Red Cat Holdings

RCAT on Nasdaq. Red Cat sells drones and robots to military, government, and commercial buyers. Market value $969m.

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Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.

We can't read total debt from the filing, so debt is left out.

Should I look at this?

Look carefully before going further

Read the warning sign in its own filings

This is not advice. Check the numbers below.

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Cash yield
past 12 months to June 2026
-16.3%low

For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $-16.29 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.

Price to profit
past 12 months to June 2026
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Return on capital
five annual reports to December 2025
n/a

The filings do not give us enough to work this out.

Quality score: 40 of 100. Price score: 0 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.

$6.34 a share, 10% above its 1-year low

Over the past year the price has ranged from $5.77 to $18.78.

Pays no dividend

Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).

Five years of cash, in billions

n/a
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
-0.2
2021202220232024202512 monthsto Jun '26

Spare cash swings from quarter to quarter here: a shortfall of $158 million in the past 12 months, a shortfall of $96 million in the year to December 2025.

Revenue
$5m$6m$5m$18m$41m
Operating margin
n/an/a-570.0%-108.2%-163.5%
Debt to equity
n/a0.020.02n/an/a
Shares outstanding
0.05bn0.05bn0.07bn0.09bn0.15bn

Health checks

  • Free cash flow positive0 of 4 years
  • Accounting checksSkipped: company is not yet profitable
  • DebtUnknown
  • Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 125.6% a year
  • Buying back its own sharesNo, 185% more shares since 2021

The quarter to June 2026

How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

  • Sales: $20 million last quarter, up 527% on a year ago.
  • A loss of $35 million, compared with a loss of $13 million a year ago.
  • 50% more shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit less of the company.
Sales by quarter
Sales by quarter
Quarter toAmount
July 2024$3m
October 2024$2m
March 2025$2m
June 2025$3m
September 2025$10m
December 2025$26m
March 2026$15m
June 2026$20m
Profit by quarter
Profit by quarter
Quarter toAmount
July 2024-$12m
October 2024-$13m
March 2025-$23m
June 2025-$13m
September 2025-$16m
December 2025-$20m
March 2026-$27m
June 2026-$35m

From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.

Dates

Next results (estimated)
n/a
Last annual report (10-K)
19 March 2026
Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
5 November 2026

Who owns it

None of the long-term investors we follow own it. 282 funds in all.

Jun '25
Dec '25
Jun '26
Largest holders overall

From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.

Big holders and activists

4 investors own more than 5%.

From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.

What insiders did

No insider bought shares on the open market in the last 12 months. 4 sold $7m, $4m of it under preset trading plans.

  • Thompson Jeffrey M
    Chairman of the Board, CEO, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 September 2026
    Shares
    150,000
    Price
    $7.74
    Value
    $1m
  • Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    28 August 2026
    Shares
    65,000
    Price
    $8.50
    Value
    $552,500
  • Thompson Jeffrey M
    Chairman of the Board, CEO, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    17 August 2026
    Shares
    150,000
    Price
    $10.45
    Value
    $2m
  • Moe Christopher R.
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    11 August 2026
    Shares
    20,000
    Price
    $10.51
    Value
    $210,200
  • Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    11 August 2026
    Shares
    55,000
    Price
    $10.63
    Value
    $584,650
  • Thompson Jeffrey M
    Chairman of the Board, CEO, Director
    Sold
    under a preset trading plan
    Date
    15 July 2026
    Shares
    150,000
    Price
    $8.51
    Value
    $1m
  • Funk Paul II
    Director
    Sold
    Date
    11 June 2026
    Shares
    165,028
    Price
    $11.50
    Value
    $2m

From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.

Warning signs in its filings

Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.

1 serious warning sign in Red Cat Holdings’ filings.

We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.

We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 19 Mar 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 6 Aug 2026 and 10 later 8-Ks.

  • Weak checks on its own accounts

    Serious

    The company said its checks on its own accounts did not work at the end of its latest quarter. Mistakes could slip into the numbers.

    “Based on that evaluation, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and the Company’s Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as a result of the material weakness discussed below, the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures were not effective.”
    Show the full paragraph
    The Company’s management, with the participation of the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of the design and operation of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”)) as of June 30, 2026. Based on that evaluation, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and the Company’s Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as a result of the material weakness discussed below, the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures were not effective.

    From the 10-Q filed 6 August 2026, Part I, Item 4. Controls and Procedures. Read it in the filing

  • Changed auditor

    Worth knowing

    The company changed its auditor (the firm that checks its books) in the last two years.

    “On August 28, 2025, the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors of Red Cat Holdings, Inc. approved the decision to change its independent registered public accounting firm and dismissed dbbmckennon LLC (“dbbmckennon”) as its independent registered public accounting firm, to be effective immediately.”

    From an 8-K filed 4 September 2025: Change of auditor. Read it in the filing

  • One big customer

    Worth knowing

    One customer brings in a big share of sales: 73% last year. Losing that customer would hurt.

    “For the year ended December 31, 2025, one customer accounted for equal to or greater than 10% of total revenue, totaling 73 %.”

    From the 10-K filed 19 March 2026, Item 8. Financial Statements and Notes. Read it in the filing

A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.

What could go wrong

Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.

Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.

The deep dive

Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.

  • What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
  • Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
  • The three things that would make this a mistake
  • Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
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What a finished deep dive looks like

Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.