United Airlines Holdings

UAL on Nasdaq. United Airlines sells air travel to passengers and cargo shippers. Market value $35.7bn.

Watch this stockFree. We tell you when something changes.

Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
7.0%high

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $7.01 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
10.8×fair

You pay 10.8 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
10.2%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 10 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 71 of 100. Price score: 100 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$111.87 a share, 32% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $84.64 to $138.77.

Expected to report results Tuesday 20 Oct, after the market closes.

Pays no dividend

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

-0.0
1.2
-0.3
3.8
2.6
2.5
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$24.6bn$45.0bn$53.7bn$57.1bn$59.1bn
Operating margin
-4.1%5.2%7.8%8.9%8.0%
Debt to equity
6.694.563.151.971.42
Shares outstanding
0.33bn0.33bn0.33bn0.32bn0.32bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive3 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)7 of 8 checks we could run
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt1.42× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 30.9% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesRoughly flat

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $17.7 billion last quarter, up 16% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $805 million, down 17% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 8 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 9 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $2.5 billion, down from $4 billion.
  • About the same number of shares as a year ago.
  • Debt is $16.3 billion more than cash, down from $17.7 billion a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$14.8bn
December 2024$14.7bn
March 2025$13.2bn
June 2025$15.2bn
September 2025$15.2bn
December 2025$15.4bn
March 2026$14.6bn
June 2026$17.7bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$965m
December 2024$985m
March 2025$387m
June 2025$973m
September 2025$949m
December 2025$1.0bn
March 2026$699m
June 2026$805m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
20 October 2026
Last annual report (10-K)
12 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
15 October 2026

Who owns it

8 long-term investors we follow own it, up from 7 last quarter. 1,068 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

2 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 6 sold $53m, $20m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Nocella Andrew P
    EVP & Chief Commercial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    25 August 2026
    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $117.00
    Value
    $585,000
  • Nocella Andrew P
    EVP & Chief Commercial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    4 August 2026
    Shares
    3,000
    Price
    $132.30
    Value
    $396,900
  • Leskinen Michael D.
    EVP & Chief Financial Officer
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    3 August 2026
    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $128.19
    Value
    $1m
  • Nocella Andrew P
    EVP & Chief Commercial Officer
    Sold
    Date
    28 July 2026
    Shares
    4,200
    Price
    $120.48
    Value
    $506,016
  • Hart Brett J
    President
    Sold
    Date
    28 July 2026
    Shares
    30,108
    Price
    $120.72
    Value
    $4m
  • Enqvist Torbjorn J
    EVP & Chief Operations Officer
    Sold
    Date
    24 July 2026
    Shares
    20,000
    Price
    $119.91
    Value
    $2m
  • KIRBY J SCOTT
    Chief Executive Officer, Director
    Sold
    Date
    21 July 2026
    Shares
    159,321
    Price
    $118.05
    Value
    $19m
  • KIRBY J SCOTT
    Chief Executive Officer, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    16 June 2026
    Shares
    1,078
    Price
    $120.74
    Value
    $130,158
  • KIRBY J SCOTT
    Chief Executive Officer, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 June 2026
    Shares
    48,303
    Price
    $121.30
    Value
    $6m
  • Gebo Kate
    EVP HR and Labor Relations
    Sold
    Date
    26 May 2026
    Shares
    40,000
    Price
    $105.42
    Value
    $4m

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 12 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 16 Jul 2026 and 4 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • Union disputes, employee strikes or slowdowns and other labor-related disruptions as well as increased employee and retiree health, pension, labor and regulatory compliance costs could adversely affect the Company's business, operations and results of operations.

    Our active employee and retiree health programs, pension benefits and salary expenses are significant. For instance, the costs of providing pension and other retirement benefit plans are dependent on numerous assumptions and the changes in actuarial assumptions and differences between the assumptions and actual values, as well as significant declines in the value of investments that fund our pension and other postretirement plans, if not offset or mitigated by a decline in plan liabilities, could increase pension and other postretirement expense, and we could be required from time to time to fund the pension plans with significant amounts of cash. Further, we participate in the multi-employer benefit plan for employees covered under our collective bargaining agreement with the IAM and have agreed to contribute certain amounts, which could increase in future. The funding status of the plan is subject to risk that other employers may not meet their obligations and if we were to withdraw or terminate, or if the plan were to undergo a mass withdrawal, we could be subject to liability as imposed by law. In addition, collective bargaining agreements with the Company's represented employee groups have materially increased the Company's labor costs due to wage inflation. We remain in negotiations regarding certain of these collective bargaining agreements and anticipate that any new contracts involving the relevant labor groups may include material increases in salaries and other benefits, which would significantly increase our labor expense. Furthermore, there is rising litigation in the airline industry over the application of state and local employment and labor laws that purport to govern benefits and duties of certain employee groups but are increasingly in conflict with our negotiated collective bargaining agreements. Adverse decisions in these cases could negatively impact our operational flexibility and ability to apply our collective bargaining agreements as negotiated.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.