High Probability Advisors

Pittsford, NYfiles as High Probability Advisors, LLC

$935m in 75 US stocks at the end of 30 June 2026. The top 10 are 66.4% of the money. It changed about 3.4% of the portfolio this quarter.

Value

$935m

Stocks

Top 10 share

66.4%

Turnover

3.4%

What changed this quarter

New

Bought for the first time this quarter.

Micron TechnologyMU
<0.1% of the fund
CoherentCOHR
<0.1% of the fund
Credo Technology Group HoldingCRDO
<0.1% of the fund
Vanguard Star FDSVXUS
<0.1% of the fund
ASML Holding NVASML
<0.1% of the fund
Applied MaterialsAMAT
<0.1% of the fund
Howmet AerospaceHWM
<0.1% of the fund
Berkshire HathawayBRK-B
<0.1% of the fund
Dimensional ETF TrustDFSU
<0.1% of the fund
Ishares TRIWN
<0.1% of the fund

Added

Bought more of a stock they already held.

Goldman Sachs ETF TRGSLC
12.5% of the fund
+5%
Ishares TRMTUM
11.8% of the fund
+2%
Dimensional ETF TrustDUHP
7.2% of the fund
+6%
Blackrock ETF TrustDYNF
6.4% of the fund
+6%
Ishares TRNYF
5.5% of the fund
+23%
Goldman Sachs ETF TRGSIE
5.2% of the fund
+7%
Dimensional ETF TrustDIHP
4.8% of the fund
+7%
Schwab Strategic TRSCHO
4.5% of the fund
+5%
Ishares TRUSMV
4.3% of the fund
+6%
Schwab Strategic TRSCHR
4.2% of the fund
+24%
American Centy ETF TRAVUV
3.9% of the fund
+5%
Fidelity Covington TrustFVAL
3.7% of the fund
+4%
Spdr Series TrustSPIB
3.4% of the fund
+5%
American Centy ETF TRAVEM
3.0% of the fund
+5%
Fidelity Covington TrustFQAL
3.0% of the fund
+5%
Ishares TRSHYG
2.6% of the fund
+7%
Ishares TRIUSV
2.2% of the fund
+6%
Ishares TRIVLU
1.7% of the fund
+5%
Goldman Sachs ETF TRGSSC
1.7% of the fund
+6%
Schwab Strategic TRFNDC
1.6% of the fund
+6%
Spdr Series TrustSPTL
1.3% of the fund
+13%
Spdr Series TrustSPYM
0.6% of the fund
+6%
Vanguard MUN BD FDSVTEB
0.5% of the fund
+33%
Ishares TRIXUS
0.2% of the fund
+6%
Spdr Series TrustSPMD
0.1% of the fund
+6%

Cut

Sold some of their stake.

Dimensional ETF TrustDFAC
0.1% of the fund
-4%
Broadstone Net LeaseBNL
0.1% of the fund
-10%
MicrosoftMSFT
<0.1% of the fund
-10%
AlphabetGOOGL
<0.1% of the fund
-4%
Trane TechnologiesTT
<0.1% of the fund
-3%
EatonETN
<0.1% of the fund
-8%
Home DepotHD
<0.1% of the fund
-3%
Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingTSM
<0.1% of the fund
-39%
VisaV
<0.1% of the fund
-4%
JPMorgan ChaseJPM
<0.1% of the fund
-8%
AbbVieABBV
<0.1% of the fund
-4%
Dimensional ETF TrustDFUS
<0.1% of the fund
-13%
NIONIO
<0.1% of the fund
-10%

Sold out

Sold their entire stake.

