New Fortress Energy
NFE on Nasdaq. Natural gas distribution. Market value $1.7bn.
Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.
Should I look at this?
Look carefully before going further
Why it could be worth it
Read the warning sign in its own filings
This is not advice. Check the numbers below.
For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $-48.19 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.
The filings do not give us enough to work this out.
Each dollar kept in the business earns 4 cents a year. Above 10 is good.
Quality score: 45 of 100. Price score: 0 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.
$5.51 a share, 2349% above its 1-year low
Over the past year the price has ranged from $0.22 to $18.10.
Dividend: 0.0% a year
Paid every year for at least 5 years
Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).
Five years of cash, in billions
Spare cash swings from quarter to quarter here: a shortfall of $758 million in the past 12 months, a shortfall of $1.2 billion in the year to December 2025.
| Revenue | |||||
| Revenue | $1.3bn | $2.4bn | $2.4bn | $2.4bn | $1.5bn |
| Operating margin | |||||
| Operating margin | 18.1% | 31.1% | 39.1% | 22.4% | -74.5% |
| Debt to equity | |||||
| Debt to equity | 2.16 | 3.53 | 4.29 | 4.84 | 45.20 |
| Shares outstanding | |||||
| Shares outstanding | 0.21bn | 0.21bn | 0.25bn | 0.28bn | 0.29bn |
Health checks
- Free cash flow positive0 of 5 years
- Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
- Financial strength (Piotroski)2 of 9
- Profit backed by cash (accruals)No
- Debt45.20× equity
- Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 27.2% a year
- Buying back its own sharesNo, 37% more shares since 2021
The quarter to June 2026
How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.
- Sales: $313 million last quarter, up 3% on a year ago.
- A loss of $371 million, compared with a loss of $545 million a year ago.
- It loses 86 cents on each $1 of sales, compared with 5 cents a year earlier.
- Over the past 12 months it spent $758 million more cash than it brought in, compared with $1.4 billion a year earlier.
- 4% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
- Debt is $8.7 billion more than cash, up from $8.6 billion a year ago.
- Sales grew on a year ago in 2 of the last 4 quarters.
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $569m |
| December 2024 | $351m |
| March 2025 | $472m |
| June 2025 | $304m |
| September 2025 | $332m |
| December 2025 | $396m |
| March 2026 | $227m |
| June 2026 | $313m |
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $9m |
| December 2024 | -$243m |
| March 2025 | -$178m |
| June 2025 | -$545m |
| September 2025 | -$270m |
| December 2025 | -$852m |
| March 2026 | -$400m |
| June 2026 | -$371m |
From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.
Dates
- Next results (estimated)
- n/a
- Last annual report (10-K)
- 13 April 2026
- Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
- 5 November 2026
Who owns it
None of the long-term investors we follow own it. 149 funds in all.
Largest holders overall
From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.
Big holders and activists
6 investors own more than 5%.
- Wesley R. EdensInsider or founder20.5%+1.7 ptsSince 11 September 2026
What they said
On March 17, 2026, in connection with the Restructuring Transaction, the Issuer and certain of its subsidiaries entered into a restructuring support agreement (the "RSA") with certain of its lenders and noteholders. The RSA sets forth the principal terms for the comprehensive…
Read the filing - Strategic Value Partners, LLCPassive investorat least 14.7%(filed with 5 related holders)Since 11 September 2026
What they said
On March 17, 2026, in connection with the Issuer's restructuring of its debt obligations (the "Restructuring Transactions"), the Issuer and certain of its subsidiaries entered into a restructuring support agreement (the "RSA"). On September 11, 2026, pursuant to the RSA, certain…
Read the filing - Capital World InvestorsPassive investor12.2%+9.7 ptsSince 30 September 2026
- at least 9.4%(filed with 2 related holders)Since 2 October 2024
- Energy Transition Holdings LLCPassive investorat least 9.0%−0.4 pts(filed with 3 related holders)Since 31 December 2025
- FIG LLCPassive investorat least 4.9%(filed with 8 related holders)Since 31 March 2025
- The Vanguard GroupPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 30 September 2025
- PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/Passive investorSold down below 5%Since 31 March 2025
- BlackRock, Inc.Passive investorSold down below 5%Since 31 March 2026
- Randal A. NardonePassive investorSold down below 5%Since 11 September 2026
- Encompass Capital Advisors LLCPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 31 December 2024
- Peter LevinsonPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 9 March 2026
What they said
The reporting person acquired securities of the Issuer for investment purposes based on his belief that the Issuer's securities represented an attractive investment opportunity. See Exhibit 99.1 for a discussion of the reporting person's views regarding the Issuer. The reporting…
Read the filing - Rubric Capital Management LPPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 31 March 2026
- WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLCPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 30 June 2025
| Holder | Stake | Since | |
|---|---|---|---|
Wesley R. Edens Insider or founder | 20.5%+1.7 pts | 11 September 2026 | What they saidOn March 17, 2026, in connection with the Restructuring Transaction, the Issuer and certain of its subsidiaries entered into a restructuring support agreement (the "RSA") with certain of its lenders and noteholders. The RSA sets forth the principal terms for the comprehensive… Read the filing |
Strategic Value Partners, LLC Passive investor | at least 14.7% (filed with 5 related holders) | 11 September 2026 | What they saidOn March 17, 2026, in connection with the Issuer's restructuring of its debt obligations (the "Restructuring Transactions"), the Issuer and certain of its subsidiaries entered into a restructuring support agreement (the "RSA"). On September 11, 2026, pursuant to the RSA, certain… Read the filing |
Capital World Investors Passive investor | 12.2%+9.7 pts | 30 September 2026 | |
at least 9.4% (filed with 2 related holders) | 2 October 2024 | ||
Energy Transition Holdings LLC Passive investor | at least 9.0%−0.4 pts (filed with 3 related holders) | 31 December 2025 | |
FIG LLC Passive investor | at least 4.9% (filed with 8 related holders) | 31 March 2025 | |
The Vanguard Group Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 30 September 2025 | |
PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/ Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 31 March 2025 | |
BlackRock, Inc. Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 31 March 2026 | |
Randal A. Nardone Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 11 September 2026 | |
Encompass Capital Advisors LLC Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 31 December 2024 | |
Peter Levinson Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 9 March 2026 | What they saidThe reporting person acquired securities of the Issuer for investment purposes based on his belief that the Issuer's securities represented an attractive investment opportunity. See Exhibit 99.1 for a discussion of the reporting person's views regarding the Issuer. The reporting… Read the filing |
Rubric Capital Management LP Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 31 March 2026 | |
WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 30 June 2025 |
From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.
