and review processes to obtain approvals. If we develop or use AI systems that are governed by the these laws or regulations, we will need to meet higher standards of data quality, transparency, and human oversight, and we would need to adhere to specific and potentially burdensome and costly ethical, accountability, and administrative requirements. We may also be subject to significant enforcement or litigation in the event of any perceived non-compliance.
    Read more
  • WAKIX has been approved by the FDA for the treatment of EDS and/or cataplexy in adults and pediatric patients six years or older with narcolepsy. Regulatory approval is limited by the FDA to the specific indication for which approval has been granted and, unless we seek regulatory approval for additional indications, we will be prohibited from marketing pitolisant for other indications. We may be subject to fines, penalties or injunctions if we are determined to have promoted or be promoting the use of pitolisant for unapproved or “off-label” uses, resulting in damage to our reputation and business.

    Could happen
    The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which was enacted in July 2025, imposes significant reductions in the funding of the Medicaid program. Such reductions are expected to decrease the number of persons enrolled in Medicaid and reduce the services covered by Medicaid, which could adversely affect our sales of WAKIX or any other product candidate that we commercialize.
    Read more
  • WAKIX has been approved by the FDA for the treatment of EDS and/or cataplexy in adults and pediatric patients six years or older with narcolepsy. Regulatory approval is limited by the FDA to the specific indication for which approval has been granted and, unless we seek regulatory approval for additional indications, we will be prohibited from marketing pitolisant for other indications. We may be subject to fines, penalties or injunctions if we are determined to have promoted or be promoting the use of pitolisant for unapproved or “off-label” uses, resulting in damage to our reputation and business.

    Could happen
    The Trump administration is pursuing a two-fold strategy to reduce drug costs in the U.S. While it is unclear whether and how the Trump proposals will be implemented, the Trump policies are likely to have a negative impact on the pharmaceutical industry and may have a negative impact on our ability to receive adequate revenues for WAKIX. On the one hand, President Trump has threatened to impose significant tariffs on pharmaceutical manufacturers that do not adopt pricing policies such as most favored nation pricing, which would tie the price for drugs in the U.S. to the lowest price in a group of other countries. In response, multiple manufacturers have reportedly entered into confidential pricing agreements with the federal government. On the other hand, the Trump administration is pursuing traditional regulatory pathways to impose drug pricing policies, and published two proposed regulations in December 2025, referred to as Globe and Guard. If finalized, these regulations would implement mandatory payment models under which manufacturers of eligible drugs would be required to pay rebates to the federal government on a portion of the units of their drugs that are reimbursed by Medicare, with the rebate amount based on most favored nation pricing. Imposing a rebate in the U.S. that is based on drug prices outside the U.S. would mark a drastic and unprecedented shift in the U.S. pharmaceutical market, and while the impact of the Globe and Guard proposed regulations, if finalized, cannot yet be determined, it is likely to be significant. Even regulatory proposals or executive actions that are ultimately deemed unlawful could negatively impact the U.S. pharmaceutical sector and our business.
    Read more
  • Our use of new and evolving technologies, such as artificial intelligence, may present risks and challenges that can impact our business, including by posing cybersecurity and other risks to our confidential and/or proprietary information, including personal information, and as a result we may be exposed to reputational harm and liability.

    Could happen
    In addition, the use of artificial intelligence technologies can give rise to intellectual property risks, including the disclosure or compromise of our confidential information or other proprietary intellectual property through the use of generative AI tools, or the ability to assert or defend ownership rights in intellectual property created with the use of generative artificial intelligence tools.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.