Ishares Gold TRIAU
-100%
Tortoise Capital Series TrusTNGY
-100%

Holdings

Goldman Sachs ETF TRGSLC
Share
12.5%
Value
$117m
Shares
827,017
+5%
Ishares TRMTUM
Share
11.8%
Value
$110m
Shares
322,023
+2%
Dimensional ETF TrustDUHP
Share
7.2%
Value
$67m
Shares
1,609,605
+6%
Blackrock ETF TrustDYNF
Share
6.4%
Value
$60m
Shares
881,484
+6%
Ishares TRNYF
Share
5.5%
Value
$52m
Shares
956,143
+23%
Goldman Sachs ETF TRGSIE
Share
5.2%
Value
$49m
Shares
1,063,683
+7%
Dimensional ETF TrustDIHP
Share
4.8%
Value
$45m
Shares
1,307,603
+7%
Schwab Strategic TRSCHO
Share
4.5%
Value
$42m
Shares
1,758,868
+5%
Ishares TRUSMV
Share
4.3%
Value
$40m
Shares
417,169
+6%
Schwab Strategic TRSCHR
Share
4.2%
Value
$39m
Shares
1,574,348
+24%
American Centy ETF TRAVUV
Share
3.9%
Value
$37m
Shares
295,565
+5%
Fidelity Covington TrustFVAL
Share
3.7%
Value
$35m
Shares
443,665
+4%
Spdr Series TrustSPIB
Share
3.4%
Value
$31m
Shares
939,100
+5%
American Centy ETF TRAVEM
Share
3.0%
Value
$28m
Shares
289,841
+5%
Fidelity Covington TrustFQAL
Share
3.0%
Value
$28m
Shares
341,750
+5%
Ishares TRSHYG
Share
2.6%
Value
$24m
Shares
568,588
+7%
Ishares TRIUSV
Share
2.2%
Value
$21m
Shares
189,323
+6%
Ishares TRIVLU
Share
1.7%
Value
$16m
Shares
380,882
+5%
Goldman Sachs ETF TRGSSC
Share
1.7%
Value
$15m
Shares
169,229
+6%
Schwab Strategic TRFNDC
Share
1.6%
Value
$15m
Shares
306,034
+6%
Spdr Series TrustSPTL
Share
1.3%
Value
$12m
Shares
454,386
+13%
State STR Spdr S&P 500 ETF TSPY
Share
1.0%
Value
$10m
Shares
12,724
Held
Spdr Series TrustSPYM
Share
0.6%
Value
$5m
Shares
58,738
+6%
Vanguard MUN BD FDSVTEB
Share
0.5%
Value
$5m
Shares
95,878
+33%
Ishares TRIWV
Share
0.2%
Value
$2m
Shares
5,180
Held
Ishares TRREZ
Share
0.2%
Value
$2m
Shares
23,102
Held
Ishares TRIXUS
Share
0.2%
Value
$2m
Shares
20,709
+6%
Ishares TRIVV
Share
0.2%
Value
$2m
Shares
2,422
Held
Ishares TRIWD
Share
0.2%
Value
$2m
Shares
6,221
Held
AppleAAPL
Share
0.2%
Value
$1m
Shares
4,848
Held
Dimensional ETF TrustDFAC
Share
0.1%
Value
$1m
Shares
29,474
-4%
Spdr Series TrustSPMD
Share
0.1%
Value
$1m
Shares
18,251
+6%
Ishares TRACWX
Share
0.1%
Value
$1m
Shares
15,908
Held
Schwab Strategic TRSCHB
Share
0.1%
Value
$1m
Shares
37,355
Held
Ishares TRIWM
Share
0.1%
Value
$983,974
Shares
3,275
Held
Broadstone Net LeaseBNL
Share
0.1%
Value
$971,780
Shares
47,014
-10%
MicrosoftMSFT
Share
<0.1%
Value
$770,928
Shares
2,067
-10%
AlphabetGOOGL
Share