What insiders did
In the last 12 months, 1 insider bought $0 of shares on the open market.
- EDENS WESLEY RChief Executive Officer, DirectorBought
- Date
- 11 September 2026
- Shares
- 28,313
- Price
- n/a
- Value
- n/a
| Date | Who | Did | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 September 2026 | EDENS WESLEY R Chief Executive Officer, Director | Bought | 28,313 | n/a | n/a |
From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.
Warning signs in its filings
Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.
3 serious warning signs in New Fortress Energy’s filings.
We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.
We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 13 Apr 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 6 Aug 2026 and 11 later 8-Ks.
Doubt it can keep going
SeriousThe company or its auditor warned it may not have enough money to last the next year.
“As discussed in Note 3 to the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report, management has concluded that, our current liquidity and forecasted cash flows from operations are not probable to be sufficient to support, in full, obligations as they become due over the next twelve-month period, and there is substantial doubt as to the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern.”
Show the full paragraph
As discussed in Note 3 to the consolidated financial statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report, management has concluded that, our current liquidity and forecasted cash flows from operations are not probable to be sufficient to support, in full, obligations as they become due over the next twelve-month period, and there is substantial doubt as to the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern. If the Restructuring Transaction is not consummated as contemplated, the Company will be required or compelled to pursue alternative in-court restructuring initiatives to preserve value, which would have a material and adverse impact on stockholders. The process of implementing the Restructuring Transaction and the associated Restructuring Plans is subject to significant risks and uncertainties, including the need for sanction by the UK High Court, recognition in the United States under chapter 15 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code, and approval of several stockholder proposals. See “Risks Related to our Business—We are subject to risks and uncertainties associated with the Restructuring Transaction, the Restructuring Plans and the RSA.” There is no assurance that these approvals will be obtained on the anticipated timeline or at all. The Company and its creditors must also negotiate and finalize definitive documentation, and any failure to reach agreement or to satisfy the process milestones could result in termination of the RSA, after which creditors may pursue enforcement actions that could accelerate the Company’s financial distress. In addition, volatility in financial markets, changes in interest rates, or adverse economic developments could impact the Company’s ability to raise additional capital or refinance obligations, even during the restructuring process. The Company must also meet a consolidated minimum liquidity threshold at closing, and if this threshold is not met, it may be required to raise additional capital under tight time constraints, which may not be possible on acceptable terms.
From the 10-K filed 13 April 2026, Item 1A. Risk Factors. Read it in the filing
Weak checks on its own accounts
SeriousThe company said its checks on its own accounts did not work at the end of its latest quarter. Mistakes could slip into the numbers.
“Based on that evaluation, our CEO and CFO concluded that the Company's disclosure controls and procedures were not effective as of June 30, 2026, as a result of material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting as described below.”
Show the full paragraph
In accordance with Rules 13a-15(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended ("Exchange Act"), we have performed, with the participation of the Chief Executive Officer ("CEO") and the Chief Financial Officer ("CFO"), an evaluation of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Exchange Act. Based on that evaluation, our CEO and CFO concluded that the Company's disclosure controls and procedures were not effective as of June 30, 2026, as a result of material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting as described below.
From the 10-Q filed 6 August 2026, Part I, Item 4. Controls and Procedures. Read it in the filing
Its past accounts can't be relied on
SeriousIt told the SEC its earlier accounts should no longer be relied on, usually because they contained errors.
8-K Item 4.02 filed 17 Mar 2026: the company said its earlier financial statements should no longer be relied on.
From an 8-K filed 17 March 2026: Previously issued accounts should no longer be relied on. Open the filing
One big customer
Worth knowingOne customer brings in a big share of sales: 30% last year. Losing that customer would hurt.
“Revenue from one customer constituted 30% of total revenue in 2025; no other customers comprised more than 10% of our revenue.”
From the 10-K filed 13 April 2026, Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis. Read it in the filing
A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.
What could go wrong
- It carries a lot of debt: 45.2× its equity.
Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.
The deep dive
Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.
- What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
- Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
- The three things that would make this a mistake
- Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
Your first deep dive is free.
Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.