Marathon Petroleum

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 26 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 4 Aug 2026 and 5 later 8-Ks.

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

• We expect to continue to incur substantial capital expenditures and operating costs to meet the requirements of evolving environmental and other laws or regulations. Changes to the federal government’s policies and operations could lead to increased regulatory uncertainty and volatility and increased state regulation, which may impact our business, financial condition and results of operations.

  Could happen

  In 2025, the U.S. presidential administration announced wide-ranging policy changes and issued numerous executive actions. The U.S. EPA and other federal agencies began proposing and promulgating regulations consistent with the administration’s policy changes. If the federal government relaxes or revokes certain environmental regulations, states may pass laws that vary in stringency and scope by state, creating a patchwork of regulation. For example, various states have passed laws regulating the use of materials containing PFAS and setting action levels for the remediation of certain PFAS. We cannot predict the extent to which states will pass such legislation, or the ultimate effect these state laws will have on our business, financial condition and results of operations.

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• Industry, market, technological and regulatory developments regarding emissions, fuel efficiency and alternative fuel vehicles may decrease demand for liquid transportation fuels.

  Could happen

  Developments aimed at reducing vehicle emissions, increasing vehicle efficiency or reducing the sale of new internal combustion engine vehicles may decrease the demand and may increase the cost for our liquid transportation fuels. Government mandates or incentives, industry and technological developments and consumer sentiment with respect to liquid transportation fuels may alter fuels or energy preferences or make alternative fuel vehicles more desirable and result in greater market penetration of such vehicles or otherwise decrease demand for our liquid transportation fuels. For example, the federal government through NHTSA and the EPA promulgate rules that require vehicle manufacturers to increase the fuel efficiency standards of liquid transportation fuels vehicles. The EPA has finalized a rule that reduces its current vehicle standards by eliminating regulation of GHG emissions. The new, reduced standards have been challenged in court.

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• Climate change and GHG emission regulation could affect our operations, energy consumption patterns and regulatory obligations, any of which could adversely impact our business, results of operations and financial condition.

  Could happen

  California has also enacted cap-and-invest programs, which set statewide limits on GHG emissions and caps that decline each year. CARB is currently developing regulations to implement the changes to the Cap-and-Invest program. We are unable to estimate the impact of these programs but requirements to drastically reduce GHG emissions in California could increase our operating costs, require additional capital expenditures, reduce the competitiveness of our California refinery and renewable fuel facility and our Washington refinery and affect their long term outlook.

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• Significant acquisitions, including the Northwind Midstream Acquisition and the BANGL Acquisition, will involve the integration of new assets or businesses and may present substantial risks that could adversely affect our business, financial conditions, results of operations and cash flows.

  Could happen

  Significant acquisitions, including the Northwind Midstream Acquisition and the BANGL Acquisition, involving the addition of new assets or businesses will present risks, which may include, among others: