Serve Robotics

SERV on Nasdaq. Serve Robotics sells robot delivery services to restaurants and food delivery companies. Market value $423m.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

We can't read total debt from the filing, so debt is left out.

Should I look at this?

Not a fit for our list right now

See Industrials stocks that passed both tests

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
-41.1%low

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $-41.05 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Quality score: 40 of 100. Price score: 0 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$4.77 a share, 14% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $4.17 to $18.64.

Pays no dividend

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

n/a
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
-0.2
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26

Spare cash swings from quarter to quarter here: a shortfall of $170 million in the past 12 months, a shortfall of $118 million in the year to December 2025.

Revenue
n/a$107,819$207,545$2m$3m
Operating margin
n/a-19433.5%-9987.0%-2111.9%-4253.8%
Debt to equity
n/an/an/an/an/a
Shares outstanding
0.01bn0.02bn0.04bn0.07bn0.09bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive0 of 4 years
  • Accounting checksSkipped: company is not yet profitable
  • DebtUnknown
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 190.7% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 1634% more shares since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $3 million last quarter, up 404% on a year ago.
  • A loss of $64 million, compared with a loss of $21 million a year ago.
  • It loses 2477 cents on each $1 of sales, compared with 4032 cents a year earlier.
  • Over the past 12 months it spent $170 million more cash than it brought in, compared with $57 million a year earlier.
  • 40% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$222,000
December 2024$176,000
March 2025$440,000
June 2025$642,000
September 2025$687,000
December 2025$882,000
March 2026$3m
June 2026$3m
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024-$8m
December 2024-$13m
March 2025-$13m
June 2025-$21m
September 2025-$33m
December 2025-$34m
March 2026-$49m
June 2026-$64m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
12 March 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
5 November 2026

Who owns it

None of the long-term investors we follow own it. 195 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

4 investors own more than 5%.

  • BlackRock, Inc.
    Passive investor
    7.7%+1.8 pts
    Since 30 June 2026
  • VK Services, LLC
    Passive investor
    at least 7.5%
    (filed with 7 related holders)
    Since 15 August 2025
  • at least 3.6%
    (filed with 3 related holders)
    Since 1 June 2026
  • G1 Execution Services, LLC
    Passive investor
    at least 2.8%−3.1 pts
    (filed with 1 related holder)
    Since 31 December 2025
  • Sold down below 5%
    Since 19 September 2025
  • NVIDIA Corporation
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 31 December 2024

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 7 sold $5m, $909,845 of it under preset trading plans.

  • Read Brian
    Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    19 August 2026
    Shares
    9,700
    Price
    $4.80
    Value
    $46,560
  • Read Brian
    Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    18 August 2026
    Shares
    6,129
    Price
    $4.56
    Value
    $27,948
  • Kashani Ali
    Chief Executive Officer, Director
    Sold
    Date
    18 August 2026
    Shares
    45,158
    Price
    $4.56
    Value
    $205,920
  • Parang Touraj
    President & COO, Director
    Sold
    Date
    18 August 2026
    Shares
    37,993
    Price
    $4.55
    Value
    $172,703
  • Read Brian
    Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    17 August 2026
    Shares
    25,240
    Price
    $5.24
    Value
    $132,258
  • Goldberg David Michael
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    16 June 2026
    Shares
    10,600
    Price
    $7.20
    Value
    $76,320
  • Read Brian
    Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    10 June 2026
    Shares
    1,496
    Price
    $7.24
    Value
    $10,831
  • Kashani Ali
    Chief Executive Officer, Director
    Sold
    Date
    10 June 2026
    Shares
    15,885
    Price
    $7.24
    Value
    $115,007
  • Parang Touraj
    President & COO, Director
    Sold
    Date
    10 June 2026
    Shares
    4,219
    Price
    $7.24
    Value
    $30,546
  • Read Brian
    Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    7 May 2026
    Shares
    201
    Price
    $9.26
    Value
    $1,861

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.