<0.1%
Value
$766,559
Shares
2,145
-4%
Ishares TRIJR
Share
<0.1%
Value
$732,213
Shares
4,937
Held
Trane TechnologiesTT
Share
<0.1%
Value
$667,978
Shares
1,360
-3%
Vanguard Tax-Managed FDSVEA
Share
<0.1%
Value
$661,659
Shares
9,286
Held
Dimensional ETF TrustDFAT
Share
<0.1%
Value
$606,201
Shares
8,672
Held
Ishares TROEF
Share
<0.1%
Value
$589,051
Shares
1,610
Held
EatonETN
Share
<0.1%
Value
$522,424
Shares
1,226
-8%
Ishares TRACWI
Share
<0.1%
Value
$510,582
Shares
3,253
Held
Ishares TRGVI
Share
<0.1%
Value
$508,939
Shares
4,797
Held
Micron TechnologyMU
Share
<0.1%
Value
$498,654
Shares
432
New
Goldman Sachs ETF TRGBIL
Share
<0.1%
Value
$472,051
Shares
4,713
Held
Ishares TRIEI
Share
<0.1%
Value
$458,337
Shares
3,902
Held
NvidiaNVDA
Share
<0.1%
Value
$427,193
Shares
2,135
+30%
Spdr Series TrustSPSM
Share
<0.1%
Value
$402,344
Shares
6,977
+5%
Ishares TRSUSA
Share
<0.1%
Value
$398,933
Shares
2,585
Held
Dimensional ETF TrustDFUV
Share
<0.1%
Value
$365,574
Shares
6,646
Held
Hartford Insurance GroupHIG
Share
<0.1%
Value
$364,430
Shares
2,750
Held
Home DepotHD
Share
<0.1%
Value
$344,168
Shares
976
-3%
Schwab Strategic TRSCHA
Share
<0.1%
Value
$319,390
Shares
8,840
Held
Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingTSM
Share
<0.1%
Value
$317,107
Shares
664
-39%
Ishares TRIJH
Share
<0.1%
Value
$295,409
Shares
3,831
Held
VisaV
Share
<0.1%
Value
$284,079
Shares
828
-4%
JPMorgan ChaseJPM
Share
<0.1%
Value
$269,720
Shares
824
-8%
CoherentCOHR
Share
<0.1%
Value
$266,268
Shares
675
New
Amazon.comAMZN
Share
<0.1%
Value
$261,221
Shares
1,096
Held
Credo Technology Group HoldingCRDO
Share
<0.1%
Value
$243,396
Shares
895
New
AbbVieABBV
Share
<0.1%
Value
$240,065
Shares
954
-4%
Vanguard Star FDSVXUS
Share
<0.1%
Value
$217,239
Shares
2,541
New
ASML Holding NVASML
Share
<0.1%
Value
$214,860
Shares
108
New
Ishares TRSUB
Share
<0.1%
Value
$209,833
Shares
1,971
Held
Applied MaterialsAMAT
Share
<0.1%
Value
$208,947
Shares
289
New
Howmet AerospaceHWM
Share
<0.1%
Value
$208,905
Shares
777
New
Berkshire HathawayBRK-B
Share
<0.1%
Value
$206,161
Shares
412
New
Dimensional ETF TrustDFUS
Share
<0.1%
Value
$204,900
Shares
2,501
-13%
Dimensional ETF TrustDFSU
Share
<0.1%
Value
$201,674
Shares
4,325
New
Ishares TRIWN
Share
<0.1%
Value
$200,186
Shares
905
New
NIONIO
Share
<0.1%
Value
$167,967
Shares
33,195
-10%
Eastman KodakKODK
Share
<0.1%
Value
$103,230
Shares
11,160
Held

