Redwire
RDW on NYSE. Redwire sells space and defense technology to government and commercial customers. Market value $2.6bn.
Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.
Should I look at this?
Look carefully before going further
Why it could be worth it
Read the warning sign in its own filings
This is not advice. Check the numbers below.
For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $-3.70 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.
The filings do not give us enough to work this out.
Each dollar kept in the business earns -55 cents a year. Above 10 is good.
Quality score: 40 of 100. Price score: 0 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.
$10.62 a share, 118% above its 1-year low
Over the past year the price has ranged from $4.87 to $26.64.
Pays no dividend
Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).
Five years of cash, in billions
Spare cash swings from quarter to quarter here: a shortfall of $98 million in the past 12 months, a shortfall of $191 million in the year to December 2025.
| Revenue | |||||
| Revenue | $138m | $161m | $244m | $304m | $335m |
| Operating margin | |||||
| Operating margin | -51.0% | -91.2% | -6.4% | -13.9% | -68.5% |
| Debt to equity | |||||
| Debt to equity | 0.72 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.08 |
| Shares outstanding | |||||
| Shares outstanding | 0.06bn | 0.06bn | 0.07bn | 0.17bn | 0.25bn |
Health checks
- Free cash flow positive0 of 5 years
- Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Warning signs
- Financial strength (Piotroski)3 of 9
- Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
- Debt0.08× equity
- Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 24.9% a year
- Buying back its own sharesNo, 292% more shares since 2021
The quarter to June 2026
How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.
- Sales: $117 million last quarter, up 90% on a year ago.
- A loss of $41 million, compared with a loss of $97 million a year ago.
- It loses 50 cents on each $1 of sales, compared with 53 cents a year earlier.
- Over the past 12 months it spent $98 million more cash than it brought in, compared with $152 million a year earlier.
- 146% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
- It has $507 million more cash than debt. A year ago debt was $116 million more than cash.
- Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $69m |
| December 2024 | $70m |
| March 2025 | $61m |
| June 2025 | $62m |
| September 2025 | $103m |
| December 2025 | $109m |
| March 2026 | $97m |
| June 2026 | $117m |
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | -$21m |
| December 2024 | -$67m |
| March 2025 | -$3m |
| June 2025 | -$97m |
| September 2025 | -$41m |
| December 2025 | -$85m |
| March 2026 | -$77m |
| June 2026 | -$41m |
From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.
Dates
- Next results (estimated)
- n/a
- Last annual report (10-K)
- 27 February 2026
- Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
- 5 November 2026
Who owns it
2 long-term investors we follow own it, up from 1 last quarter. 323 funds in all.
| Fund | Value | Share of that fund | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Royce & AssociatesChuck Royce | $2m | <0.1% | Cut |
| Horizon KineticsMurray Stahl | $1m | <0.1% | New |
Largest holders overall
- BlackRock$197mAdded
- State Street$179mAdded
- Mirae Asset Global Investments$145mNew
- Renaissance Technologies$115mNew
- Vanguard Capital Management$91mAdded
- VAN ECK Associates$84mAdded
- Marex Group$75mAdded
- Geode Capital Management$48mAdded
- UBS Group AG$46mAdded
- D. E. Shaw$46mAdded
From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.
Big holders and activists
10 investors own more than 5%.
