Timken
TKR on NYSE. Timken sells engineered bearings and industrial motion products to industrial customers. Market value $8.3bn.
Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.
Should I look at this?
Worth a closer look
Why it could be worth it
What to watch out for
Nothing stood out in the numbers we check.
This is not advice. Check the numbers below.
For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $4.64 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.
You pay 19.9 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.
Each dollar kept in the business earns 11 cents a year. Above 10 is good.
Quality score: 92 of 100. Price score: 61 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.
$119.99 a share, 70% above its 1-year low
Over the past year the price has ranged from $70.57 to $146.37.
Dividend: 1.2% a year
Paid every year for at least 5 years
Prices from Monday’s close (5 October).
Five years of cash, in billions
| Revenue | |||||
| Revenue | $4.1bn | $4.5bn | $4.8bn | $4.6bn | $4.6bn |
| Operating margin | |||||
| Operating margin | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% |
| Debt to equity | |||||
| Debt to equity | 0.64 | 0.87 | 0.93 | 0.73 | 0.61 |
| Shares outstanding | |||||
| Shares outstanding | 0.07bn | 0.07bn | 0.07bn | 0.07bn | 0.07bn |
Health checks
- Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
- Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
- Financial strength (Piotroski)5 of 8 checks we could run
- Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
- Debt0.61× equity
- Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 5.5% a year
- Buying back its own sharesYes, 5% fewer since 2021
The quarter to June 2026
How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.
- Sales: $1.3 billion last quarter, up 7% on a year ago.
- Profit: $29 million, down 63% on a year ago.
- It keeps 11 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 12 cents a year earlier.
- Spare cash over the past 12 months: $386 million, up from $315 million.
- About the same number of shares as a year ago.
- Debt is $1.7 billion more than cash, down from $1.8 billion a year ago.
- Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $1.1bn |
| December 2024 | $1.1bn |
| March 2025 | $1.1bn |
| June 2025 | $1.2bn |
| September 2025 | $1.2bn |
| December 2025 | $1.1bn |
| March 2026 | $1.2bn |
| June 2026 | $1.3bn |
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $82m |
| December 2024 | $71m |
| March 2025 | $78m |
| June 2025 | $79m |
| September 2025 | $69m |
| December 2025 | $62m |
| March 2026 | $98m |
| June 2026 | $29m |
From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.
Dates
- Next results (estimated)
- n/a
- Last annual report (10-K)
- 13 February 2026
- Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
- 3 November 2026
Who owns it
12 long-term investors we follow own it, down from 13 last quarter. 604 funds in all.
- LSV Asset ManagementJosef Lakonishok
- Value
- $17m
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- GAMCO InvestorsMario Gabelli
- Value
- $2m
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- Mairs & PowerAndy Adams
- Value
- $290,640
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
| Fund | Value | Share of that fund | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gotham Asset ManagementJoel Greenblatt | $67m | 0.2% | Added |
| Hotchkis & WileyHotchkis & Wiley team | $62m | 0.2% | Cut |
| Cooke & BielerCooke & Bieler partners | $49m | 0.6% | Cut |
| First Eagle Investment ManagementMatthew McLennan | $41m | <0.1% | Added |
| Royce & AssociatesChuck Royce | $29m | 0.2% | Cut |
| Brandes Investment PartnersCharles Brandes | $19m | 0.1% | Cut |
| LSV Asset ManagementJosef Lakonishok | $17m | <0.1% | |
| Century ManagementArnold Van Den Berg | $8m | 1.7% | Cut |
| Boston PartnersBoston Partners team | $4m | <0.1% | Cut |
| GMOJeremy Grantham | $2m | <0.1% | Cut |
| GAMCO InvestorsMario Gabelli | $2m | <0.1% | |
| Mairs & PowerAndy Adams | $290,640 | <0.1% |
Sold out this quarter
Largest holders overall
- BlackRock$870mAdded
- Vanguard Portfolio Management$484m
- Dimensional Fund Advisors LP$447mAdded
- Vanguard Capital Management$412m
- State Street$296mAdded
- FMR$289mAdded
- Geode Capital Management$264mAdded
- Brown Advisory$248m
- JPMorgan Chase$219mAdded
- Victory Capital Management$196mCut
From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.
Big holders and activists
2 investors own more than 5%.
- American Century Investment Management, Inc.Passive investorat least 4.3%−0.7 pts(filed with 2 related holders)Since 31 December 2025
- FMR LLCPassive investorat least 4.0%−1.1 pts(filed with 1 related holder)Since 31 December 2025
- The Vanguard GroupPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 13 March 2026
| Holder | Stake | Since | |
|---|---|---|---|
American Century Investment Management, Inc. Passive investor | at least 4.3%−0.7 pts (filed with 2 related holders) | 31 December 2025 | |
FMR LLC Passive investor | at least 4.0%−1.1 pts (filed with 1 related holder) | 31 December 2025 | |
The Vanguard Group Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 13 March 2026 |
From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.
What insiders did
No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 5 sold $18m.
