NI Holdings
NODK on Nasdaq. NI Holdings sells property and casualty insurance to people and businesses. Market value $305m.
Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Some use the latest annual report instead, as marked. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.
Should I look at this?
Look carefully before going further
Why it could be worth it
Read the warning sign in its own filings
This is not advice. Check the numbers below.
Yearly profit per dollar of owners' money: -2 cents. Above 10 is good.
What you pay for each dollar of net assets: $1.21.
Profit per $100 you pay: $2.60.
Quality score: 6 of 100. Price score: 61 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.
$14.77 a share, 19% above its 1-year low
Over the past year the price has ranged from $12.37 to $16.70.
Dividend: 2.2% a year
Paid every year for 2 years
Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).
Five years of cash, in billions
| Revenue | |||||
| Revenue | $324m | $268m | $304m | $325m | $285m |
| Operating margin | |||||
| Operating margin | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Debt to equity | |||||
| Debt to equity | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Shares outstanding | |||||
| Shares outstanding | 0.02bn | 0.02bn | 0.02bn | 0.02bn | 0.02bn |
Health checks
- Free cash flow positiveDoesn't apply to banks and insurers
- Accounting checksDoesn't apply to banks and insurers
- DebtDoesn't apply to banks and insurers
- Revenue growth, five yearsShrinking, 1.4% a year
- Buying back its own sharesYes, 3% fewer since 2021
The quarter to June 2026
How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.
- Sales: $70 million last quarter, down 8% on a year ago.
- Profit: $146,000, after a loss of $12 million a year ago.
- Over the past 12 months it spent $33 million more cash than it brought in. A year earlier it had $19 million spare.
- 1% fewer shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit more of the company.
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $89m |
| December 2024 | Not reported |
| March 2025 | $71m |
| June 2025 | $76m |
| September 2025 | $77m |
| December 2025 | $61m |
| March 2026 | $60m |
| June 2026 | $70m |
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | -$3m |
| December 2024 | $10m |
| March 2025 | $6m |
| June 2025 | -$12m |
| September 2025 | -$2m |
| December 2025 | -$3m |
| March 2026 | $13m |
| June 2026 | $146,000 |
From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.
Dates
- Next results (estimated)
- n/a
- Last annual report (10-K)
- 6 March 2026
- Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
- 6 November 2026
Who owns it
None of the long-term investors we follow own it. 79 funds in all.
Largest holders overall
- M3F$24mCut
- Newtyn Management$11m
- BlackRock$9mAdded
- Dimensional Fund Advisors LP$6mAdded
- Vanguard Capital Management$5mCut
- Geode Capital Management$3mAdded
- Morgan Stanley$3mAdded
- State Street$2mCut
- Minerva Advisors$2m
- TCW Group$2mCut
From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.
Big holders and activists
1 investor owns more than 5%.
- M3 Funds, LLCPassive investorat least 8.0%+1.6 pts(filed with 4 related holders)Since 31 March 2026
| Holder | Stake | Since | |
|---|---|---|---|
M3 Funds, LLC Passive investor | at least 8.0%+1.6 pts (filed with 4 related holders) | 31 March 2026 |
From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.
What insiders did
No insider bought or sold on the open market in the last 12 months.
From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.
Warning signs in its filings
Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.
1 serious warning sign in NI Holdings’ filings.
We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.
We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 6 Mar 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 7 Aug 2026 and 3 later 8-Ks.
Its past accounts can't be relied on
SeriousIt told the SEC its earlier accounts should no longer be relied on, usually because they contained errors.
8-K Item 4.02 filed 28 Oct 2024: the company said its earlier financial statements should no longer be relied on.
From an 8-K filed 28 October 2024: Previously issued accounts should no longer be relied on. Open the filing
A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.
What could go wrong
- Sales have shrunk: 1.4% a year.
Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.
The deep dive
Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.
- What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
- Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
- The three things that would make this a mistake
- Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
Your first deep dive is free.
Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.