PROG Holdings

PRG on NYSE. PROG Holdings sells lease-to-own and buy now, pay later payment options to consumers. Market value $1.2bn.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

Should I look at this?

Worth a closer look

Read what could go wrong

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
25.6%very high

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $25.58 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
9.2×cheap

You pay 9.2 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
15.8%five-year median

Each dollar kept in the business earns 16 cents a year. Above 10 is good.

Quality score: 71 of 100. Price score: 100 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$31.28 a share, 21% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $25.80 to $47.73.

Dividend: 1.7% a year

Paid every year for 2 years

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.3
0.3
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26
Revenue
$2.7bn$2.6bn$2.3bn$2.4bn$2.4bn
Operating margin
12.5%7.1%9.3%8.1%8.6%
Debt to equity
0.871.041.000.990.80
Shares outstanding
0.05bn0.04bn0.04bn0.04bn0.04bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
  • Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
  • Financial strength (Piotroski)Not enough data
  • Profit backed by cash (accruals)No
  • Debt0.80× equity
  • Revenue growth, five yearsShrinking, 0.6% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesYes, 20% fewer since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $720 million last quarter, up 22% on a year ago.
  • Profit: $37 million, down 4% on a year ago.
  • It keeps 8 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 9 cents a year earlier.
  • Spare cash over the past 12 months: $319 million, up from $219 million.
  • About the same number of shares as a year ago.
  • Debt is $802 million more than cash, up from $372 million a year ago.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$606m
December 2024Not reported
March 2025$668m
June 2025$589m
September 2025$595m
December 2025Not reported
March 2026$743m
June 2026$720m
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
September 2024$84m
December 2024$58m
March 2025$35m
June 2025$38m
September 2025$33m
December 2025$40m
March 2026$36m
June 2026$37m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
18 February 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
29 October 2026

Who owns it

6 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 6 last quarter. 293 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

4 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 2 sold $183,060.

  • Sewell George M
    CAO, SVP Fin Rep
    Sold
    Date
    5 August 2026
    Shares
    2,000
    Price
    $45.53
    Value
    $91,060
  • King Michael Todd
    Chief Legal and Compliance Off
    Sold
    Date
    5 August 2026
    Shares
    1,070
    Price
    $46.00
    Value
    $49,220
  • King Michael Todd
    Chief Legal and Compliance Off
    Sold
    Date
    4 August 2026
    Shares
    930
    Price
    $46.00
    Value
    $42,780

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

None of the warning signs we check for were found.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 18 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 30 Jul 2026 and 6 later 8-Ks.

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

  • Sales have shrunk: 0.6% a year.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

What changed in the risks this year

Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.

  • Purchasing Power relies on non-recourse securitizations and warehouse facilities and if these funding sources become unavailable or more expensive, or if performance or structural triggers are breached, Purchasing Power's ability to originate receivables and our consolidated results could be adversely affected.

    Could happen
    Under the Purchasing Power Facilities, Purchasing Power has various obligations and covenants as seller, servicer, and custodian of the receivables conveyed thereunder and in its individual capacity and the special purpose subsidiaries to which it conveys receivables have various obligations and covenants. A violation of any obligations or covenants in any of its financings or facilities by Purchasing Power or the special purpose subsidiaries, respectively, may result in an early termination of the revolving period, early amortization of the loans or notes (as applicable) repurchase or indemnification obligations on Purchasing Power's part, and the termination of Purchasing Power's servicing rights, and may further result in amounts outstanding under the Purchasing Power Facilities becoming immediately due and payable. The occurrence of any of the events described in this paragraph could have a material adverse effect on our financial position, liquidity, and results of operations.
    Read more
  • Purchasing Power relies on non-recourse securitizations and warehouse facilities and if these funding sources become unavailable or more expensive, or if performance or structural triggers are breached, Purchasing Power's ability to originate receivables and our consolidated results could be adversely affected.

    Could happen
    Purchasing Power had approximately $338.6 million of non-recourse funding indebtedness under its securitization and warehouse facilities that remained in place upon its acquisition by us (such securitizations and warehouse facilities, the "Purchasing Power Facilities"). We cannot guarantee the Purchasing Power Facilities will continue to be available beyond their current maturity dates, on acceptable terms, or at all, or that we will be able to obtain additional financing on acceptable terms or at all.
    Read more
  • Purchasing Power relies on non-recourse securitizations and warehouse facilities and if these funding sources become unavailable or more expensive, or if performance or structural triggers are breached, Purchasing Power's ability to originate receivables and our consolidated results could be adversely affected.

    Could happen
    Purchasing Power's ability to raise funding through these types of financings also depends, in part, on the credit ratings of the asset-backed securities it issues. If Purchasing Power is not able to satisfy any requirements set forth by a rating agency to confirm such agency's ratings of asset-backed securities to be issued at the time of a new issuance, it could limit Purchasing Power's ability to access the securitization markets. Additional factors affecting the extent to which it may securitize its receivables in the future include the availability of receivables for securitization, the overall credit quality of its receivables, the costs of securitizing its receivables, the demand for asset-backed securities and the legal, regulatory, accounting or tax rules affecting securitization transactions and asset-backed securities, generally.
    Read more
  • Our stock price is volatile, and you may not be able to recover your investment if our stock price declines.

    Could happen
    Additionally, the integration of Purchasing Power increases the complexity of our internal control over financial reporting and disclosure controls and procedures. We are required to design, implement, document and test controls over the financial reporting processes and systems of Purchasing Power. If we are unable to timely and effectively integrate Purchasing Power’s processes, systems and internal controls, or if we identify control deficiencies, significant deficiencies and/or material weaknesses during the integration process, our ability to conclude that our internal control over financial reporting is effective could be adversely affected, and we may incur additional costs to remediate such issues.
    Read more
  • Although Purchasing Power and Four also serve subprime and near-prime consumers, as well as customers with limited credit histories and prime consumers, their business models differ significantly from Progressive Leasing's lease-to-own business, which means each of these businesses have different risk profiles.

    Could happen
    • Purchasing Power depends on offering its voluntary employee benefit program through employer relationships across a broad range of industries and public sector entities. If an employer or public sector entity reduces headcount, changes benefit policies, transitions to a new payroll system that does not support Purchasing Power's integration or otherwise terminates its relationship with Purchasing Power, its loans receivables performance may be negatively affected.
    Read more

Read it in the annual report

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.