Sirius XM Holdings

SIRI on Nasdaq. SiriusXM sells radio and streaming audio subscriptions to listeners and advertisers. Market value $8.9bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

Compare with another stock

Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
17.4%very high

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $17.43 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
11.0×fair

You pay 11.0 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
6.8%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 7 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 74 of 100. Price score: 100 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$26.36 a share, 33% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $19.77 to $32.66.

Dividend: 4.1% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

1.6
1.6
1.2
1.0
1.2
1.5
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$8.7bn$9.0bn$9.0bn$8.7bn$8.6bn
Operating margin
23.2%21.3%20.2%-17.4%17.2%
Debt to equity
n/an/a1.110.940.84
Shares outstanding
3.89bn3.84bn0.34bn0.34bn0.34bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)6 of 8 checks we could run
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.84× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 1.3% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesYes, 91% fewer since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $2.2 billion last quarter, up 1% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $239 million, up 17% on a year ago.
  • 4% fewer shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit more of the company.
  • Debt is $9.3 billion more than cash, down from $10.1 billion a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$2.2bn
December 2024$2.2bn
March 2025$2.1bn
June 2025$2.1bn
September 2025$2.2bn
December 2025$2.2bn
March 2026$2.1bn
June 2026$2.2bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024-$2.5bn
December 2024$287m
March 2025$204m
June 2025$205m
September 2025$297m
December 2025$99m
March 2026$245m
June 2026$239m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
5 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
29 October 2026

Who owns it

13 long-term investors we follow own it, up from 12 last quarter. 598 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

3 investors own more than 5%.

  • Berkshire Hathaway
    Passive investor
    at least 37.1%+7.6 pts
    (filed with 10 related holders)
    Since 30 September 2025
  • Warren E. Buffett
    Passive investor
    at least 34.6%
    (filed with 2 related holders)
    Since 31 December 2024
  • John C. Malone
    Passive investor
    5.5%
    Since 21 April 2026
    What they said

    The information contained in Item 4 of the Schedule 13D is hereby amended to delete the last two paragraphs thereof and supplemented to include the following information: As previously disclosed in this Schedule 13D, Mr. Malone has continued to review his investment in the…

    Read the filing
  • The Vanguard Group
    Passive investor
    Sold down below 5%
    Since 13 March 2026

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 3 sold $1m, $161,074 of it under preset trading plans.

  • Procope Jonelle
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    6 August 2026
    Shares
    16,672
    Price
    $29.97
    Value
    $499,702
  • Salen Kristina
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    29 May 2026
    Shares
    4,097
    Price
    $29.57
    Value
    $121,148
  • Greenstein Scott Andrew
    Pres. & Chief Content Officer
    Sold
    Date
    27 May 2026
    Shares
    20,744
    Price
    $29.83
    Value
    $618,794
  • Salen Kristina
    Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    3 November 2025
    Shares
    1,845
    Price
    $21.64
    Value
    $39,926

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 5 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 30 Jul 2026 and 9 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

  • Sales have barely grown: 1.3% a year.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • The market for music rights is changing and is subject to significant uncertainties.

    Could happen
    As discussed above under the caption Item 1. Business – Copyrights to Programming – Sound Recordings, in January 2024, the CRB commenced a rate setting proceeding covering the statutory license for non-interactive streaming services for the period from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2030.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.