Noble
NE on NYSE. Noble sells contract drilling services for oil and gas wells to oil and gas companies. Market value $6.8bn.
Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.
Recent profit includes a one-time gain, so we price the company excluding that gain.
Recent profit includes a big one-time charge, so we price the company excluding that charge.
Should I look at this?
Good business, but not cheap right now
Why it could be worth it
What to watch out for
See cheaper Energy stocks on the list
This is not advice. Check the numbers below.
For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $4.29 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.
You pay 21.3 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.
Each dollar kept in the business earns 6 cents a year. Above 10 is good.
Quality score: 88 of 100. Price score: 54 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.
$41.45 a share, 55% above its 1-year low
Over the past year the price has ranged from $26.69 to $54.98.
Dividend: 4.8% a year
Paid every year for 3 years
Payouts have jumped around in recent years, so this may not repeat.
Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).
Five years of cash, in billions
Spare cash swings from quarter to quarter here: $284 million in the past 12 months, $432 million in the year to December 2025.
| Revenue | ||||
| Revenue | $1.4bn | $2.6bn | $3.1bn | $3.3bn |
| Operating margin | ||||
| Operating margin | 16.2% | 22.2% | 19.8% | 12.6% |
| Debt to equity | ||||
| Debt to equity | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| Shares outstanding | ||||
| Shares outstanding | 0.14bn | 0.16bn | 0.16bn | 0.16bn |
Health checks
- Free cash flow positive4 of 4 years
- Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
- Financial strength (Piotroski)7 of 8 checks we could run
- Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
- Debt0.45× equity
- Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 32.4% a year
- Buying back its own sharesNo, 13% more shares since 2022
The quarter to June 2026
How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.
- Sales: $720 million last quarter, down 15% on a year ago.
- A loss of $37 million, after a profit of $43 million a year ago.
- It keeps 11 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 18 cents a year earlier.
- Spare cash over the past 12 months: $284 million, down from $410 million.
- 1% fewer shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit more of the company.
- Debt is $1.5 billion more than cash, down from $1.6 billion a year ago.
- Sales did not grow on a year ago in any of the last 4 quarters.
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $801m |
| December 2024 | $927m |
| March 2025 | $874m |
| June 2025 | $849m |
| September 2025 | $798m |
| December 2025 | $764m |
| March 2026 | $786m |
| June 2026 | $720m |
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $61m |
| December 2024 | $97m |
| March 2025 | $108m |
| June 2025 | $43m |
| September 2025 | -$21m |
| December 2025 | $87m |
| March 2026 | $121m |
| June 2026 | -$37m |
From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.
Dates
- Next results (estimated)
- n/a
- Last annual report (10-K)
- 12 February 2026
- Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
- 27 October 2026
Who owns it
7 long-term investors we follow own it, down from 9 last quarter. 374 funds in all.
| Fund | Value | Share of that fund | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Eagle Investment ManagementMatthew McLennan | $1.0bn | 0.9% | Added |
| Hosking PartnersJeremy Hosking | $37m | 1.2% | Cut |
| Hotchkis & WileyHotchkis & Wiley team | $6m | <0.1% | Added |
| ValueWorksCharles Lemonides | $4m | 0.8% | Cut |
| Patient Capital ManagementSamantha McLemore | $4m | 0.1% | Cut |
| GMOJeremy Grantham | $4m | <0.1% | Added |
| Gotham Asset ManagementJoel Greenblatt | $3m | <0.1% | Added |
Sold out this quarter
Largest holders overall
- First Eagle Investment Management$1.0bnAdded
- BlackRock$734mAdded
- Vanguard Portfolio Management$302m
- Dimensional Fund Advisors LP$267mAdded
- Vanguard Capital Management$214m
- State Street$202mAdded
- FMR$196mCut
- American Century Companies$160mAdded
- Geode Capital Management$135mAdded
- T. Rowe Price Investment Management$118m
From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.
Big holders and activists
3 investors own more than 5%.
- BlackRock, Inc.Passive investor11.2%+1.9 ptsSince 31 October 2025
- First Eagle Investment ManagementPassive investorat least 8.8%0.0 pts(filed with 1 related holder)Since 31 March 2026
- Vanguard Portfolio ManagementPassive investor5.0%Since 31 March 2026
- The Vanguard GroupPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 13 March 2026
| Holder | Stake | Since | |
|---|---|---|---|
BlackRock, Inc. Passive investor | 11.2%+1.9 pts | 31 October 2025 | |
First Eagle Investment Management Passive investor | at least 8.8%0.0 pts (filed with 1 related holder) | 31 March 2026 | |
Vanguard Portfolio Management Passive investor | 5.0% | 31 March 2026 | |
The Vanguard Group Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 13 March 2026 |
From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.
What insiders did
No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 9 sold $23m.
