Old National Bancorp

ONB on Nasdaq. Old National Bancorp sells banking and wealth services to people and businesses. Market value $9.5bn.

Watch this stockFree. We tell you when something changes.

Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Some use the latest annual report instead, as marked. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

We can't read total debt from the filing, so debt is left out.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Return on equity
five annual reports to December 2025
9.3%five-year median

Yearly profit per dollar of owners' money: 9 cents. Above 10 is good.

Price to book
quarterly report to June 2026
1.1×

What you pay for each dollar of net assets: $1.11.

Earnings yield
past 12 months to June 2026
9.3%

Profit per $100 you pay: $9.30.

Quality score: 87 of 100. Price score: 97 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$24.90 a share, 28% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $19.39 to $27.36.

Dividend: 2.4% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
20212022202320242025
Revenue
$126mn/an/an/an/a
Operating margin
n/an/an/an/an/a
Debt to equity
n/an/an/an/an/a
Shares outstanding
0.29bn0.29bn0.32bn0.39bn0.39bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positiveDoesn't apply to banks and insurers
  • Accounting checksDoesn't apply to banks and insurers
  • DebtDoesn't apply to banks and insurers
  • Revenue growth, five yearsUnknown
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 32% more shares since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Profit: $253 million, up 102% on a year ago.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $940 million, up from $511 million.
  • 6% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$144m
December 2024$154m
March 2025$145m
June 2025$125m
September 2025$183m
December 2025$217m
March 2026$234m
June 2026$253m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
19 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
28 October 2026

Who owns it

3 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 3 last quarter. 455 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

3 investors own more than 5%.

  • Otto Bremer Trust
    10.6%−1.1 pts
    Since 26 February 2026
    What they said

    Item 4 is hereby amended and supplemented to add the following: On February 25, 2026, the Issuer and Caroline S. Johnson, Francis M. Miley, and Daniel C. Reardon, solely in their respective capacities as trustees of the Reporting Person (the "Trustees"), entered into a Stock…

    Read the filing
  • BlackRock, Inc.
    Passive investor
    10.5%
    Since 30 June 2025
  • FMR LLC
    Passive investor
    at least 9.0%+1.1 pts
    (filed with 1 related holder)
    Since 31 December 2025
  • Sold down below 5%
    Since 30 June 2025
  • Sold down below 5%
    Since 30 June 2025
  • STATE STREET CORPORATION
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 30 June 2025
  • The Vanguard Group
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 13 March 2026

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 2 sold $2m.

  • ALAHMAR CHADY M.
    CEO, WEALTH MANAGEMENT
    Sold
    Date
    30 July 2026
    Shares
    11,771
    Price
    $26.41
    Value
    $310,844
  • Chulos Nicholas J
    Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec
    Sold
    Date
    28 July 2026
    Shares
    20,000
    Price
    $26.66
    Value
    $533,192
  • Chulos Nicholas J
    Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec
    Sold
    Date
    3 February 2026
    Shares
    30,000
    Price
    $25.05
    Value
    $751,500

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 19 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 29 Jul 2026 and 7 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • The development and use of artificial intelligence presents risks and challenges that may adversely impact Old National’s business.

    Could happen
    The failure to strategically embrace the potential of artificial intelligence or to achieve the expected effectiveness, productivity, or cost-reduction from our adoption of artificial intelligence may result in a competitive disadvantage for us. If we cannot offer new artificial intelligence-facilitated technologies as quickly as our competitors, if our competitors develop more cost-effective solutions or other product offerings, if our employees do not adopt such technologies expediently, or if we are not able to source components we may require, such as artificial intelligence chips due to a supply chain shortage amid rising geopolitical uncertainty, we could experience a material adverse effect on our operating results, customer relationships, and growth opportunities. Our use and deployment of artificial intelligence solutions may introduce operational and control risks, including the risk of potential errors in automated decision-making, challenges in oversight and accountability, increased vulnerability to system failures or cyber incidents, and the risk that these technologies may not perform as intended under complex or unforeseen circumstances, which could materially disrupt our business operations and adversely affect our financial condition and reputation.
    Read more
  • The development and use of artificial intelligence presents risks and challenges that may adversely impact Old National’s business.

    Could happen
    The evolving legal, regulatory, and compliance framework for artificial intelligence both in the U.S. and internationally may impact our ability to protect our own data and intellectual property against infringing use and could require changes in our implementation of artificial intelligence technology and increase our compliance costs and the risk of non-compliance. Our efforts to evolve our governance, risk management, and control frameworks to manage the novel and amplified risks from our use of artificial intelligence may be insufficient or ineffective, which could expose us to operational disruptions, legal and regulatory sanctions, reputational harm, and adverse financial impacts. Additionally, we may not be able to control how third-party artificial intelligence solutions that we choose to use are developed or maintained including the source and quality of the data on which such models are trained or the frequency and nature of model updates. We may also be unable to govern or protect the integrity of the data we input into such tools, with respect to how such data is retained, reused, co-mingled with other data or disclosed, even where we have sought protections with respect to these matters.
    Read more
  • The development and use of artificial intelligence presents risks and challenges that may adversely impact Old National’s business.

    Could happen
    The use and development of artificial intelligence, including digital employees and digital engineers, by Old National and its third party vendors, clients, counterparties, and other market participants in certain business processes, models, including generative artificial intelligence models, services, or products may expose Old National to risks and potential liabilities. These risks may occur as a result of enhanced governmental or regulatory scrutiny, litigation, ethical concerns, confidentiality or other security risks, intellectual property concerns over data rights and protection, increased exposure to copyright infringement or intellectual property misappropriation claims, heightened susceptibility to cyberattacks, increased frequency and severity of cyberattacks, inaccurate or biased algorithms or underlying datasets, misuse or misappropriation as well as other factors that could adversely affect our business, reputation, and financial results. In addition, poor implementation of artificial intelligence by Old National or its third party service providers could subject Old National to additional risks that we may not adequately predict or mitigate.
    Read more
  • Old National operates in an extremely competitive market, and Old National’s business will suffer if Old National is unable to compete effectively.

    Could happen
    In addition, the emergence, adoption and evolution of new technologies that do not require intermediation, including distributed ledgers, as well as advances in artificial intelligence and automation could significantly affect competition for financial services. For instance, in July 2025, President Trump signed into law the GENIUS Act, which establishes a regulatory framework for “payment stablecoins” and their issuers. Consumers and businesses may view payment stablecoins as a substitute for traditional bank deposits, resulting in deposit withdrawals. Depending on consumer and business interest in payment stablecoins, and the characteristics and utility of payment stablecoins, the passage of the GENIUS Act could result in increased competition with respect to Old National Bank’s deposit products. However, the GENIUS Act requires the U.S. Treasury Department and federal and state regulators to issue regulations on numerous topics to interpret and implement the statute, so the effect of the GENIUS Act will depend on what those regulations provide.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.