Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco

RAIN on Nasdaq. Market value $7m.

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Why it could be worth it

Nothing stands out yet.

Read the warning sign in its own filings

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Who owns it

None of the long-term investors we follow own it. 16 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

5 investors own more than 5%.

  • Harry L. You
    Insider or founder
    38.5%+6.2 pts
    Since 5 June 2026
    What they said

    On June 5, 2026, the Issuer entered into an Agreement to Convert Debt to Equity (the "Conversion Agreement") with RHY Management, a lender to the Issuer and entity of which the Reporting Person is the sole member. Pursuant to the Conversion Agreement, on June 5, 2026, RHY…

    Read the filing
  • Paul T. Dacier
    Passive investor
    at least 24.7%
    (filed with 1 related holder)
    Since 31 December 2024
  • Berto LLC
    Insider or founder
    7.5%−0.0 pts
    Since 29 January 2025
    What they said

    Item 4 is hereby amended and supplemented as follows: As previously reported, in connection with the consummation of the business combination among the Issuer, Rain Enhancement Technologies, Inc. and Coliseum Acquisition Corp. (the "Business Combination"), between December 20,…

    Read the filing
  • LMR Partners LLC
    Passive investor
    at least 7.0%+0.6 pts
    (filed with 5 related holders)
    Since 31 December 2025
  • Meteora Capital, LLC
    Passive investor
    5.7%−2.1 pts
    Since 30 June 2026
  • Sold down below 5%
    Since 31 December 2025

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

In the last 12 months, 1 insider bought $205,174 of shares on the open market.

  • Seidl Randy
    Chief Executive Officer, Director
    Bought
    Date
    19 August 2026
    Shares
    110,000
    Price
    $0.95
    Value
    $104,225
  • Seidl Randy
    Chief Executive Officer, Director
    Bought
    Date
    22 May 2026
    Shares
    4,000
    Price
    $2.58
    Value
    $10,320
  • Seidl Randy
    Chief Executive Officer, Director
    Bought
    Date
    21 May 2026
    Shares
    30,000
    Price
    $2.53
    Value
    $75,900
  • Seidl Randy
    Chief Executive Officer, Director
    Bought
    Date
    20 May 2026
    Shares
    8,514
    Price
    $1.73
    Value
    $14,729

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

3 serious warning signs in Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco’s filings.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 15 Apr 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 14 Aug 2026 and 5 later 8-Ks.

  • Doubt it can keep going

    Serious

    The company or its auditor warned it may not have enough money to last the next year.

    “Although the Company expects to continue relying on these financing sources and projected cash flows from operations, its limited operating history and continuing operating losses raise substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.”
    Show the full paragraph
    As of June 30, 2026, the Company had approximately $ 33,000 in cash and had a working capital deficit of approximately $ 13.1 million. The Company expects to continue incurring expenses and losses as it expands its operations and commercializes its core services. The Company has historically funded its operations primarily through related-party financing arrangements, including borrowings under its line of credit with a maximum borrowing capacity of $ 10.0 million (see Note 7). As of June 30, 2026, approximately $ 1.5 million remained available under this facility. Although the Company expects to continue relying on these financing sources and projected cash flows from operations, its limited operating history and continuing operating losses raise substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.

    From the 10-Q filed 14 August 2026, Part I, Item 1. Financial Statements. Read it in the filing

  • Weak checks on its own accounts

    Serious

    The company said its checks on its own accounts did not work at the end of its latest quarter. Mistakes could slip into the numbers.

    “Based upon their evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15 (e) and 15d-15 (e) under the Exchange Act) were not effective due to the material weakness in internal control over financial reporting previously disclosed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 as filed with the SEC on April 15, 2026.”
    Show the full paragraph
    As required by Rules 13a-15 and 15d-15 under the Exchange Act, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer carried out an evaluation of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures as of June 30, 2026. Based upon their evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15 (e) and 15d-15 (e) under the Exchange Act) were not effective due to the material weakness in internal control over financial reporting previously disclosed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 as filed with the SEC on April 15, 2026.

    From the 10-Q filed 14 August 2026, Part I, Item 4. Controls and Procedures. Read it in the filing

  • Its past accounts can't be relied on

    Serious

    It told the SEC its earlier accounts should no longer be relied on, usually because they contained errors.

    8-K Item 4.02 filed 14 Apr 2026: the company said its earlier financial statements should no longer be relied on.

    From an 8-K filed 14 April 2026: Previously issued accounts should no longer be relied on. Open the filing

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.