- Michael Robert GreeneInsider or founderat least 71.1%+15.5 pts(filed with 6 related holders)Since 13 June 2025
What they said
On June 13, 2025, the Issuer completed its previously announced acquisition of Edge Autonomy via the mergers set forth in the Amended Merger Agreement. In connection with the Closing, Issuer issued Seller 49,764,847 shares of Common Stock in accordance with the terms of the…
Read the filing - Michael Robert Green62.3%Since 20 January 2025
What they said
On January 20, 2025, the Issuer entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger Agreement") with Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP, a Delaware limited partnership ("Edge"), Edge Autonomy, Echelon Merger Sub, Inc., a Delaware corporation and a direct wholly-owned…
Read the filing - AE Industrial Partners Fund II GP, LPat least 50.6%−6.3 pts(filed with 1 related holder)Since 8 June 2025
What they said
On June 8, 2025, the Issuer entered into Amendment No. 2 (the "Amendment") to that certain Agreement and Plan of Merger, dated January 20, 2025, as amended February 3, 2025 (as amended, the "Amended Merger Agreement") with Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP, a Delaware limited…
Read the filing - AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS FUND II GP, LPat least 50.6%(filed with 1 related holder)Since 3 June 2025
- AEROEQUITY GP, LLCInsider or founder29.7%−41.4 ptsSince 27 February 2026
- STATE STREET CORPORATIONPassive investorat least 7.3%(filed with 1 related holder)Since 30 June 2026
- BlackRock, Inc.Passive investor6.1%Since 30 June 2026
- GRIFFIN KENNETH CPassive investorat least 4.7%(filed with 6 related holders)Since 22 April 2026
- Genesis Park II LPPassive investorat least 3.6%−4.4 pts(filed with 1 related holder)Since 30 June 2025
- AE Red Holdings, LLCat least 1.1%−7.2 pts(filed with 7 related holders)Since 18 May 2026
What they said
On May 18, 2026, the Reporting Persons exercised its option to convert 46,505.13 shares of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock of the Company, par value $0.0001 per share ("Convertible Preferred Stock" and such conversion, the "Conversion") held by the Reporting Persons into…
Read the filing - Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LPInsider or founderSold down below 5%Since 22 April 2026
- BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT MEMBER, LLCSold down below 5%Since 7 October 2025
What they said
Sale of Convertible Preferred Stock On October 6, 2025, the Reporting Persons exercised its option to convert 28,509.34 shares of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock of the Issuer, par value $0.0001 per share ("Convertible Preferred Stock" and such conversion, the "Conversion")…
Read the filing
| Holder | Stake | Since | |
|---|---|---|---|
Michael Robert Greene Insider or founder | at least 71.1%+15.5 pts (filed with 6 related holders) | 13 June 2025 | What they saidOn June 13, 2025, the Issuer completed its previously announced acquisition of Edge Autonomy via the mergers set forth in the Amended Merger Agreement. In connection with the Closing, Issuer issued Seller 49,764,847 shares of Common Stock in accordance with the terms of the… Read the filing |
Michael Robert Green | 62.3% | 20 January 2025 | What they saidOn January 20, 2025, the Issuer entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the "Merger Agreement") with Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP, a Delaware limited partnership ("Edge"), Edge Autonomy, Echelon Merger Sub, Inc., a Delaware corporation and a direct wholly-owned… Read the filing |
AE Industrial Partners Fund II GP, LP | at least 50.6%−6.3 pts (filed with 1 related holder) | 8 June 2025 | What they saidOn June 8, 2025, the Issuer entered into Amendment No. 2 (the "Amendment") to that certain Agreement and Plan of Merger, dated January 20, 2025, as amended February 3, 2025 (as amended, the "Amended Merger Agreement") with Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP, a Delaware limited… Read the filing |
AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS FUND II GP, LP | at least 50.6% (filed with 1 related holder) | 3 June 2025 | |
AEROEQUITY GP, LLC Insider or founder | 29.7%−41.4 pts | 27 February 2026 | |
STATE STREET CORPORATION Passive investor | at least 7.3% (filed with 1 related holder) | 30 June 2026 | |
BlackRock, Inc. Passive investor | 6.1% | 30 June 2026 | |
GRIFFIN KENNETH C Passive investor | at least 4.7% (filed with 6 related holders) | 22 April 2026 | |
Genesis Park II LP Passive investor | at least 3.6%−4.4 pts (filed with 1 related holder) | 30 June 2025 | |
AE Red Holdings, LLC | at least 1.1%−7.2 pts (filed with 7 related holders) | 18 May 2026 | What they saidOn May 18, 2026, the Reporting Persons exercised its option to convert 46,505.13 shares of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock of the Company, par value $0.0001 per share ("Convertible Preferred Stock" and such conversion, the "Conversion") held by the Reporting Persons into… Read the filing |
Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP Insider or founder | Sold down below 5% | 22 April 2026 | |
BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT MEMBER, LLC | Sold down below 5% | 7 October 2025 | What they saidSale of Convertible Preferred Stock On October 6, 2025, the Reporting Persons exercised its option to convert 28,509.34 shares of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock of the Issuer, par value $0.0001 per share ("Convertible Preferred Stock" and such conversion, the "Conversion")… Read the filing |
From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.
What insiders did
In the last 12 months, 3 insiders bought $405,012 of shares on the open market. 1 sold $1.2bn.
