Trade Desk
TTD on Nasdaq. Trade Desk sells software for buying digital ads to advertisers and ad agencies. Market value $32.0bn.
Price checks use the past 12 months to June 2026. Quality checks use five annual reports, the latest for the year to December 2025.
We can't read total debt from the filing, so debt is left out.
Should I look at this?
Worth a closer look
Why it could be worth it
What to watch out for
Nothing stood out in the numbers we check.
This is not advice. Check the numbers below.
For every $100 of what the whole company costs, it produced $14.42 of spare cash in the past 12 months. A savings account pays about $4.
The filings do not give us enough to work this out.
The filings do not give us enough to work this out.
Quality score: 73 of 100. Price score: 83 of 100. Our list needs 70 on quality and 60 on price.
$11.92 a share, at its 1-year low
Over the past year the price has ranged from $11.74 to $56.39.
Pays no dividend
Prices from Tuesday’s close (6 October).
Five years of cash, in billions
| Revenue | |||||
| Revenue | $1.2bn | $1.6bn | $1.9bn | $2.4bn | $2.9bn |
| Operating margin | |||||
| Operating margin | 10.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 20.3% |
| Debt to equity | |||||
| Debt to equity | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Shares outstanding | |||||
| Shares outstanding | 0.50bn | 0.50bn | 0.50bn | 0.50bn | 0.49bn |
Health checks
- Free cash flow positive5 of 5 years
- Accounting looks honest (Beneish)Not enough data
- Financial strength (Piotroski)5 of 7 checks we could run
- Profit backed by cash (accruals)Yes
- DebtUnknown
- Revenue growth, five yearsStrong, 28.2% a year
- Buying back its own sharesRoughly flat
The quarter to June 2026
How the business did, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.
- Sales: $715 million last quarter, up 3% on a year ago.
- Profit: $64 million, down 29% on a year ago.
- It keeps 20 cents of each $1 of sales as operating profit, up from 18 cents a year earlier.
- Spare cash over the past 12 months: $849 million, up from $746 million.
- 5% fewer shares than a year ago. Each share owns a bit more of the company.
- Sales grew on a year ago in each of the last 4 quarters.
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $628m |
| December 2024 | $741m |
| March 2025 | $616m |
| June 2025 | $694m |
| September 2025 | $739m |
| December 2025 | $847m |
| March 2026 | $689m |
| June 2026 | $715m |
| Quarter to | Amount |
|---|---|
| September 2024 | $94m |
| December 2024 | $182m |
| March 2025 | $51m |
| June 2025 | $90m |
| September 2025 | $116m |
| December 2025 | $187m |
| March 2026 | $40m |
| June 2026 | $64m |
From the company's quarterly reports to the SEC.
Dates
- Next results (estimated)
- 5 November 2026
- Last annual report (10-K)
- 27 February 2026
- Next quarterly (estimated, 10-Q)
- 5 November 2026
Who owns it
1 long-term investor we follow owns it, down from 2 last quarter. 684 funds in all.
| Fund | Value | Share of that fund | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gotham Asset ManagementJoel Greenblatt | $6m | <0.1% | Added |
Sold out this quarter
- GMOJeremy GranthamSold out
Largest holders overall
- BlackRock$591mCut
- State Street$566mCut
- Vanguard Capital Management$504mCut
- Vanguard Portfolio Management$350mCut
- TWO Sigma Investments, LP$308mAdded
- Geode Capital Management$292mAdded
- Invesco$249mAdded
- Goldman Sachs Group$243mAdded
- Alyeska Investment Group, L.P.$201mAdded
- Federated Hermes$197mAdded
From 13F filings for the quarter ended 30 June 2026.
Big holders and activists
4 investors own more than 5%.
- BlackRock, Inc.Passive investor11.4%+3.8 ptsSince 30 September 2026
- Jeffrey T. GreenPassive investor11.3%Since 31 March 2026
- STATE STREET CORPORATIONPassive investorat least 10.4%+3.3 pts(filed with 1 related holder)Since 31 March 2026
- Vanguard Capital ManagementPassive investor7.6%Since 31 March 2026
- Vanguard Portfolio ManagementPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 30 June 2026
- BAILLIE GIFFORD & COPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 31 March 2026
- The Vanguard GroupPassive investorSold down below 5%Since 13 March 2026
| Holder | Stake | Since | |
|---|---|---|---|
BlackRock, Inc. Passive investor | 11.4%+3.8 pts | 30 September 2026 | |
Jeffrey T. Green Passive investor | 11.3% | 31 March 2026 | |
STATE STREET CORPORATION Passive investor | at least 10.4%+3.3 pts (filed with 1 related holder) | 31 March 2026 | |
Vanguard Capital Management Passive investor | 7.6% | 31 March 2026 | |
Vanguard Portfolio Management Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 30 June 2026 | |
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 31 March 2026 | |
The Vanguard Group Passive investor | Sold down below 5% | 13 March 2026 |
From Schedule 13D and 13G filings: anyone owning more than 5% must file one.
