SM Energy

SM on NYSE. Crude petroleum & natural gas. Market value $8.3bn.

Watch this stockFree. We tell you when something changes.

Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

We can't read total debt from the filing, so debt is left out.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
9.3%high

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $9.32 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Quality score: 80 of 100. Price score: 83 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$35.05 a share, 101% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $17.45 to $41.56.

Dividend: 1.1% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Payouts have jumped around in recent years, so this may not repeat.

Prices from Monday’s close (5 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

0.5
0.8
0.6
0.5
0.6
0.8
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$2.6bn$3.4bn$2.4bn$2.7bn$3.2bn
Operating margin
8.0%47.0%41.6%40.0%31.7%
Debt to equity
1.01n/an/an/an/a
Shares outstanding
0.12bn0.12bn0.11bn0.11bn0.24bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)6 of 8 checks we could run
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)No
  • DebtUnknown
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 22.9% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 94% more shares since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $2.5 billion last quarter, up 215% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $1.1 billion, up 430% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 30 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 38 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $777 million, up from $605 million.
  • 109% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in 3 of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$644m
December 2024$852m
March 2025$845m
June 2025$793m
September 2025$812m
December 2025$705m
March 2026$1.5bn
June 2026$2.5bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$241m
December 2024$188m
March 2025$182m
June 2025$202m
September 2025$155m
December 2025$109m
March 2026-$335m
June 2026$1.1bn

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
26 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
5 November 2026

Who owns it

8 long-term investors we follow own it, down from 11 last quarter. 498 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

5 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 3 sold $2m.

  • Venkatraman Ashwin
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    10 September 2026
    Shares
    3,650
    Price
    $38.28
    Value
    $139,722
  • Lebeck James Barker
    EVP, GC & Corp Secretary
    Sold
    Date
    21 August 2026
    Shares
    17,500
    Price
    $37.02
    Value
    $647,850
  • PERU RAMIRO G
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    21 May 2026
    Shares
    24,553
    Price
    $33.98
    Value
    $834,311

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the serious warning signs we check for were found. 1 thing worth knowing.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 26 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 6 Aug 2026 and 14 later 8-Ks.

  • Changed auditor

    Worth knowing

    The company changed its auditor (the firm that checks its books) in the last two years.

    “On February 4, 2026, the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors (the “Audit Committee”) of SM Energy Company (the “Company”) dismissed Ernst & Young LLP (“EY”) as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm, and appointed Deloitte & Touche LLP (“Deloitte”) for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.”

    From an 8-K filed 9 February 2026: Change of auditor. Read it in the filing

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • • The historical business relationships of SM Energy and Civitas may be subject to disruption due to uncertainty associated with the…

    Could happen
    • The historical business relationships of SM Energy and Civitas may be subject to disruption due to uncertainty associated with the Merger, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, cash flows and financial position.
  • • We may be unable to successfully integrate Civitas’ business into our business or achieve the anticipated benefits of the Merger, which…

    Could happen
    • We may be unable to successfully integrate Civitas’ business into our business or achieve the anticipated benefits of the Merger, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations.
  • Risks Related to Litigation and Government Regulations

    Could happen
    • Senate Bill 181’s requirement, which applies to our Colorado operations, that we own or control more than 45 percent of the working or mineral interest in order to statutorily pool our applicable interest may make it much more difficult for us to develop such interests, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
    Read more
  • Our ability to utilize certain tax attributes may be limited as a result of the Civitas Merger.

    Could happen
    Our ability to utilize the former SM Energy’s carryover research and development credits and the former Civitas’ net operating losses (“NOL” or “NOLs”) and other tax attributes may be limited. The former Civitas had a material amount of federal tax NOLs that remained unutilized as of the Closing Date of the Merger.
    Read more
  • Our ability to utilize certain tax attributes may be limited as a result of the Civitas Merger.

    Could happen
    Our ability to utilize these tax attributes to reduce future taxable income and reduce future tax liability depends on many factors, including our future income, which cannot be assured. Sections 382 and 383 of the Code (“Sections 382 and 383”) generally impose an annual limitation on the amount of attributes that can be used when a corporation has undergone an “ownership change” (as determined under Sections 382 and 383). An ownership change generally occurs if one or more stockholders (or groups of stockholders) who are each deemed to own at least five percent of such corporation’s stock has increased their ownership by more than 50 percentage points over their lowest ownership percentage within a rolling three-year period. In the event that an ownership change occurs, utilization of the relevant corporation’s tax attributes would be subject to an annual limitation under Sections 382 and 383.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.