Ingredion

INGR on NYSE. Ingredion sells starches and sweeteners made from plants to food and drink makers. Market value $6.1bn.

Watch this stockFree. We tell you when something changes.

Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

Compare with another stock

Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
5.8%fair

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $5.82 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
8.1×cheap

You pay 8.1 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
14.2%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 14 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 85 of 100. Price score: 98 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$96.75 a share, 3% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $93.97 to $123.49.

Dividend: 3.4% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

0.1
-0.1
0.7
1.1
0.5
0.4
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26

Spare cash swings from quarter to quarter here: $355 million in the past 12 months, $511 million in the year to December 2025.

Revenue
$6.9bn$7.9bn$8.2bn$7.4bn$7.2bn
Operating margin
4.5%9.6%11.7%11.9%14.1%
Debt to equity
0.660.790.620.480.42
Shares outstanding
0.07bn0.07bn0.07bn0.06bn0.06bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive4 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)7 of 8 checks we could run
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.42× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 3.8% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesYes, 4% fewer since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $1.9 billion last quarter, up 1% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $114 million, down 42% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 12 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 13 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $355 million, down from $809 million.
  • 3% fewer shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit more of the company.
  • Debt is $835 million more than cash, down from $926 million a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in 1 of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$1.9bn
December 2024$1.8bn
March 2025$1.8bn
June 2025$1.8bn
September 2025$1.8bn
December 2025$1.8bn
March 2026$1.8bn
June 2026$1.9bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$188m
December 2024$95m
March 2025$197m
June 2025$196m
September 2025$171m
December 2025$165m
March 2026$142m
June 2026$114m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
17 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
6 November 2026

Who owns it

11 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 11 last quarter. 612 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26

Sold out this quarter

Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

4 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 5 sold $6m, $6m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Fischer David B
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    5 August 2026
    Shares
    1,662
    Price
    $102.31
    Value
    $170,039
  • Uribe Jorge A.
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    31 March 2026
    Shares
    1
    Price
    $112.66
    Value
    $83
  • Gable Davida Marie
    VP Corp. Controller, Finance
    Sold
    Date
    18 March 2026
    Shares
    375
    Price
    $112.44
    Value
    $42,165
  • Zallie James P.
    President and CEO, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    18 February 2026
    Shares
    9,958
    Price
    $116.55
    Value
    $1m
  • Fernandes Larry
    SVP, Chief Comm & Sust Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    18 February 2026
    Shares
    1,125
    Price
    $116.55
    Value
    $131,119
  • Zallie James P.
    President and CEO, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    11 February 2026
    Shares
    33,597
    Price
    $119.66
    Value
    $4m
  • Fernandes Larry
    SVP, Chief Comm & Sust Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    11 February 2026
    Shares
    3,630
    Price
    $118.40
    Value
    $429,792
  • Uribe Jorge A.
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    5 December 2025
    Shares
    0
    Price
    $107.70
    Value
    $15

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 17 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 7 Aug 2026 and 14 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • Our increasing use of artificial intelligence and other advanced technologies, and our reliance on third‑party technology providers, could expose us to operational, legal, regulatory, cybersecurity, and reputational risks that may adversely affect our business.

    Could happen
    We and our customers, suppliers, and service providers increasingly develop, deploy, and rely on artificial intelligence (“AI”), machine learning and other advanced technologies to support product innovation, manufacturing operations, quality and safety processes, supply‑chain planning, customer service, and other administrative functions. These technologies are complex and may be less transparent or predictable than other technologies, and may fail, underperform, or produce incorrect, biased, or otherwise unreliable outputs, which could disrupt operations, adversely affect decision making, compromise product quality, or otherwise result in financial loss. Our use of and the value derived from AI may lag behind that of our competition. In addition, AI regulations are rapidly evolving and may diverge across jurisdictions, which could increase our compliance costs and limit how we deploy AI. How AI-related technologies are trained and the output from such tools could be the subject of infringement claims or other types of litigation. We may also incur significant capital expenditures and operating costs to acquire, implement, maintain and update AI capabilities, and may not realize the expected benefits of these capabilities. Further, AI may affect our workforce needs and may create challenges related to recruiting, retention, training and employee relations. If we fail to develop or use AI responsibly, or if public statements regarding our use of AI are alleged to be misleading, we could suffer reputational harm, regulatory scrutiny, or litigation, any of which could adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.
    Read more
  • Geopolitical developments, tensions, threats or conflicts could harm our business by adversely affecting the availability and prices of raw materials and energy supplies; disrupting global markets, supply chains, and foreign exchange and interest rates, and causing changes in migration patterns.

    Could happen
    In addition, heightened geopolitical uncertainty may increase the risk of cyber incidents, disrupt capital markets, and adversely affect foreign exchange and interest rate conditions, all of which could negatively affect our financial results. While we seek to mitigate these risks through diversification, risk management, and contingency planning, such efforts may not be successful. Any of the foregoing developments could materially and adversely affect our results of operations, financial condition, and cash flows.
    Read more
  • Increased interest rates could increase our borrowing costs.

    Could happen
    We continue to issue debt securities to finance capital expenditures, working capital and acquisitions, and for other general corporate purposes. Sustained or higher interest rates, tighter or uneven credit conditions, and capital market volatility could increase our cost of borrowing, constrain our access to liquidity, and heighten refinancing risk as debt maturities approach. An increase in interest rates in the general economy could result in an increase in our borrowing costs for these financings, as well as under our revolving credit facility, which bears interest at an unhedged floating rate. We have senior notes with $499 million principal, net of discounts, which incur interest at 3.2 percent annually, that mature on October 1, 2026. If we are unable to secure refinancing of these notes at a favorable interest rate, our financial results and cash flows could be adversely affected.
    Read more
  • Global and regional economic policies and changes to existing laws and regulations may have an adverse impact on our business.

    Could happen
    In addition, recent and potential future changes in the priorities and scope of U.S. federal or state regulatory agencies may increase legal, regulatory, and operational uncertainty for us, including with respect to environmental regulation, immigration enforcement and labor availability, trade policy, and tax and fiscal legislation. Such changes could increase costs, disrupt supply chains, limit access to talent, affect demand, and reduce predictability in regulatory oversight and enforcement.
    Read more
  • Changes in consumer practices, preferences, price sensitivity, behaviors, demand and perceptions may reduce the demand for our products.

    Could happen
    As a result, certain customers may reformulate products, reduce volumes, or discontinue products that incorporate certain of our ingredients, including sweeteners, starches, texturizers, and other specialty ingredients, or seek alternative ingredients from our competitors. Such changes could reduce demand for our products, increase pricing pressure, require additional investment by us in reformulation and product development, influence customer procurement decisions and mix, or result in underutilization of manufacturing assets. While we continue to invest in innovation and solutions that we believe aligns with evolving customer and consumer needs, these efforts may not fully offset those adverse demand, pricing, or cost impacts. Any of the foregoing could materially and adversely affect our production volumes, profit margins, results of operations, financial condition, and cash flows.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
Create a free account to run it

Your first deep dive is free.

What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.