Valmont Industries

VMI on NYSE. Valmont Industries sells infrastructure products and irrigation equipment to utilities and farms. Market value $9.2bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
3.4%fair

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $3.43 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
17.2×full

You pay 17.2 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
14.6%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 15 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 88 of 100. Price score: 71 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$486.89 a share, 29% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $378.02 to $585.71.

Dividend: 0.6% a year

Paid every year for at least 5 years

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

-0.0
0.2
0.2
0.5
0.3
0.3
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$3.5bn$4.3bn$4.2bn$4.1bn$4.1bn
Operating margin
8.2%10.0%7.0%12.9%10.1%
Debt to equity
0.690.550.820.470.49
Shares outstanding
0.02bn0.02bn0.02bn0.02bn0.02bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive4 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Nothing unusual
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)5 of 8 checks we could run
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
  • Debt0.49× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsSlow, 7.2% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesYes, 10% fewer since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $1.1 billion last quarter, about the same as a year ago.
  • Profit: $120 million, after a loss of $4 million a year ago.
  • It keeps 14 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, up from 10 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $322 million, down from $543 million.
  • 1% fewer shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit more of the company.
  • Debt is $592 million more than cash, up from $522 million a year ago.
  • Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$1.0bn
December 2024$1.0bn
March 2025$969m
June 2025$1.1bn
September 2025$1.0bn
December 2025$1.0bn
March 2026$1.0bn
June 2026$1.1bn
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$83m
December 2024$78m
March 2025$87m
June 2025-$4m
September 2025$99m
December 2025$168m
March 2026$108m
June 2026$120m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
24 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
27 October 2026

Who owns it

10 long-term investors we follow own it, up from 9 last quarter. 651 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

2 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

In the last 12 months, 1 insider bought $101,118 of shares on the open market. 4 sold $9m.

  • Freye Theodor Werner
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    27 July 2026
    Shares
    800
    Price
    $495.00
    Value
    $396,000
  • Schwietz John L
    Executive VP and CFO
    Bought
    Date
    23 July 2026
    Shares
    208
    Price
    $486.14
    Value
    $101,118
  • Campbell Renee L
    SVP, Capital Markets & Risk
    Sold
    Date
    6 May 2026
    Shares
    412
    Price
    $522.45
    Value
    $215,249
  • BAY MOGENS C
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    24 April 2026
    Shares
    17,500
    Price
    $492.34
    Value
    $9m
  • Colwell James Christopher
    Pres.-Global TDS, Svc&Coating
    Sold
    Date
    23 October 2025
    Shares
    375
    Price
    $410.68
    Value
    $154,005

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • Changes in the application and enforcement of U.S. trade and tariff laws, including Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum content, could increase our costs and adversely affect our results of operations.

    Could happen
    U.S. Customs and Border Protection (“CBP”) has increased scrutiny of how Section 232 duties apply to imported products, including the valuation methodologies used to calculate such duties. In February 2026, we received CBP inquiries relating to the valuation methodology applied to historical import entries. These inquiries are ongoing, and no final determinations have been made. While we believe our valuation methodologies have complied with CBP guidance, CBP may ultimately disagree with our position.
    Read more
  • Challenges in managing manufacturing capacity and responding to demand volatility could adversely affect our business.

    Could happen
    In addition, efforts to expand, modify, or rapidly ramp manufacturing capacity can increase operational complexity and elevate safety risks for our employees and contractors. Such activities may involve the installation of new equipment, changes to manufacturing processes, compressed production timelines, or the use of temporary or less-experienced labor. Workplace accidents, safety incidents, or regulatory actions arising from these conditions could disrupt operations, delay production, result in litigation or regulatory scrutiny, increase insurance or self-insurance costs, and adversely affect our reputation and financial performance. Although we maintain insurance coverage and safety programs designed to mitigate these risks, such measures may not be sufficient to prevent or fully offset the impact of all incidents or liabilities.
    Read more
  • Adverse economic conditions, particularly in certain international markets, could impair the collectability of our accounts receivable and adversely affect our operating results.

    Could happen
    If our assumptions regarding customer credit risk or economic conditions prove inaccurate, or if adverse conditions persist or worsen, we may be required to record additional provisions for credit losses, which could adversely affect our operating results, financial condition, and cash flows.
    Read more
  • The use of artificial intelligence presents risks and challenges that may adversely impact our business and operating results.

    Could happen
    We may adopt and integrate generative artificial intelligence and machine learning (collectively, “AI”) tools into our operations to enhance efficiencies and streamline existing systems. However, the development, implementation, and maintenance of AI tools may entail substantial risks. While these tools hold promise in optimizing processes and improving productivity, they may also produce inaccurate or biased outputs, infringe upon or misappropriate intellectual property, or expose us to data privacy, cybersecurity, and regulatory compliance risks. In addition, evolving legal, regulatory, and ethical standards governing the use of AI may increase compliance costs or limit our ability to deploy these technologies effectively. If we are unable to manage these risks, our business, financial condition, or results of operations could be adversely affected.
    Read more
  • If our internal control over financial reporting is found to be ineffective, our operating results could be adversely affected.

    Could happen
    The complexity of our business, including diversified product lines across multiple jurisdictions, the use of multiple enterprise resource planning systems, and complex revenue recognition requirements, further increases the challenge of maintaining effective internal controls. If we fail to maintain our internal control over financial reporting, or if we experience deficiencies or delays in implementing necessary improvements, it could have a negative impact on our operating results and damage our reputation.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.