- AE RED HOLDINGS, LLCDirectorSold
- Date
- 23 September 2026
- Shares
- 929,435
- Price
- $11.34
- Value
- $11m
- AEROEQUITY GP, LLCDirectorSold
- Date
- 11 June 2026
- Shares
- 1,070,565
- Price
- $21.48
- Value
- $23m
- GREENE MICHAEL ROBERTDirectorSold
- Date
- 18 May 2026
- Shares
- 15,247,586
- Price
- $13.75
- Value
- $210m
- AE RED HOLDINGS, LLCDirectorSold
- Date
- 22 April 2026
- Shares
- 21,365,909
- Price
- $10.85
- Value
- $232m
- ROWE DAVID H.DirectorSold
- Date
- 21 April 2026
- Shares
- 977,887
- Price
- $10.57
- Value
- $10m
- ROWE DAVID H.DirectorSold
- Date
- 20 April 2026
- Shares
- 1,766,372
- Price
- $10.23
- Value
- $18m
- Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LPDirectorSold
- Date
- 17 April 2026
- Shares
- 2,034,536
- Price
- $10.77
- Value
- $22m
- Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LPDirectorSold
- Date
- 16 April 2026
- Shares
- 3,145,207
- Price
- $10.57
- Value
- $33m
- AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS FUND II-B, LPDirectorSold
- Date
- 15 April 2026
- Shares
- 692,936
- Price
- $9.70
- Value
- $7m
- AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS FUND II-B, LPDirectorSold
- Date
- 14 April 2026
- Shares
- 1,202,375
- Price
- $9.92
- Value
- $12m
| Date | Who | Did | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 September 2026 | AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC Director | Sold | 929,435 | $11.34 | $11m |
| 11 June 2026 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC Director | Sold | 1,070,565 | $21.48 | $23m |
| 18 May 2026 | GREENE MICHAEL ROBERT Director | Sold | 15,247,586 | $13.75 | $210m |
| 22 April 2026 | AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC Director | Sold | 21,365,909 | $10.85 | $232m |
| 21 April 2026 | ROWE DAVID H. Director | Sold | 977,887 | $10.57 | $10m |
| 20 April 2026 | ROWE DAVID H. Director | Sold | 1,766,372 | $10.23 | $18m |
| 17 April 2026 | Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP Director | Sold | 2,034,536 | $10.77 | $22m |
| 16 April 2026 | Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP Director | Sold | 3,145,207 | $10.57 | $33m |
| 15 April 2026 | AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS FUND II-B, LP Director | Sold | 692,936 | $9.70 | $7m |
| 14 April 2026 | AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS FUND II-B, LP Director | Sold | 1,202,375 | $9.92 | $12m |
From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.
Warning signs in its filings
Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.
1 serious warning sign in Redwire’s filings.
We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.
We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 27 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 6 Aug 2026 and 9 later 8-Ks.
Weak checks on its own accounts
SeriousThe company said its checks on its own accounts did not work at the end of its latest quarter. Mistakes could slip into the numbers.
“Based on such evaluation, our principal executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that, as of the end of the period covered by this report, certain of our disclosure controls and procedures were not effective as of June 30, 2026 due to the material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting described below.”
Show the full paragraph
We maintain disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Exchange Act) that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in our Exchange Act reports is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, as appropriate, to allow for timely decisions regarding required disclosure. Our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, does not expect that our disclosure controls and procedures or our internal control over financial reporting will prevent all errors and all fraud due to inherent limitations of internal controls. Because of such limitations, there is a risk that material misstatements will not be prevented or detected on a timely basis by internal control over financial reporting. However, these inherent limitations are known features of the financial reporting process. Therefore, it is possible to design into the process safeguards to reduce, though not eliminate, this risk. As required by Rules 13a-15(b) and 15d-15(b) under the Exchange Act, we have carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our principal executive officer and our principal financial officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures. Based on such evaluation, our principal executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that, as of the end of the period covered by this report, certain of our disclosure controls and procedures were not effective as of June 30, 2026 due to the material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting described below.
From the 10-Q filed 6 August 2026, Part I, Item 4. Controls and Procedures. Read it in the filing
A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.
What could go wrong
- Its accounts show patterns that sometimes come before companies have to correct past results (Beneish score).
Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.
The deep dive
Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.
- What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
- Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
- The three things that would make this a mistake
- Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
Your first deep dive is free.
Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.