Company	Share of fund	Value	Shares	Change
Goldman Sachs ETF TRGSLC	12.5%	$117m	827,017	+5%
Ishares TRMTUM	11.8%	$110m	322,023	+2%
Dimensional ETF TrustDUHP	7.2%	$67m	1,609,605	+6%
Blackrock ETF TrustDYNF	6.4%	$60m	881,484	+6%
Ishares TRNYF	5.5%	$52m	956,143	+23%
Goldman Sachs ETF TRGSIE	5.2%	$49m	1,063,683	+7%
Dimensional ETF TrustDIHP	4.8%	$45m	1,307,603	+7%
Schwab Strategic TRSCHO	4.5%	$42m	1,758,868	+5%
Ishares TRUSMV	4.3%	$40m	417,169	+6%
Schwab Strategic TRSCHR	4.2%	$39m	1,574,348	+24%
American Centy ETF TRAVUV	3.9%	$37m	295,565	+5%
Fidelity Covington TrustFVAL	3.7%	$35m	443,665	+4%
Spdr Series TrustSPIB	3.4%	$31m	939,100	+5%
American Centy ETF TRAVEM	3.0%	$28m	289,841	+5%
Fidelity Covington TrustFQAL	3.0%	$28m	341,750	+5%
Ishares TRSHYG	2.6%	$24m	568,588	+7%
Ishares TRIUSV	2.2%	$21m	189,323	+6%
Ishares TRIVLU	1.7%	$16m	380,882	+5%
Goldman Sachs ETF TRGSSC	1.7%	$15m	169,229	+6%
Schwab Strategic TRFNDC	1.6%	$15m	306,034	+6%
Spdr Series TrustSPTL	1.3%	$12m	454,386	+13%
State STR Spdr S&P 500 ETF TSPY	1.0%	$10m	12,724	Held
Spdr Series TrustSPYM	0.6%	$5m	58,738	+6%
Vanguard MUN BD FDSVTEB	0.5%	$5m	95,878	+33%
Ishares TRIWV	0.2%	$2m	5,180	Held
Ishares TRREZ	0.2%	$2m	23,102	Held
Ishares TRIXUS	0.2%	$2m	20,709	+6%
Ishares TRIVV	0.2%	$2m	2,422	Held
Ishares TRIWD	0.2%	$2m	6,221	Held
AppleAAPL	0.2%	$1m	4,848	Held
Dimensional ETF TrustDFAC	0.1%	$1m	29,474	-4%
Spdr Series TrustSPMD	0.1%	$1m	18,251	+6%
Ishares TRACWX	0.1%	$1m	15,908	Held
Schwab Strategic TRSCHB	0.1%	$1m	37,355	Held
Ishares TRIWM	0.1%	$983,974	3,275	Held
Broadstone Net LeaseBNL	0.1%	$971,780	47,014	-10%
MicrosoftMSFT	<0.1%	$770,928	2,067	-10%
AlphabetGOOGL	<0.1%	$766,559	2,145	-4%
Ishares TRIJR	<0.1%	$732,213	4,937	Held
Trane TechnologiesTT	<0.1%	$667,978	1,360	-3%
Vanguard Tax-Managed FDSVEA	<0.1%	$661,659	9,286	Held
Dimensional ETF TrustDFAT	<0.1%	$606,201	8,672	Held
Ishares TROEF	<0.1%	$589,051	1,610	Held
EatonETN	<0.1%	$522,424	1,226	-8%
Ishares TRACWI	<0.1%	$510,582	3,253	Held
Ishares TRGVI	<0.1%	$508,939	4,797	Held
Micron TechnologyMU	<0.1%	$498,654	432	New
Goldman Sachs ETF TRGBIL	<0.1%	$472,051	4,713	Held
Ishares TRIEI	<0.1%	$458,337	3,902	Held
NvidiaNVDA	<0.1%	$427,193	2,135	+30%
Spdr Series TrustSPSM	<0.1%	$402,344	6,977	+5%
Ishares TRSUSA	<0.1%	$398,933	2,585	Held
Dimensional ETF TrustDFUV	<0.1%	$365,574	6,646	Held
Hartford Insurance GroupHIG	<0.1%	$364,430	2,750	Held
Home DepotHD	<0.1%	$344,168	976	-3%
Schwab Strategic TRSCHA	<0.1%	$319,390	8,840	Held
Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingTSM	<0.1%	$317,107	664	-39%
Ishares TRIJH	<0.1%	$295,409	3,831	Held
VisaV	<0.1%	$284,079	828	-4%
JPMorgan ChaseJPM	<0.1%	$269,720	824	-8%
CoherentCOHR	<0.1%	$266,268	675	New
Amazon.comAMZN	<0.1%	$261,221	1,096	Held
Credo Technology Group HoldingCRDO	<0.1%	$243,396	895	New
AbbVieABBV	<0.1%	$240,065	954	-4%
Vanguard Star FDSVXUS	<0.1%	$217,239	2,541	New
ASML Holding NVASML	<0.1%	$214,860	108	New
Ishares TRSUB	<0.1%	$209,833	1,971	Held
Applied MaterialsAMAT	<0.1%	$208,947	289	New
Howmet AerospaceHWM	<0.1%	$208,905	777	New
Berkshire HathawayBRK-B	<0.1%	$206,161	412	New
Dimensional ETF TrustDFUS	<0.1%	$204,900	2,501	-13%
Dimensional ETF TrustDFSU	<0.1%	$201,674	4,325	New
Ishares TRIWN	<0.1%	$200,186	905	New
NIONIO	<0.1%	$167,967	33,195	-10%
Eastman KodakKODK	<0.1%	$103,230	11,160	Held

Over time and by industry

Value over time

Jun '25

Dec '25

Jun '26

Value is up 39.8% since 30 June 2025.

Where the money is

Technology0.4%

Industrials0.2%

Financial services0.1%

Real estate0.1%

Media & telecom0.1%

Retail & consumer0.1%

Health care0.0%

Other99.0%

From the fund's 13F filings. They list US stocks and options only, 45 days after each quarter, and leave out cash, bonds, shorts and foreign shares.