Constellation Brands

STZ on NYSE. Constellation Brands sells beer, wine, and spirits to distributors and retailers. Market value $24.9bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to May 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to February 2026.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to May 2026
9.3%high

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $9.29 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to May 2026
10.6×fair

You pay 10.6 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to February 2026
10.8%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 11 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 76 of 100. Price score: 100 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$115.67 a share, 5% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $110.60 to $168.60.

Dividend: 3.6% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

1.7
1.7
1.5
1.9
1.8
1.8
2022202320242025202612 monthsto May '26
Revenue
$8.8bn$9.5bn$10.0bn$10.2bn$9.1bn
Operating margin
26.4%30.1%31.8%3.5%29.8%
Debt to equity
0.891.481.221.671.31
Shares outstanding
n/an/an/an/an/a

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)6 of 8 checks we could run
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt1.31× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 1.2% a year

The quarter to May 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $2.4 billion last quarter, down 3% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $654 million, up 27% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 32 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, up from 1 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $1.8 billion, down from $2.1 billion.
  • Debt is $10.4 billion more than cash, down from $11.5 billion a year ago.
  • Sales did not grow on a year ago in any of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
August 2024$2.9bn
November 2024$2.5bn
February 2025$2.2bn
May 2025$2.5bn
August 2025$2.5bn
November 2025$2.2bn
February 2026$1.9bn
May 2026$2.4bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
August 2024-$1.2bn
November 2024$616m
February 2025-$375m
May 2025$516m
August 2025$466m
November 2025$503m
February 2026$202m
May 2026$654m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
22 April 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
30 September 2026

Who owns it

12 long-term investors we follow own it, down from 15 last quarter. 1,029 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

2 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 3 sold $1m.

  • Bourdeau James O.
    EVP and Senior Advisor
    Sold
    Date
    12 May 2026
    Shares
    4,407
    Price
    $143.24
    Value
    $631,259
  • Hernandez Ernesto M
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    27 April 2026
    Shares
    2,000
    Price
    $153.92
    Value
    $307,840
  • Glaetzer Samuel J
    EVP & Pres. Wine and Spirits
    Sold
    Date
    17 February 2026
    Shares
    555
    Price
    $153.78
    Value
    $85,348

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the serious warning signs we check for were found. 1 thing worth knowing.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 22 Apr 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 1 Jul 2026 and 8 later 8-Ks.

  • One big customer

    Worth knowing

    One customer brings in a big share of sales: 27.5% last year. Losing that customer would hurt.

    “Net sales to Customers which individually represent 10% or more of our net sales, and the associated accounts receivable from these Customers as a percentage of our total accounts receivable, are as follows: For the Years Ended February 28, 2026 | February 28, 2025 | February 29, 2024 Reyes Beer Division entities Net sales | 27.5 | 25.4 | 25.1”

    From the 10-K filed 22 April 2026, Item 8. Financial Statements and Notes (table). Read it in the filing

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

  • Sales have barely grown: 1.2% a year.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • President and Chief Executive Officer transition

    Could happen
    Nicholas Fink became our President and Chief Executive Officer on April 13, 2026. Our future performance will depend, in part, on the successful transition of Mr. Fink as our new President and Chief Executive Officer. Leadership transitions and the onboarding process can be inherently difficult to manage, will take time, and could result in changes in our business strategy, operations, processes, and workforce. If we do not successfully manage this transition, it may cause disruption to our business and be viewed negatively by various stakeholders, including our consumers, Customers, stockholders, employees, and/or suppliers. Our future performance will also continue to depend on the services and contributions of our other senior management and key employees to execute on our strategy and business plans and to identify and pursue new opportunities and product innovations. The loss of services of senior management or other key employees and the onboarding and transition of new senior leaders and key employees could significantly delay or prevent the achievement of our strategic objectives. Each of these risks could adversely affect our business, liquidity, financial condition, and/or results of operations.
    Read more
  • Economic and other uncertainties associated with our international operations, including tariffs

    • retaliatory or other tariffs and actions imposed on certain U.S. goods, including restrictions on beverage alcohol sales from U.S. producers imposed by some Canadian provinces; and • subsequent modifications and delays to or invalidation of various tariffs and associated refund procedures, litigation, and developments, including impacts from the U.S. Supreme Court decision invalidating the use of IEEPA to authorize certain tariffs.
    Read more
  • International operations, worldwide and regional economic trends and financial market conditions, geopolitical uncertainty, or other governmental rules and regulations

    Could happen
    • disruption from wars and military conflicts, including the conflict in the Middle East, terrorism, civil unrest, kidnapping, drug-related, workplace, or other types of violence, and other criminal and cartel activities;

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.