Pfizer

PFE on NYSE. Pfizer sells medicines and vaccines to patients, doctors, and governments. Market value $156.2bn.

Watch this stockFree. We tell you when something changes.

Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

The company doesn't report operating profit, so we work it out from pre-tax profit and interest.

Recent profit includes a big one-time charge, so we price the company excluding that charge.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

Compare with another stock

Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
7.0%high

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $7.03 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026, without the one-off
12.4×fair

You pay 12.4 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
5.8%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 6 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 87 of 100. Price score: 99 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$27.41 a share, 16% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $23.62 to $29.21.

Dividend: 6.3% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Monday’s close (5 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

29.9
26.0
4.8
9.8
9.1
11.0
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$81.3bn$101.2bn$59.6bn$63.6bn$62.6bn
Operating margin
31.5%35.5%5.5%17.5%16.3%
Debt to equity
0.500.370.810.730.75
Shares outstanding
5.61bn5.65bn5.67bn5.69bn5.70bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)6 of 8 checks we could run
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.75× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 8.5% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesRoughly flat

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $15 billion last quarter, up 3% on a year ago.
  • A loss of $248 million, after a profit of $2.9 billion a year ago.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $11 billion, down from $12.4 billion.
  • About the same number of shares as a year ago.
  • Debt is $62.2 billion more than cash, up from $60.2 billion a year ago.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$17.7bn
December 2024Not reported
March 2025$13.7bn
June 2025$14.7bn
September 2025$16.7bn
December 2025$17.6bn
March 2026$14.5bn
June 2026$15.0bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$4.5bn
December 2024$410m
March 2025$3.0bn
June 2025$2.9bn
September 2025$3.5bn
December 2025-$1.6bn
March 2026$2.7bn
June 2026-$248m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
3 November 2026
Last annual report (10-K)
26 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
3 November 2026

Who owns it

25 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 25 last quarter. 2,823 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26

Sold out this quarter

Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

1 investor owns more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

In the last 12 months, 3 insiders bought $3m of shares on the open market. 1 sold $134,661.

Cluster buy3 insiders bought within 30 days (5 August 2026 to 12 August 2026).
  • BOURLA ALBERT
    Chairman & CEO, Director
    Bought
    Date
    12 August 2026
    Shares
    38,000
    Price
    $26.34
    Value
    $1m
  • DAMICO JENNIFER B.
    SVP & Controller
    Sold
    Date
    5 August 2026
    Shares
    3,278
    Price
    $25.40
    Value
    $83,261
  • BLAYLOCK RONALD E
    Director
    Bought
    Date
    5 August 2026
    Shares
    39,231
    Price
    $25.46
    Value
    $998,821
  • Buckley Mortimer J
    Director
    Bought
    Date
    5 August 2026
    Shares
    37,632
    Price
    $25.52
    Value
    $960,369
  • DAMICO JENNIFER B.
    SVP & Controller
    Sold
    Date
    9 June 2026
    Shares
    2,000
    Price
    $25.70
    Value
    $51,400

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 26 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 4 Aug 2026 and 5 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • AI, including machine learning and generative AI, is increasingly being used in the biopharmaceutical and global healthcare industries.

    Could happen
    AI, including machine learning and generative AI, is increasingly being used in the biopharmaceutical and global healthcare industries. We have begun deploying AI in various parts of our internal and external operations, including in R&D, and continue to explore further use cases for AI, and our investments in AI may not yield anticipated benefits. As with many developing technologies, AI presents risks and challenges. For example, existing regulatory frameworks governing the use, development, and deployment of AI, including regulatory guidance on the use of AI in medical products, remain uncertain and subject to significant change. New regulatory requirements could impose significant compliance costs, limit our ability to deploy AI, require changes to our practices (including documentation, risk management, testing, or transparency measures), or increase litigation and enforcement risk. In addition, AI may be used by payors to limit access to care or to deny prior authorization requests, which could impact Pfizer’s business results. Further, AI technology itself can give rise to risks. Generative AI output is probabilistic in nature and may not be reproducible or generate consistent results over time. AI can generate outputs that are false, misleading, incomplete, or inconsistent, and may be difficult to monitor, explain, or reproduce. AI performance may also degrade over time due to changes in inputs, data drift, updates by vendors, or adversarial manipulation. AI design or training may be flawed, including as a result of external vendors or others training AI models on content without the necessary intellectual property rights or other legal rights or permissions or using data sets that may not be appropriate for the intended use, of poor quality, contain biased information, or that become corrupted during a cyber-attack; and flawed or inappropriate data practices by data scientists, engineers, and end-users could impair results. If the output that AI produces or assists in producing is deficient or inaccurate, we could be subjected to competitive harm, regulatory scrutiny, potential legal liability and brand or reputational harm. The use of AI 2025 Form 10-K may also lead to the unauthorized release of confidential or proprietary information which may impact our ability to realize the benefits of our data, including intellectual property. Further, reliance on third-party AI tools or services that incorporate AI may expose our organization to compliance gaps that are outside of our control. In addition, we could face risks related to our reliance on a small number of AI models or service providers.
    Read more
  • In the U.S., pharmaceutical product pricing is subject to government and public scrutiny and calls for reform, and, as a result, many of…

