PROG Holdings
PRG on NYSE. PROG Holdings sells lease-to-own and buy now, pay later payment options to consumers. Market value $1.2bn.
Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.
Should I look at this?
Worth a closer look
Why it could be worth it
What to watch out for
This is not advice. Check the numbers below.
For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $25.58 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.
You pay 9.2 years of operating profit for the business. The average large US company costs around 18.
Each dollar kept in the business earns 16 cents a year. Above 10 is good.
Quality score: 71 of 100. Price score: 100 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.
$31.28 a share, 21% above its 1-year low
Over the past year the price has ranged from $25.80 to $47.73.
Dividend: 1.7% a year
Paid every year for 2 years
Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).
Five years of cash, in billions
| Revenue | |||||
| Revenue | $2.7bn | $2.6bn | $2.3bn | $2.4bn | $2.4bn |
| Operating margin | |||||
| Operating margin | 12.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Debt to equity | |||||
| Debt to equity | 0.87 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.80 |
| Shares outstanding | |||||
| Shares outstanding | 0.05bn | 0.04bn | 0.04bn | 0.04bn | 0.04bn |
Health checks
- Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
- Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
- Financial strength (Piotroski)Not enough data
- Profit backed by cash (accruals)No
- Debt0.80× equity
- Revenue growth, five yearsShrinking, 0.6% a year
- Buying back its own sharesYes, 20% fewer since 2021
The quarter to June 2026
How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.
- Sales: $720 million last quarter, up 22% on a year ago.
- Profit: $37 million, down 4% on a year ago.
- It keeps 8 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, down from 9 cents a year earlier.
- Spare cash over the past 12 months: $319 million, up from $219 million.
- About the same number of shares as a year ago.
- Debt is $802 million more than cash, up from $372 million a year ago.
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $606m |
| December 2024 | Not reported |
| March 2025 | $668m |
| June 2025 | $589m |
| September 2025 | $595m |
| December 2025 | Not reported |
| March 2026 | $743m |
| June 2026 | $720m |
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $84m |
| December 2024 | $58m |
| March 2025 | $35m |
| June 2025 | $38m |
| September 2025 | $33m |
| December 2025 | $40m |
| March 2026 | $36m |
| June 2026 | $37m |
From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.
Dates
- Next results (estimated)
- n/a
- Last annual report (10-K)
- 18 February 2026
- Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
- 29 October 2026
Who owns it
6 long-term investors we follow own it, unchanged from 6 last quarter. 293 funds in all.
- LSV Asset ManagementJosef Lakonishok
- Value
- $54m
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- GAMCO InvestorsMario Gabelli
- Value
- $5m
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
- Barrow HanleyBarrow Hanley team
- Value
- $10,114
- Share of fund
- <0.1%
| Fund | Value | Share of that fund | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSV Asset ManagementJosef Lakonishok | $54m | <0.1% | |
| Vulcan Value PartnersC.T. Fitzpatrick | $13m | 0.4% | Cut |
| GAMCO InvestorsMario Gabelli | $5m | <0.1% | |
| Royce & AssociatesChuck Royce | $3m | <0.1% | Added |
| GMOJeremy Grantham | $969,954 | <0.1% | Added |
| Barrow HanleyBarrow Hanley team | $10,114 | <0.1% |
Largest holders overall
- BlackRock$319mAdded
- Vanguard Portfolio Management$117m
- State Street$80mAdded
- Vanguard Capital Management$79m
- Allianz Asset Management GmbH$65mAdded
- Dimensional Fund Advisors LP$62mAdded
- LSV Asset Management$54m
- FMR$54m
- Morgan Stanley$49mAdded
- Geode Capital Management$47mAdded
From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.
Big holders and activists
4 investors own more than 5%.
- BlackRock, Inc.Passive investor15.3%Since 31 March 2025
- Vanguard Portfolio ManagementPassive investor6.3%Since 31 March 2026
- Vanguard Capital ManagementPassive investor5.0%Since 30 June 2026
- FMR LLCPassive investorat least 3.4%(filed with 1 related holder)Since 31 March 2025
- The Vanguard GroupPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 13 March 2026
| Holder | Stake | Since | |
|---|---|---|---|
BlackRock, Inc. Passive investor | 15.3% | 31 March 2025 | |
Vanguard Portfolio Management Passive investor | 6.3% | 31 March 2026 | |
Vanguard Capital Management Passive investor | 5.0% | 30 June 2026 | |
FMR LLC Passive investor | at least 3.4% (filed with 1 related holder) | 31 March 2025 | |
The Vanguard Group Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 13 March 2026 |
From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.
What insiders did
No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 2 sold $183,060.
