Pagaya Technologies

PGY on Nasdaq. Pagaya sells lending technology to banks and investors who buy loans. Market value $1.1bn.

Watch this stockFree. We tell you when something changes.

Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Some use the latest annual report instead, as marked. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

We can't read total debt from the filing, so debt is left out.

Should I look at this?

Not a fit for our list right now

Why it could be worth it

Nothing stands out yet.

See Financial services stocks that passed both tests

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Return on equity
five annual reports to December 2025
-23.1%five-year median

Yearly profit per dollar of owners' money: -23 cents. Above 10 is good.

Price to book
quarterly report to June 2026
2.6×

What you pay for each dollar of net assets: $2.57.

Earnings yield
past 12 months to June 2026
8.3%

Profit per $100 you pay: $8.29.

Quality score: 8 of 100. Price score: 60 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$18.40 a share, 77% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $10.40 to $31.54.

Pays no dividend

Prices from Monday’s close (5 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
2022202320242025
Revenue
$749m$812m$1.0bn$1.3bn
Operating margin
n/an/an/an/a
Debt to equity
n/an/an/an/a
Shares outstanding
0.04bn0.06bn0.07bn0.08bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positiveDoesn't apply to banks and insurers
  • Accounting checksDoesn't apply to banks and insurers
  • DebtDoesn't apply to banks and insurers
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 20.2% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 117% more shares since 2022

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $387 million last quarter, up 19% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $45 million, up 172% on a year ago.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $252 million, up from $97 million.
  • 22% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$257m
December 2024$279m
March 2025$290m
June 2025$326m
September 2025$350m
December 2025$335m
March 2026$318m
June 2026$387m
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024-$67m
December 2024-$238m
March 2025$8m
June 2025$17m
September 2025$23m
December 2025$34m
March 2026$25m
June 2026$45m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
2 March 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
29 October 2026

Who owns it

None of the long-term investors we follow own it. 221 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

1 investor owns more than 5%.

  • Ann H. Lamont
    Passive investor
    at least 6.0%
    (filed with 8 related holders)
    Since 18 September 2025
    What they said

    Item 4 of the Schedule 13D is hereby amended and supplemented by adding the following paragraph at the end of Item 4: On September 18, 2025, each of the Funds made a pro rata in-kind distribution of Ordinary Shares to its general partner and limited partners for no additional…

    Read the filing
  • FRONTIER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO.,LLC
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 30 June 2025
  • BlackRock, Inc.
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 31 March 2025
  • Avi Zeevi
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 30 September 2025
  • GIC Private Ltd
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 30 June 2025
    What they said

    Item 4 of the Schedule 13D is hereby amended and supplemented as follows: The response to Item 5(c) of this Amendment No. 3 is incorporated by reference herein.

    Read the filing

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

In the last 12 months, 1 insider bought $500,923 of shares on the open market. 5 sold $5m, $704,007 of it under preset trading plans.

  • Vieira Cory
    Chief Accounting Officer
    Sold
    Date
    28 September 2026
    Shares
    2,170
    Price
    $17.04
    Value
    $36,977
  • DAS SANJIV
    President
    Sold
    Date
    28 September 2026
    Shares
    14,300
    Price
    $17.04
    Value
    $243,672
  • Dobres Jonathan
    Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    28 September 2026
    Shares
    590
    Price
    $17.04
    Value
    $10,054
  • Rosen Tami
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    18 September 2026
    Shares
    8,504
    Price
    $20.38
    Value
    $173,348
  • Dobres Jonathan
    Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    17 September 2026
    Shares
    2,183
    Price
    $21.04
    Value
    $45,930
  • Rosen Tami
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    12 September 2026
    Shares
    7,121
    Price
    $20.21
    Value
    $143,915
  • DAS SANJIV
    President
    Sold
    Date
    12 September 2026
    Shares
    13,301
    Price
    $20.21
    Value
    $268,813
  • Dobres Jonathan
    Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    12 September 2026
    Shares
    582
    Price
    $20.21
    Value
    $11,762
  • Rosen Tami
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    3 September 2026
    Shares
    1,265
    Price
    $23.07
    Value
    $29,184
  • Vieira Cory
    Chief Accounting Officer
    Sold
    Date
    2 September 2026
    Shares
    3,075
    Price
    $22.71
    Value
    $69,833

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 2 Mar 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 30 Jul 2026 and 3 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.