PepsiCo
PEP on Nasdaq. PepsiCo sells drinks and snacks to people in more than 200 countries. Market value $171.5bn.
Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.
Should I look at this?
Worth a closer look
Why it could be worth it
What to watch out for
This is not advice. Check the numbers below.
For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $5.41 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.
You pay 15.0 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.
Each dollar kept in the business earns 18 cents a year. Above 10 is good.
Quality score: 83 of 100. Price score: 91 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.
$125.71 a share, at its 1-year low
Over the past year the price has ranged from $124.22 to $171.48.
Expected to report results Thursday 8 Oct, before the market opens.
Dividend: 4.5% a year
Paid every year for at least 5 years
Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).
Five years of cash, in billions
| Revenue | |||||
| Revenue | $79.5bn | $86.4bn | $91.5bn | $91.9bn | $93.9bn |
| Operating margin | |||||
| Operating margin | 14.0% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.2% |
| Debt to equity | |||||
| Debt to equity | 2.51 | 2.28 | 2.38 | 2.46 | 2.41 |
| Shares outstanding | |||||
| Shares outstanding | 1.38bn | 1.37bn | 1.37bn | 1.37bn | 1.36bn |
Health checks
- Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
- Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
- Financial strength (Piotroski)5 of 8 checks we could run
- Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
- Debt2.41× equity
- Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 5.9% a year
- Buying back its own sharesRoughly flat
The quarter to June 2026
How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.
- Sales: $24.2 billion last quarter, up 6% on a year ago.
- Profit: $3 billion, up 136% on a year ago.
- It keeps 15 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, up from 11 cents a year earlier.
- Spare cash over the past 12 months: $9.3 billion, up from $7.1 billion.
- About the same number of shares as a year ago.
- Debt is $44.6 billion more than cash, down from $46.3 billion a year ago.
- Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| August 2024 | $23.3bn |
| December 2024 | $27.8bn |
| March 2025 | $17.9bn |
| June 2025 | $22.7bn |
| August 2025 | $23.9bn |
| December 2025 | $29.3bn |
| March 2026 | $19.4bn |
| June 2026 | $24.2bn |
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| August 2024 | $2.9bn |
| December 2024 | $1.5bn |
| March 2025 | $1.8bn |
| June 2025 | $1.3bn |
| August 2025 | $2.6bn |
| December 2025 | $2.5bn |
| March 2026 | $2.3bn |
| June 2026 | $3.0bn |
From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.
Dates
- Next results (estimated)
- 8 October 2026
- Last annual report (10-K)
- 3 February 2026
- Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
- 8 October 2026
Who owns it
30 long-term investors we follow own it, down from 31 last quarter. 3,401 funds in all.
- Elliott Investment ManagementPaul Singer
- Value
- $173m
- Share of fund
- 1.2%
- Markel GroupTom Gayner
- Value
- $13m
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- Jensen Investment ManagementEric Schoenstein
- Value
- $11m
- Share of fund
- 0.3%
- Auxier Asset ManagementJeff Auxier
- Value
- $10m
- Share of fund
- 1.4%
- GAMCO InvestorsMario Gabelli
- Value
- $7m
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- Aristotle Capital ManagementHoward Gleicher
- Value
- $3m
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- Gardner Russo & QuinnTom Russo
- Value
- $1m
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- Cullen Capital ManagementJames Cullen
- Value
- $842,730
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- Dodge & CoxDodge & Cox investment committee
- Value
- $416,355
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- Horizon KineticsMurray Stahl
- Value
- $249,136
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- Kahn BrothersThomas Kahn
- Value
- $243,720
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- Heartland AdvisorsBill Nasgovitz
- Value
- $135,400
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
Sold out this quarter
Largest holders overall
- BlackRock$16.0bnAdded
- Vanguard Capital Management$12.1bn
- State Street$8.2bn
- Invesco$5.8bnAdded
- Vanguard Portfolio Management$5.0bn
- Charles Schwab Investment Management$4.9bnAdded
- Geode Capital Management$4.7bn
- JPMorgan Chase$4.2bnCut
- Morgan Stanley$3.6bn
- Bank of America$2.8bnCut
From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.
Big holders and activists
1 investor owns more than 5%.
- Vanguard Capital ManagementPassive investor7.5%Since 31 March 2026
- The Vanguard GroupPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 13 March 2026
| Holder | Stake | Since | |
|---|---|---|---|
Vanguard Capital Management Passive investor | 7.5% | 31 March 2026 | |
The Vanguard Group Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 13 March 2026 |
From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.
What insiders did
No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 3 sold $6m.
- Flavell DavidEVP, Gen Counsel & Corp SecSold
- Date
- 27 July 2026
- Shares
- 2,900
- Price
- $139.54
- Value
- $404,674
- Willemsen EugeneCEO, International BeveragesSold
- Date
- 4 March 2026
- Shares
- 6,500
- Price
- $164.45
- Value
- $1m
- Laguarta RamonChairman and CEO, DirectorSold
- Date
- 2 March 2026
- Shares
- 27,945
- Price
- $167.39
- Value
- $5m
| Date | Who | Did | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 July 2026 | Flavell David EVP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec | Sold | 2,900 | $139.54 | $404,674 |
| 4 March 2026 | Willemsen Eugene CEO, International Beverages | Sold | 6,500 | $164.45 | $1m |
| 2 March 2026 | Laguarta Ramon Chairman and CEO, Director | Sold | 27,945 | $167.39 | $5m |
From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.
Warning signs in its filings
Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.
None of the warning signs we check for were found.
We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.
We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 3 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 9 Jul 2026 and 6 later 8-Ks.
A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.
What could go wrong
- It carries a lot of debt: 2.4× its equity.
Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.
What changed in the risks this year
Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.
Reduction in future demand for our products would adversely affect our business.
Demand for our products depends in part on our ability to innovate and anticipate and effectively respond to shifts in consumer trends and preferences, including the types of products our consumers want and how they browse for, purchase and consume them. Consumer preferences continuously evolve due to a variety of factors, including: changes in consumer demographics, consumption patterns (including increased food purchased away-from-home), diet (whether due to changes in consumer behavior and eating habits, increasing use of weight-loss drugs, such as GLP-1 medications, or other factors) and channel preferences (including continued increases in the e-commerce and online-to-offline channels and use of artificial intelligence shopping agents that autonomously select products that may not be ours); pricing (including the effective impact of tariffs and taxes imposed on the manufacture, distribution or sale of certain of our products as a result of ingredients contained in such products); affordability pressures and changes in consumer spending patterns (including if consumers switch to private label or lower-priced product offerings); changes in funding for or restrictions on the inclusion of our products in benefit programs, such as the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) in the United States; product quality; product functionality (including products high in protein or fiber-enriched); concerns or perceptions regarding packaging and its environmental impact (such as single-use and other plastic packaging); concerns or perceptions regarding the processing, nutrition profile and health effects of, or location of origin of, ingredients or substances in our products or packaging, including due to public statements by government officials, increased litigation, changes in regulations, regulatory scrutiny or the results of third-party studies (whether or not scientifically valid); and concerns or perceptions regarding our workforce policies and initiatives. Concerns with any of the foregoing have affected and may continue to affect consumer behaviors and can lead consumers to reduce or publicly boycott the purchase or consumption of our products.
Read more
The deep dive
Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.
- What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
- Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
- The three things that would make this a mistake
- Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
It moved up our list overnight. The deep dive tells you if the move is real.
Your first deep dive is free.
Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.