    In the U.S., pharmaceutical product pricing is subject to government and public scrutiny and calls for reform, and, as a result, many of our products are subject to increasing pricing pressures. We expect to see continued focus by the U.S. government on regulating pricing and access to medicine. For example, in May and July 2025, the Trump Administration issued the MFN Initiatives and, in September 2025, we announced an agreement with the Trump Administration in which we voluntarily agreed to implement measures designed to make certain drug prices for U.S. patients more comparable to those in other developed countries (the MFN Agreement). We are also participating in the TrumpRx.gov platform, which allows U.S. patients to purchase certain medicines at significant discounts to current retail prices. These discounts may adversely affect revenue generated from participating drugs. Further, we face risks and uncertainties associated with the MFN Agreement, including the possibility of, among other things, unfavorable impacts to pricing and access. The MFN Agreement and broader U.S. policy efforts to implement measures designed to make certain drug prices for U.S. patients more comparable to those in other developed countries is subject to risks and uncertainties and could, among other things, negatively impact our pricing strategies, product demand or access, or competitive positioning across global markets, and may adversely affect revenues in certain markets.
    Read more
  • Several manufacturers, including Pfizer, have signed voluntary agreements with the Trump Administration designed to ensure U.S.

    Could happen
    Several manufacturers, including Pfizer, have signed voluntary agreements with the Trump Administration designed to ensure U.S. patients pay lower prices for their prescription medicines. This may impact the competitive environment, including pricing dynamics for any of our current or potential future products, as well as contracting with payers.
    Read more
  • Our future results could be adversely affected by changes in laws, regulations or policies, or their interpretation, including, among…

    Could happen
    Our future results could be adversely affected by changes in laws, regulations or policies, or their interpretation, including, among others, new or changes in accounting standards, tariffs, tax laws and regulations internationally and in the U.S., including, without limitation, the IRA, and the OBBBA, which is still subject to further guidance; the adoption of global minimum taxation requirements outside the U.S. generally effective in most jurisdictions since January 1, 2024; government cost-cutting measures and related impacts on, among other matters, government staffing, resources and ability to timely review and process regulatory or other submissions; restrictions related to certain data transfers, including data security, data localization and cross border data transfer regulations, and transactions involving certain countries; and potential changes to 2025 Form 10-K existing tax laws, tariffs, competition laws, privacy laws and environmental laws or changes to other laws, regulations or policies in the U.S., including by the U.S. Presidential administration and Congress, as well as in other countries. For example, issued or future executive orders or other new or changes in laws, regulations or policy regarding tariffs or other trade or foreign policy, could have a material adverse effect on our business, earnings, cash flow, liquidity and financial guidance. The actual impact of any new tariffs on our business would be subject to a number of factors including, but not limited to, restrictions on trade, the effective date and duration of such tariffs, countries included in the scope of tariffs, changes to amounts of tariffs, and potential retaliatory tariffs or other retaliatory actions imposed by other countries. In the EU, several recently adopted or proposed legislative initiatives may affect our business, including the EU Pharma Package, the EU HTA -R, the EU Critical Medicines Act, and the EU Biotech Act, as well as legislation such as the EU AI Act, EU Data Act, and the EU Health Data Space Regulation, among others. See the Item 1. Business — G overnment Regulation and Price Constraints section for additional information regarding privacy and other laws. For additional information on changes in tax laws or rates or accounting standards, see the Provision/(Benefit) for Taxes on Income and New Accounting Standards sections within MD&A and Note 1B .
    Read more
  • Some payers are directing beneficiaries to third-party patient assistance programs, rather than covering certain treatments.

    Some payers are directing beneficiaries to third-party patient assistance programs, rather than covering certain treatments. In other instances, insurers disallow manufacturers’ co-pay assistance from counting toward reaching the deductible or out-of-pocket maximum. Both approaches can delay access to treatment or result in treatment abandonment. Further, consumers are facing responsibility for a larger portion of their prescription costs, or administrative hurdles to access, and may favor lower-cost, or generic alternatives, or seek direct-to-consumer medications outside of insurance plans.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.