What insiders did
In the last 12 months, 1 insider bought $148m of shares on the open market. 2 sold $6m.
- Jacobson SamanthaDirectorSold
- Date
- 28 May 2026
- Shares
- 53,681
- Price
- $21.14
- Value
- $1m
- FALBERG KATHRYN EDirectorSold
- Date
- 5 March 2026
- Shares
- 152,828
- Price
- $30.46
- Value
- $5m
- Green Jeffrey TerryPresident and CEO, DirectorBought
- Date
- 4 March 2026
- Shares
- 2,314,304
- Price
- $25.08
- Value
- $58m
- Green Jeffrey TerryPresident and CEO, DirectorBought
- Date
- 3 March 2026
- Shares
- 1,685,696
- Price
- $24.97
- Value
- $42m
- Green Jeffrey TerryPresident and CEO, DirectorBought
- Date
- 2 March 2026
- Shares
- 2,000,000
- Price
- $23.98
- Value
- $48m
| Date | Who | Did | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | Jacobson Samantha Director | Sold | 53,681 | $21.14 | $1m |
| 5 March 2026 | FALBERG KATHRYN E Director | Sold | 152,828 | $30.46 | $5m |
| 4 March 2026 | Green Jeffrey Terry President and CEO, Director | Bought | 2,314,304 | $25.08 | $58m |
| 3 March 2026 | Green Jeffrey Terry President and CEO, Director | Bought | 1,685,696 | $24.97 | $42m |
| 2 March 2026 | Green Jeffrey Terry President and CEO, Director | Bought | 2,000,000 | $23.98 | $48m |
From Form 4 filings: insiders must report trades in their own company's shares within two days.
Warning signs in its filings
Problems the company itself reported to the SEC, in its own words.
None of the warning signs we check for were found.
We look for five warning signs: doubt it can keep going, weak checks on its own accounts, a notice that its past accounts can't be relied on, a change of auditor, and one customer bringing in a big share of sales. We don't check lawsuits, investigations or debt yet.
We checked the auditor's report, internal controls, restatement notices, auditor changes and big customers in the 10-K filed 27 Feb 2026, plus the 10-Q filed 6 Aug 2026 and 14 later 8-Ks.
A 10-K is the yearly report every US company files with the SEC. An 8-K is a short notice of a big event.
What could go wrong
Cheap for a reason is the question the numbers cannot answer.
Whether the price already reflects the risks is what the deep dive is for.
What changed in the risks this year
Companies must list what could hurt them each year. These are the parts that changed since last year’s report.
Evolving industry standards regarding impression counts and related disputes and customer collections could impact our business and reputation.
While we believe this is more positive than negative, the distress put on the sell-side caused by increased supply has in cases lowered costs per impressions (“CPMs”) for sellers and publishers and has in some cases (especially for non-premium sellers and publishers) also lowered their fill-rates in addition to CPMs charged. It has also lowered the transparency of some sellers when sending meta-data about individual ad opportunities. This stress on the system poses an incremental risk to all market participants, including us.
Read moreThe market in which we participate is intensely competitive, and we may not be able to compete successfully with our current or future competitors.
Could happenWe operate in a highly competitive and rapidly changing industry. We expect competition to persist and intensify in the future, which could harm our ability to increase revenue and maintain profitability. New technologies and methods of buying advertising present a dynamic competitive challenge, as market participants develop and offer new products and services aimed at capturing advertising spend or disrupting the digital marketing landscape, such as analytics, automated media buying and exchanges. Additionally, the impact of AI on our industry is still emerging and uncertain. We have been developing and implementing AI and machine learning models in our platform for nearly a decade and plan to continue such efforts, but there can be no assurance that our implementation of AI initiatives will continue to enhance our platform and related offerings in the manner we expect. We expect our AI initiatives will require increased investment in infrastructure. To the extent we fail to adopt such technologies effectively or as intended, experience delays in integrating these technologies into our operations or our competitors successfully implement improved AI technologies into their products or services, our ability to compete effectively could be harmed and our growth prospects and results of operations could be adversely affected.
