Medtronic

MDT on NYSE. Medtronic sells medical devices and equipment to hospitals and clinics. Market value $112.5bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to July 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to April 2026.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

Compare with another stock

Cash yield
past 12 months to July 2026
5.4%fair

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $5.45 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to July 2026
20.5×full

You pay 20.5 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to April 2026
6.2%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 6 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 83 of 100. Price score: 73 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$87.97 a share, 20% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $73.31 to $106.33.

Dividend: 3.2% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Monday’s close (5 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

6.0
4.6
5.2
5.2
5.4
6.1
2022202320242025202612 monthsto Jul '26
Revenue
$31.7bn$31.2bn$32.4bn$33.5bn$36.4bn
Operating margin
18.2%17.6%15.9%17.8%17.8%
Debt to equity
0.460.470.500.590.57
Shares outstanding
1.33bn1.33bn1.28bn1.28bn1.28bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)8 of 9
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.57× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 3.9% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesYes, 4% fewer since 2022

The quarter to July 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $9.8 billion last quarter, up 14% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $1.5 billion, up 41% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 18 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, about the same as a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $6.1 billion, up from $5.3 billion.
  • About the same number of shares as a year ago.
  • Debt is $26.5 billion more than cash, down from $27.3 billion a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
October 2024$8.4bn
January 2025$8.3bn
April 2025$8.9bn
July 2025$8.6bn
October 2025$9.0bn
January 2026$9.0bn
April 2026$9.8bn
July 2026$9.8bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
October 2024$1.3bn
January 2025$1.3bn
April 2025$1.1bn
July 2025$1.0bn
October 2025$1.4bn
January 2026$1.1bn
April 2026$1.2bn
July 2026$1.5bn

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
17 November 2026
Last annual report (10-K)
18 June 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
3 December 2026

Who owns it

26 long-term investors we follow own it, down from 27 last quarter. 2,126 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

2 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 3 sold $9m, $257,931 of it under preset trading plans.

  • KIIL HARRY SKIP
    EVP & President Cardiovascular
    Sold
    Date
    16 September 2026
    Shares
    1,483
    Price
    $93.65
    Value
    $138,883
  • Walter Matthew R.
    SVP, Chief HR Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    8 July 2026
    Shares
    3,102
    Price
    $83.15
    Value
    $257,931
  • KIIL HARRY SKIP
    EVP & President Cardiovascular
    Sold
    Date
    8 June 2026
    Shares
    4,189
    Price
    $80.44
    Value
    $336,965
  • KIIL HARRY SKIP
    EVP & President Cardiovascular
    Sold
    Date
    19 February 2026
    Shares
    52,524
    Price
    $97.71
    Value
    $5m
  • Smith Gregory L
    EVP Global Ops & Supply Chain
    Sold
    Date
    19 November 2025
    Shares
    30,000
    Price
    $101.95
    Value
    $3m

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 18 Jun 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 3 Sep 2026 and 2 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • The ongoing separation of our Diabetes Business could be delayed, may not be completed as currently contemplated, and could materially adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial condition, and cash flows.

    Could happen
    The separation is complex and may require significant management time and resources and result in significant costs, including transaction, advisory, legal, accounting, information technology, separation and stand‑up costs, and potential dis‑synergies or stranded costs as shared systems, services, and infrastructure are separated or replicated. We may also be required to operate under transition or other agreements with MiniMed, and disputes or performance issues under such arrangements could adversely affect us. In addition, depending on the structure and timing of future dispositions, we may continue to have significant exposure to MiniMed’s business for an extended period through our retained ownership interest and other arrangements, and the trading price of our ordinary shares may fluctuate significantly around separation‑related transactions. Future steps in the separation could also result in tax liabilities or other adverse tax consequences to us and/or our shareholders. The occurrence of any of the foregoing risks, whether individually or in the aggregate, could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition, and cash flows.
    Read more
  • Our success depends on our ability to differentiate our products and successfully execute and scale emerging technologies.