- Kyle Richard GDirectorSold
- Date
- 10 August 2026
- Shares
- 13,637
- Price
- $126.63
- Value
- $2m
- Rajendra Ajita GDirectorSold
- Date
- 5 June 2026
- Shares
- 8,450
- Price
- $131.34
- Value
- $1m
- Kyle Richard GDirectorSold
- Date
- 27 May 2026
- Shares
- 8,448
- Price
- $127.35
- Value
- $1m
- Kyle Richard GDirectorSold
- Date
- 8 May 2026
- Shares
- 37,181
- Price
- $117.34
- Value
- $4m
- TIMKEN JOHN M JRDirectorSold
- Date
- 8 May 2026
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $116.51
- Value
- $2m
- Discenza Michael AnthonyEVP, Chief Financial OfficerSold
- Date
- 24 February 2026
- Shares
- 1,532
- Price
- $109.59
- Value
- $167,892
- Kyle Richard GDirectorSold
- Date
- 20 February 2026
- Shares
- 19,636
- Price
- $107.99
- Value
- $2m
- Kyle Richard GDirectorSold
- Date
- 19 February 2026
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $106.72
- Value
- $1m
- Patel Hansal N.EVP, GC and SecretarySold
- Date
- 9 February 2026
- Shares
- 2,500
- Price
- $108.01
- Value
- $270,025
- Kyle Richard GDirectorSold
- Date
- 6 February 2026
- Shares
- 30,206
- Price
- $106.52
- Value
- $3m
| Date | Who | Did | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 August 2026 | Kyle Richard G Director | Sold | 13,637 | $126.63 | $2m |
| 5 June 2026 | Rajendra Ajita G Director | Sold | 8,450 | $131.34 | $1m |
| 27 May 2026 | Kyle Richard G Director | Sold | 8,448 | $127.35 | $1m |
| 8 May 2026 | Kyle Richard G Director | Sold | 37,181 | $117.34 | $4m |
| 8 May 2026 | TIMKEN JOHN M JR Director | Sold | 15,000 | $116.51 | $2m |
| 24 February 2026 | Discenza Michael Anthony EVP, Chief Financial Officer | Sold | 1,532 | $109.59 | $167,892 |
| 20 February 2026 | Kyle Richard G Director | Sold | 19,636 | $107.99 | $2m |
| 19 February 2026 | Kyle Richard G Director | Sold | 10,000 | $106.72 | $1m |
| 9 February 2026 | Patel Hansal N. EVP, GC and Secretary | Sold | 2,500 | $108.01 | $270,025 |
| 6 February 2026 | Kyle Richard G Director | Sold | 30,206 | $106.52 | $3m |
From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.
Warning signs in its filings
Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.
None of the warning signs we check for were found.
We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.
We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 13 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 4 Aug 2026 and 7 later 8-Ks.
A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.
What could go wrong
Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.
Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.
What changed in the risks this year
Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.
Uncertainties with respect to the use of AI in our business may negatively impact our results from operations, reputation, and competitiveness.
Could happenWe have begun to incorporate AI technologies into certain aspects of our operations. While these technologies may offer potential efficiencies, AI systems are relatively new and may not perform as expected. Errors or failures could disrupt production, impair product quality, or increase costs. Additionally, integration of AI may require changes to existing processes and workforce roles. These changes could lead to inefficiencies, increased training costs, or labor-related challenges. Moreover, the continued development and deployment of these AI technologies will require additional capital and increased costs going forward. In addition to AI regulation under general consumer protection and privacy laws, legislation specifically aimed at regulating the development, deployment and use of AI has been enacted in several states and has also been proposed at the federal level. Further, recent Executive Orders have further addressed federal regulation and policies related to AI. These laws, proposed laws, and Executive Orders may create inconsistent and evolving compliance obligations, which may be costly, challenging, and difficult to resolve. AI-related issues, including continued government regulation of AI, deficiencies and/or failures could give rise to legal and/or regulatory action, damage our reputation or otherwise adversely affect our business, including by impacting costs to our business. Furthermore, if our data, or data belonging to our customers, suppliers, or other third parties, is unintentionally provided to, accessed by, or used to train external AI models, the unauthorized disclosure or misuse of such information could result. Such an event could harm our reputation, expose us to contractual or legal claims, or require us to change how we use such AI models. Conversely, any failure to successfully develop and deploy AI in our business could adversely affect our competitiveness, particularly if our competitors successfully deploy AI in their businesses.
Read moreGlobal political instability and other risks of international operations may adversely affect our operating costs, revenues and the price of our products.
Could happen• disadvantages of competing against companies from countries that are not subject to U.S. laws and regulations, including the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act ("FCPA");
Severe weather associated with a changing climate could negatively impact our operations and those of our customers and suppliers.
Could happenSevere weather associated with a changing climate, such as flooding, hurricanes, extreme heat, severe storms, wildfires and other natural disasters, could negatively impact the operation of our facilities, as well as those of our customers and suppliers, could limit our ability to insure our assets on commercially desirable terms and conditions, and could cause shipping disruptions, leading to delays in manufacturing and delivery of products.
Read more
The deep dive
Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.
- What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
- Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
- The three things that would make this a mistake
- Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
Your first deep dive is free.
Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.