Hershey

HSY on NYSE. Hershey sells chocolate, candy, mints, and snacks to customers worldwide. Market value $24.7bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Some use the latest annual report instead, as marked. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

Compare with another stock

Cash yield
annual report to December 2025
5.6%fair

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $5.59 of spare cash last year. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
17.3×full

You pay 17.3 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
23.4%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 23 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 98 of 100. Price score: 79 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$160.80 a share, 3% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $156.16 to $239.48.

Dividend: 3.3% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

1.6
1.8
1.6
1.9
1.8
20212022202320242025
Revenue
$9.0bn$10.4bn$11.2bn$11.2bn$11.7bn
Operating margin
22.8%21.7%22.9%25.9%12.3%
Debt to equity
1.821.451.171.081.12
Shares outstanding
0.21bn0.20bn0.20bn0.20bn0.20bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)5 of 9
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)No
  • Debt1.12× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 7.5% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesRoughly flat

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $2.8 billion last quarter, up 7% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $458 million, up 630% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 18 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 19 cents a year earlier.
  • Debt is $4.9 billion more than cash, up from $4.8 billion a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$3.0bn
December 2024$2.9bn
March 2025$2.8bn
June 2025$2.6bn
September 2025$3.2bn
December 2025$3.1bn
March 2026$3.1bn
June 2026$2.8bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$446m
December 2024$797m
March 2025$224m
June 2025$63m
September 2025$276m
December 2025$320m
March 2026$435m
June 2026$458m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
5 November 2026
Last annual report (10-K)
17 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
29 October 2026

Who owns it

10 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 10 last quarter. 1,406 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

1 investor owns more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

In the last 12 months, 3 insiders bought $445,416 of shares on the open market. 5 sold $5m, $4m of it under preset trading plans.

  • McCalman Jennifer
    VP, Chief Accounting Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    6 August 2026
    Shares
    710
    Price
    $180.78
    Value
    $128,354
  • Voskuil Steven E
    SVP, Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    5 August 2026
    Shares
    950
    Price
    $180.00
    Value
    $171,000
  • Voskuil Steven E
    SVP, Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    20 July 2026
    Shares
    1,500
    Price
    $170.00
    Value
    $255,000
  • Robbin-Coker Cordel
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    2 July 2026
    Shares
    124
    Price
    $180.37
    Value
    $22,366
  • Voskuil Steven E
    SVP, Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    18 June 2026
    Shares
    1,500
    Price
    $173.43
    Value
    $260,145
  • Voskuil Steven E
    SVP, Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    18 May 2026
    Shares
    1,500
    Price
    $186.25
    Value
    $279,375
  • Voskuil Steven E
    SVP, Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    20 April 2026
    Shares
    1,500
    Price
    $194.10
    Value
    $291,150
  • Robbin-Coker Cordel
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    2 April 2026
    Shares
    129
    Price
    $202.80
    Value
    $26,161
  • Voskuil Steven E
    SVP, Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    18 March 2026
    Shares
    1,500
    Price
    $216.71
    Value
    $325,065
  • Grover Rohit
    President, International
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    24 February 2026
    Shares
    3,500
    Price
    $226.07
    Value
    $791,245

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the serious warning signs we check for were found. 1 thing worth knowing.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 17 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 30 Jul 2026 and 8 later 8-Ks.

  • One big customer

    Worth knowing

    One customer brings in a big share of sales: 27% last year. Losing that customer would hurt.

    “In 2025, approximately 27% of our consolidated net sales were made to McLane Company, Inc., one of the largest wholesale distributors in the United States (“U.S.”) to convenience stores, drug stores, wholesale clubs and mass merchandisers and the primary distributor of our products to Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.”

    From the 10-K filed 17 February 2026, Item 1. Business. Read it in the filing

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • Increased marketplace competition could hurt our business.

    Could happen
    Furthermore, artificial intelligence (“AI”) technologies have developed rapidly, and our business may be adversely affected if we cannot successfully integrate AI into our business in a timely, cost-effective, and compliant manner. Our competitors may incorporate AI into their business more successfully than us, which could have an adverse effect on our competitive position, reputation and operations.
    Read more
  • Our financial results may be adversely impacted by the failure to successfully execute or integrate acquisitions, divestitures and joint ventures.

    Could happen
    In November 2025, we completed the acquisition of LesserEvil, LLC, previously a privately held company that produces and sells organic popcorn and puffed snack products to retailers and distributors in the United States and The Hershey Company | 2025 Form 10-K | Page 12 Canada. The acquisition complements Hershey’s existing portfolio and increases manufacturing capacity. In 2024, we completed the acquisition of the Sour Strips brand from Actual Candy, LLC. Sour Strips is an emerging sour candy brand. In 2023, we completed the acquisition of certain assets that provide additional manufacturing capacity from Weaver Popcorn, a manufacturer of SkinnyPop popcorn, which helped us strengthen our supply chain capabilities. While we believe significant operating synergies can be obtained in connection with these acquisitions, achievement of these synergies will be driven by our ability to successfully leverage Hershey’s resources, expertise, capability-building, distribution locations and customer base. If we are unable to successfully couple Hershey’s scale and expertise in brand building with the existing operations of our acquired brands, it may impact our ability to expand our snacking footprint at our desired pace.
    Read more
  • Changes in governmental laws, regulations and policies, including taxes and tariffs, could increase our costs and liabilities or impact demand for our products.

    Could happen
    Additionally, compliance with new and evolving laws, regulations or industry standards relating to AI may require significant investment and resources, and may limit our ability to use AI, which may result in reputational harm, legal liability or other adverse effects on our operations and overall business.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from

It just passed both our tests. The deep dive checks what the numbers can't.

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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.