    Could happen
    Our continued growth and success depend on our ability to develop, acquire and market new and differentiated products, technologies and intellectual property, and as a result we also face competition for marketing, distribution, and collaborative development agreements, establishing relationships with academic and research institutions and licenses to intellectual property. Our ability to compete effectively also depends on our ability to successfully execute the development, regulatory approval process, manufacturing scale‑up, and market adoption of multiple differentiated products and technology platforms concurrently across different therapeutic, diagnostic, and geographic markets. The scope, complexity, and timing of executing these initiatives increase the risk of delays, cost overruns, supply chain readiness challenges, resource constraints, or inconsistencies in execution. If we are unable to execute effectively across these initiatives, or if one or more major product launches underperforms expectations, our growth, competitive position, and financial results could be materially adversely affected. We must continue to create, invest in or acquire advanced technology, incorporate this technology into our proprietary products, obtain regulatory approvals in a timely manner, and successfully manufacture and market our products, including at a scale and pace required to support sustained growth across our business. For example, data science, machine learning and AI are all impacting our products and operations and the competitive landscape in which we operate, and the application of these technologies is rapidly evolving at the same time as new laws and regulations governing AI are being developed in jurisdictions around the world. Compliance with developing regulations may require significant expenditures or may limit our ability to effectively use these technologies. There can be no assurance that the application of AI in our products and operations will be successful, or that we will not experience data security and privacy incidents in connection with our use of these technologies. If we are unable to effectively integrate, scale, or apply AI and digital technologies across our products and operations at a pace comparable to competitors or new market entrants, we could experience reduced competitiveness, slower growth, or loss of market share. Given these factors, we cannot guarantee that we will be able to compete Table of Conten ts effectively or continue our level of success, and failures in execution, delays in adoption, or the inability to integrate new technologies effectively could have an outsized impact on our business, results of operations, financial condition, and cash flows.
    Read more
  • We are subject to litigation, claims, investigations, and regulatory proceedings, which are inherently unpredictable and could materially adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial condition, and cash flows.

    Could happen
    Such matters are inherently uncertain and may be protracted, costly, complex, and disruptive to our operations. Moreover, the environment in which litigation arises continues to evolve, including through the increased availability of third‑party litigation funding and other mechanisms that may facilitate or incentivize the initiation or continuation of claims. These developments may contribute to an increase in Table of Conten ts the frequency, scope, or duration of litigation, including claims that may lack merit, and could result in higher defense costs and greater uncertainty, regardless of the ultimate outcome. The outcome of any particular matter is difficult to predict, and adverse outcomes remain possible even where we believe we have meritorious defenses. The defense and resolution of legal matters may also divert management time and resources, increase costs, harm our reputation, or impair relationships with customers, suppliers, healthcare professionals, or regulators.
    Read more
  • Failure to identify, execute, and integrate acquired businesses into our operations successfully, or challenges related to the Company's strategic initiatives, including divestitures and third-party funding arrangements, as well as liabilities or claims relating to such acquired businesses, divestitures, or arrangements could adversely affect our business.

    Could happen
    • the presence or absence of adequate internal controls and/or significant fraud in the financial systems of acquired companies, • our ability or inability to integrate information technology systems of acquired companies in a secure and reliable manner, • liabilities, claims, litigation, investigations, or other adverse developments relating to acquired businesses or the business practices of acquired companies, including investigations by governmental entities, potential Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) or product liability claims, intellectual property disputes, earnout or other contingent payment disputes, or other unanticipated liabilities, • any decrease in customer loyalty and product orders caused by dissatisfaction with the combined companies’ product lines and sales and marketing practices, including price increases, • our ability to retain key employees, • the ability to obtain approval or clearance for the products of any businesses we acquire, or to effectively integrate the products or technologies of those businesses into existing or planned product lines, including due to tariffs or other regulatory hurdles, and • the ability to achieve synergies among acquired companies, such as increasing sales of the integrated company’s products, achieving cost savings, and effectively combining technologies to develop new products.
    Read more
  • We are subject to a variety of risks associated with global operations that could adversely affect our profitability and operating results.

    Geopolitical tensions and conflicts have the potential to adversely impact our business. The Russia-Ukraine conflict and resulting sanctions and export restrictions are creating barriers to doing business in Russia and Belarus and adversely impacting global supply chains. While we have no manufacturing, distribution or direct material suppliers in the region, we continue to closely monitor the potential raw material/sub-tier supplier impact in both Russia and Ukraine including materials like palladium and neon, which are both dependent on Russia supply. More broadly, certain critical materials and components used in our products or manufacturing processes may be sourced from, processed in, or subject to regulatory oversight in a limited number of jurisdictions, increasing our exposure to supply disruptions, price volatility, or regulatory leverage arising from geopolitical tensions. In addition, military operations in the Middle East have disrupted maritime traffic in and around the Strait of Hormuz and have driven higher energy costs, which may strain global supply chains and adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial condition, and cash flows. Conflict in Israel and in the Middle East region generally may also disrupt our operations and could adversely impact global supply chains and our business, results of operations, financial condition, and cash flows. To the extent that these conflicts result in increased spending by governments on defense and diversion of resources from healthcare spending, our business may also be adversely affected.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.