- Sewell George MCAO, SVP Fin RepSold
- Date
- 5 August 2026
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $45.53
- Value
- $91,060
- King Michael ToddChief Legal and Compliance OffSold
- Date
- 5 August 2026
- Shares
- 1,070
- Price
- $46.00
- Value
- $49,220
- King Michael ToddChief Legal and Compliance OffSold
- Date
- 4 August 2026
- Shares
- 930
- Price
- $46.00
- Value
- $42,780
| Date | Who | Did | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 August 2026 | Sewell George M CAO, SVP Fin Rep | Sold | 2,000 | $45.53 | $91,060 |
| 5 August 2026 | King Michael Todd Chief Legal and Compliance Off | Sold | 1,070 | $46.00 | $49,220 |
| 4 August 2026 | King Michael Todd Chief Legal and Compliance Off | Sold | 930 | $46.00 | $42,780 |
From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.
Warning signs in its filings
Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.
None of the warning signs we check for were found.
We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.
We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 18 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 30 Jul 2026 and 6 later 8-Ks.
A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.
What could go wrong
- Sales have shrunk: 0.6% a year.
Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.
What changed in the risks this year
Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.
Purchasing Power relies on non-recourse securitizations and warehouse facilities and if these funding sources become unavailable or more expensive, or if performance or structural triggers are breached, Purchasing Power's ability to originate receivables and our consolidated results could be adversely affected.
Could happenUnder the Purchasing Power Facilities, Purchasing Power has various obligations and covenants as seller, servicer, and custodian of the receivables conveyed thereunder and in its individual capacity and the special purpose subsidiaries to which it conveys receivables have various obligations and covenants. A violation of any obligations or covenants in any of its financings or facilities by Purchasing Power or the special purpose subsidiaries, respectively, may result in an early termination of the revolving period, early amortization of the loans or notes (as applicable) repurchase or indemnification obligations on Purchasing Power's part, and the termination of Purchasing Power's servicing rights, and may further result in amounts outstanding under the Purchasing Power Facilities becoming immediately due and payable. The occurrence of any of the events described in this paragraph could have a material adverse effect on our financial position, liquidity, and results of operations.
Read morePurchasing Power relies on non-recourse securitizations and warehouse facilities and if these funding sources become unavailable or more expensive, or if performance or structural triggers are breached, Purchasing Power's ability to originate receivables and our consolidated results could be adversely affected.
Could happenPurchasing Power had approximately $338.6 million of non-recourse funding indebtedness under its securitization and warehouse facilities that remained in place upon its acquisition by us (such securitizations and warehouse facilities, the "Purchasing Power Facilities"). We cannot guarantee the Purchasing Power Facilities will continue to be available beyond their current maturity dates, on acceptable terms, or at all, or that we will be able to obtain additional financing on acceptable terms or at all.
Read morePurchasing Power relies on non-recourse securitizations and warehouse facilities and if these funding sources become unavailable or more expensive, or if performance or structural triggers are breached, Purchasing Power's ability to originate receivables and our consolidated results could be adversely affected.
Could happenPurchasing Power's ability to raise funding through these types of financings also depends, in part, on the credit ratings of the asset-backed securities it issues. If Purchasing Power is not able to satisfy any requirements set forth by a rating agency to confirm such agency's ratings of asset-backed securities to be issued at the time of a new issuance, it could limit Purchasing Power's ability to access the securitization markets. Additional factors affecting the extent to which it may securitize its receivables in the future include the availability of receivables for securitization, the overall credit quality of its receivables, the costs of securitizing its receivables, the demand for asset-backed securities and the legal, regulatory, accounting or tax rules affecting securitization transactions and asset-backed securities, generally.
Read moreOur stock price is volatile, and you may not be able to recover your investment if our stock price declines.
Could happenAdditionally, the integration of Purchasing Power increases the complexity of our internal control over financial reporting and disclosure controls and procedures. We are required to design, implement, document and test controls over the financial reporting processes and systems of Purchasing Power. If we are unable to timely and effectively integrate Purchasing Power’s processes, systems and internal controls, or if we identify control deficiencies, significant deficiencies and/or material weaknesses during the integration process, our ability to conclude that our internal control over financial reporting is effective could be adversely affected, and we may incur additional costs to remediate such issues.
Read moreAlthough Purchasing Power and Four also serve subprime and near-prime consumers, as well as customers with limited credit histories and prime consumers, their business models differ significantly from Progressive Leasing's lease-to-own business, which means each of these businesses have different risk profiles.
Could happen• Purchasing Power depends on offering its voluntary employee benefit program through employer relationships across a broad range of industries and public sector entities. If an employer or public sector entity reduces headcount, changes benefit policies, transitions to a new payroll system that does not support Purchasing Power's integration or otherwise terminates its relationship with Purchasing Power, its loans receivables performance may be negatively affected.
Read more
The deep dive
Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.
- What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
- Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
- The three things that would make this a mistake
- Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
Your first deep dive is free.
Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.