Read morePrivacy and data protection laws to which we and our clients, inventory partners, and third-party data providers are subject may cause us to incur additional or unexpected costs, subject us to litigation, investigations or enforcement actions for alleged compliance failures, result in less demand for our offerings, or cause us to change our platform, related offerings or business model, which may have a material adverse effect on our business.
Could happenThe global regulatory landscape regarding the privacy and protection of personal information is evolving, and U.S. (state, federal and local) and foreign governments continue to consider and enact additional legislation and rulemaking related to privacy and data protection, often with a particular focus on intermediaries in the online advertising ecosystem, including those that engage in targeted advertising, “sell” or “share” personal data, and act as “data brokers.” While a significant volume of laws has already been enacted, we expect to see additional data protection legislation and regulation in this area for the foreseeable future. For example, the FTC uses its enforcement powers under Section 5 of the Federal Trade Commission Act (the “FTC Act”) (which prohibits “unfair” and “deceptive” trade practices) to investigate companies engaging in online tracking. In the preceding few years, the FTC has been very active in bringing enforcement actions against companies that handle personal data it views as sensitive for advertising purposes, including location data Table o f Contents brokers and companies that process health-related data. The FTC could continue to build on this trend under its authority to enforce a relatively new federal law focused on disclosures of certain “sensitive” information by companies operating as data brokers to certain restricted countries or entities “controlled” by such countries, and the Department of Justice could act on authority granted under an executive order restricting similar practices, for which regulations and guidance have recently taken effect. Other companies in the advertising technology space have been subject to government investigation by regulatory bodies; advocacy organizations have also filed complaints with data protection authorities against advertising technology companies, arguing that certain of these companies’ practices do not comply with data privacy laws, or consumer protection laws such as the FTC Act. As noted above, plaintiffs’ attorneys are also increasingly pursuing claims against advertising technology companies related to their data collection, use and disclosure practices, as well as advertisers and publishers that rely on services provided by these companies. For example, in March 2025, suits alleging various privacy tort theories were filed against us in the Northern District of California. For additional information regarding the pending legal proceedings, refer to Note 13—Commitments and Contingencies—Litigation . We cannot avoid the possibility that one of these investigations or enforcement actions will require us to alter our practices. In addition, a potential federal omnibus privacy law remains a possibility. If ultimately passed, such a law would likely substantially impact the online advertising ecosystem.
Read moreEvolving industry standards regarding impression counts and related disputes and customer collections could impact our business and reputation.
Could happenIn 2025, the global digital advertising ecosystem saw a large increase in supply (ad impression opportunities). Supply growth has meaningfully outpaced demand growth. Overall, we believe this is a positive development for us. This continues to shift the balance of power to the buy-side and the objectivity of our position (by not owning media) is more valuable in this strengthening buyer’s market.
Read morePrivacy and data protection laws to which we and our clients, inventory partners, and third-party data providers are subject may cause us to incur additional or unexpected costs, subject us to litigation, investigations or enforcement actions for alleged compliance failures, result in less demand for our offerings, or cause us to change our platform, related offerings or business model, which may have a material adverse effect on our business.
Could happenIncreasingly, state laws require companies like ours to honor opt outs expressed through device-based preference signals, such as the Global Privacy Control (“GPC”), which enable consumers to opt out of relevant activities by all data controllers at once rather than individually. California and other state regulators announced an enforcement sweep focused on how companies honor these signals and California recently enacted a law that will require all browser manufacturers to support the sending of these signals. The proliferation of these laws, including the obligation to honor device-based preference signals and the greater volume of such signals that is likely to result from California’s law, could result in lower availability of data within our platform, our related offerings and the advertising ecosystem more broadly, all of which could result in our platform and related offerings being less valuable to our clients and harm to our business.
Read more
The deep dive
Everything above is arithmetic on public filings. The deep dive reads the last ten years of annual reports, the proxy statements, and the earnings calls, then argues the case the way Buffett, Klarman, and Hohn would, and checks every claim against the source.
- What the business is worth, as a range, and the margin of safety at today’s price
- Prices to start buying, buy, and buy hard
- The three things that would make this a mistake
- Every number footnoted to the filing it came from
Your first deep dive is free.
Not advice. Numbers on this page come from SEC filings and are updated each night; prices are updated again after the US market closes. The five-year figures are rounded.