- Eifler Robert W.President & CEO, DirectorSold
- Date
- 15 June 2026
- Shares
- 50,000
- Price
- $45.51
- Value
- $2m
- Hirshberg Al J.DirectorSold
- Date
- 15 May 2026
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $52.62
- Value
- $263,105
- SLEDGE CHARLES MDirectorSold
- Date
- 12 May 2026
- Shares
- 724
- Price
- $51.61
- Value
- $37,366
- Denton BlakeSVP, Marketing & ContractsSold
- Date
- 6 May 2026
- Shares
- 30,000
- Price
- $49.31
- Value
- $1m
- Kawaja Joey MSVP, OperationsSold
- Date
- 5 May 2026
- Shares
- 40,000
- Price
- $49.86
- Value
- $2m
- Howard JennieSVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec.Sold
- Date
- 30 April 2026
- Shares
- 2,486
- Price
- $51.08
- Value
- $126,985
- ALTING CAROLINESVP, Ops. Excellence & SustSold
- Date
- 28 April 2026
- Shares
- 15,340
- Price
- $52.75
- Value
- $809,185
- Barker Richard B.EVP and CFOSold
- Date
- 18 March 2026
- Shares
- 150,000
- Price
- $46.63
- Value
- $7m
- Eifler Robert W.President & CEO, DirectorSold
- Date
- 18 March 2026
- Shares
- 100,000
- Price
- $46.62
- Value
- $5m
- Denton BlakeSVP, Marketing & ContractsSold
- Date
- 2 March 2026
- Shares
- 19,334
- Price
- $45.17
- Value
- $873,287
| Date | Who | Did | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 June 2026 | Eifler Robert W. President & CEO, Director | Sold | 50,000 | $45.51 | $2m |
| 15 May 2026 | Hirshberg Al J. Director | Sold | 5,000 | $52.62 | $263,105 |
| 12 May 2026 | SLEDGE CHARLES M Director | Sold | 724 | $51.61 | $37,366 |
| 6 May 2026 | Denton Blake SVP, Marketing & Contracts | Sold | 30,000 | $49.31 | $1m |
| 5 May 2026 | Kawaja Joey M SVP, Operations | Sold | 40,000 | $49.86 | $2m |
| 30 April 2026 | Howard Jennie SVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec. | Sold | 2,486 | $51.08 | $126,985 |
| 28 April 2026 | ALTING CAROLINE SVP, Ops. Excellence & Sust | Sold | 15,340 | $52.75 | $809,185 |
| 18 March 2026 | Barker Richard B. EVP and CFO | Sold | 150,000 | $46.63 | $7m |
| 18 March 2026 | Eifler Robert W. President & CEO, Director | Sold | 100,000 | $46.62 | $5m |
| 2 March 2026 | Denton Blake SVP, Marketing & Contracts | Sold | 19,334 | $45.17 | $873,287 |
From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.
Warning signs in its filings
Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.
None of the warning signs we check for were found.
We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.
We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 12 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 28 Jul 2026 and 8 later 8-Ks.
A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.
What could go wrong
Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.
Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.
What changed in the risks this year
Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.
Our failure, or the failure of our service providers or other third parties, to adequately protect our sensitive information, operational technology systems, and critical data could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Could happenIn addition, Noble is subject to a variety of continuously evolving and developing laws and regulations in the United States and abroad governing, or proposed to govern, cyber security, data privacy and protection, the development and use of AI, and the unauthorized disclosure of confidential or protected information, including the UK Data Protection Act, the EU General Data Protection Regulation, the Data Protection Law, as revised, of the Cayman Islands, the California Consumer Privacy Act, as amended by the California Privacy Rights Act, the Cyber Incident Reporting for Critical Infrastructure Act, and other similar legislation in domestic and international jurisdictions, which pose increasingly complex compliance challenges and potentially elevate costs. Any failure to comply with these laws and regulations could result in significant penalties and legal liability. These laws and regulations are continuously evolving and developing, creating significant uncertainty, as data privacy and security requirements may be interpreted and applied differently across jurisdictions and may impose inconsistent or conflicting requirements. Any failure, or perceived failure, by Noble or third-party service or equipment providers to comply with Noble’s privacy or security policies or privacy-related legal obligations, or any compromise of security that results in the unauthorized release or transfer of personal data, or other sensitive information or critical data, may result in loss of revenue, reputational harm, and could be subject to legal or regulatory claims or proceedings, including enforcement actions under data privacy or disclosure regulations, which may result in significant expenditures, fines or liabilities, and could have an adverse effect on our operating results and financial condition. Additionally, AI outputs may be inaccurate, biased, or unreliable, which could result in legal, regulatory, or reputational harm, and their misuse could create compliance or reputational risks and lead to legal exposure.
Read moreOur failure, or the failure of our service providers or other third parties, to adequately protect our sensitive information, operational technology systems, and critical data could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Could happenAlso, many of our employees may have a hybrid work schedule. This opens additional avenues of cyber threats such as social engineering, remote access abuse, and home network exposure. We mitigate these risks with enterprise access controls, device hardening standards, and ongoing employee security awareness training. Due to the nature of cyber incidents and attacks, such events affecting our systems or the services or equipment used by our service or equipment providers could go undetected for a prolonged period of time, and the full nature and scope of any potential harm may not be immediately apparent. A cyber incident or attack may result in legal claims or proceedings against us by our shareholders, employees, customers, vendors, or other persons, regulatory inquiries by governmental authorities in the United States and internationally, and could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, or financial condition.
Read more
The deep dive
Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.
- What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
- Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
- The three things that would make this a mistake
- Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
Your first deep dive is free.
Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.