Mondelez International

MDLZ on Nasdaq. Mondelēz sells chocolate, biscuits and baked snacks to people in over 150 countries. Market value $74.7bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
4.1%fair

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $4.05 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
21.5×full

You pay 21.5 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
8.3%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 8 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 91 of 100. Price score: 63 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$59.62 a share, 16% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $51.20 to $66.65.

Dividend: 3.3% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

3.2
3.0
3.6
3.5
3.2
3.1
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$28.7bn$31.5bn$36.0bn$36.4bn$38.5bn
Operating margin
16.2%11.2%15.3%17.4%9.2%
Debt to equity
0.690.850.690.660.82
Shares outstanding
1.36bn1.35bn1.34bn1.28bn1.28bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)5 of 8 checks we could run
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.82× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 7.7% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesYes, 6% fewer since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $9.4 billion last quarter, up 4% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $1.5 billion, up 142% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 11 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 12 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $3.1 billion, up from $2.9 billion.
  • 1% fewer shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit more of the company.
  • Debt is $19.7 billion more than cash, up from $19.3 billion a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$9.2bn
December 2024$9.6bn
March 2025$9.3bn
June 2025$9.0bn
September 2025$9.7bn
December 2025$10.5bn
March 2026$10.1bn
June 2026$9.4bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$853m
December 2024$1.7bn
March 2025$402m
June 2025$641m
September 2025$743m
December 2025$665m
March 2026$560m
June 2026$1.5bn

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
27 October 2026
Last annual report (10-K)
4 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
27 October 2026

Who owns it

13 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 13 last quarter. 1,896 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

2 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 3 sold $9m, $9m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Van de Put Dirk
    Chief Executive Officer, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    19 August 2026
    Shares
    133,580
    Price
    $64.08
    Value
    $9m
  • Stevens Brian
    SVP, CTR & Chief Accoun Off
    Sold
    Date
    1 May 2026
    Shares
    1
    Price
    $61.55
    Value
    $62
  • Stevens Brian
    SVP, CTR & Chief Accoun Off
    Sold
    Date
    30 April 2026
    Shares
    63
    Price
    $61.46
    Value
    $3,872
  • Valle Gustavo Carlos
    EVP and President, NA
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    13 February 2026
    Shares
    3,000
    Price
    $62.00
    Value
    $186,000

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 4 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 28 Jul 2026 and 5 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • We face risks related to tax matters, including changes in tax laws and rates, disagreements with taxing authorities and imposition of new taxes.

    Could happen
    Changes in tax laws in the U.S. or in other countries where we have significant operations, including rate changes or corporate tax provisions that could disallow or tax perceived base erosion or profit shifting payments or subject us to new types of tax, could materially affect our effective tax rate and our deferred tax assets and liabilities. On July 4th, 2025, the United States enacted the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (“OBBBA”). The legislation implemented many new U.S. domestic and international tax provisions. Although the U.S. Treasury provided some clarifying guidance during 2025, it is expected they will continue to issue additional guidance in 2026. In addition, many U.S. states have not yet updated their laws to take into account the new federal legislation. It is possible that OBBBA, or interpretations under it, could change and could have an adverse effect on us, and such effect could be material.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.